徐凤,金克琴.中国居民消费与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].北京工商大学社科版,2009,24(2):109-113
中国居民消费与经济增长关系的实证研究
AnEmpiricalStudyontheRelationshipbetweenChineseResident’sConsumptionandEconomicGrowth
投稿时间:2008-11-20  
DOI:
中文关键词:  中国居民消费  经济增长  协整分析  
英文关键词:Chinese resident's consumption  economic growth  co-integration analysis
基金项目:
作者单位
徐凤 北京工商大学经济学院 
金克琴 北京工商大学经济学院 
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中文摘要:
      本文根据1978—2007年我国国内生产总值和居民消费支出的有关数据,运用协整理论,对改革开放以来中国经济增长与国内居民消费之间的关系进行研究,结果表明,两者之间存在着长期稳定的关系;消费对经济增长具有长期、稳定的促进作用,刺激消费特别是占总消费比重较大的居民消费是拉动经济增长的有效手段。因此,我国应转变一直以来以投资拉动为主的经济增长方式,采取有效措施提高居民消费率,实现居民消费支出增加与经济增长相互促进的良性循环。
英文摘要:
      According to the data of China's GDP and resident's consumption expenditure during 1978-2007,using the theory of co-integration,this paper makes a study on the relationship between China's economic growth and domestic resident's consumption since the reform and opening up.The result shows that there is a long-term stable relationship between the two.The consumption has a long-term stable promotion to the economic growth.Stimulating the consumption,especially resident's consumption which accounts for a comparatively large proportion of total consumption,is an effective way to drive economic growth. Therefore,China should transform the mode of economic growth driven all along by investment and take the practical and effective measures to enhance the ratio of resident's consumption,to realize a virtuous circle of mutual promotion between the increase in resident's consumption expenditure and the economic growth.
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