| 四川省人口结构变化对产业升级的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾珠,熊瑶.四川省人口结构变化对产业升级的影响[J].西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2019,38(6):73-86. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾珠 熊瑶 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.成都大学商学院 四川成都 610106 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章收集了2005——2017年四川省21个市州的面板数据，采用多元线性回归模型，从人口年龄结构、人口文化结构、人口就业结构、结婚率、城镇化率、失业率几个方面分析了四川省人口结构变化与产业升级之间的关系。随机效应模型回归结果显示:四川省人口结构变化和产业升级之间的相关性明显，四川省女性人口、第三产业从业人口、高中毕业生人口和失业率与产业升级呈正相关关系；结婚率与产业升级呈负相关关系。对此，文章提出普及十二年义务教育、鼓励女性创业、实施全面多孩政策、大力发展老龄产业等措施。
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| 关 键 词： | 四川省 人口结构 产业结构 产业升级 相关性分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-03-07 |
Impact of Population Structure Change on Industrial Upgrading in Sichuan Province |
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| ZENG Zhu,XIONG Yao.Impact of Population Structure Change on Industrial Upgrading in Sichuan Province[J].Journal of Xihua University:Philosophy & Social Sciences,2019,38(6):73-86. |
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| Authors: | ZENG Zhu XIONG Yao |
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| Affiliation: | 1.School of Business, Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610106, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper has collected panel data of 21 cities in Sichuan Province from 2005 to 2017 and uses multiple linear regression models to analyze the relationship between population structure change and industrial upgrading of Sichuan from the following aspects:age structure of people, culture structure of people, marriage rate, urbanization rate, employment structure and unemployment rate.The regression model of random effects shows that:population structure change in Sichuan is highly related with industrial upgrading.Female population, tertiary industry population, high school graduates and unemployment rate are positively correlated with industrial upgrading.Marriage rate is negatively correlated with industrial upgrading.Based on the analysis, this paper proposes some measures:popularizing 12-year compulsory education, encouraging women to start businesses, implementing comprehensive multi-child policy, and developing vigorously old-age industries. |
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