| 行业异质性视角下贸易便利化对出口贸易的影响研究——兼论中国加入CPTPP的机遇与挑战 |
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| 引用本文： | 武力超,钟莹霞,叶添,丘卫敏.行业异质性视角下贸易便利化对出口贸易的影响研究——兼论中国加入CPTPP的机遇与挑战[J].长安大学学报(社会科学版),2022,0(3):34-51. |
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| 作者姓名： | 武力超 钟莹霞 叶添 丘卫敏 |
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| 作者单位： | (厦门大学 经济学院,福建 厦门 361005) |
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| 摘 要： | 受单边主义与保护主义的冲击,当前全球贸易大幅放缓,贸易便利化成为各国政府和国际经济组织探寻贸易持续平稳增长的新途径。基于2010—2014年世界银行的跨国企业调研数据,运用泊松伪最大似然估计法(PPML),从理论与实证两个方面考察贸易便利化对出口的影响。研究表明:出口国和目的国贸易便利化水平的提高对一国出口增长、出口结构优化有显著的推动作用,并且出口国贸易便利化的效果比目的国的更大; 分组回归的结果证实了上述影响在不同发展阶段的国家组之间存在显著差异,发展中国家贸易便利化水平的提高能更显著地促进出口增长; 出口国和目的国的贸易便利化水平是影响双边出口扩展边际和集约边际的关键因素,尤其是在外部融资依赖度高或者合约密集度大的行业,出口国、目的国贸易便利化水平的提高都将直接或者间接地促进高外部融资依赖、合约密集型行业的出口增长。贸易便利化水平对出口的直接影响能降低贸易成本、提高过境效率等,间接影响通过促进整体经济活动能带动出口,该影响在外部融资依赖度高或者合约密集度大的行业中更加显著。中国加入CPTPP将有利于进一步加强贸易便利化软环境建设、优化制度环境,能对CPTPP成员国基础设施建设、电子商务发展提供积极助益。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口贸易 贸易便利化 外部融资 合约密集型 行业异质性 泊松伪最大似然 《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》 |
Study on the impact of trade facilitation on export trade from the perspective of industry heterogeneity——opportunities and challenges for China to join the CPTPP |
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| WU Lichao,ZHONG Yingxia,YE Tian,QIU Weimin.Study on the impact of trade facilitation on export trade from the perspective of industry heterogeneity——opportunities and challenges for China to join the CPTPP[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Sciences Edition),2022,0(3):34-51. |
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| Authors: | WU Lichao ZHONG Yingxia YE Tian QIU Weimin |
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| Affiliation: | (School of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Chian) |
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| Abstract: | Impacted by unilateralism and protectionism, global trade is slowing down sharply at present. Trade facilitation has become a new way for governments and international economic organizations to explore sustainable and stable trade growth. Based on the World Bank's transnational enterprise survey data from 2010 to 2014, Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation(PPML)is used to investigate the impact of trade facilitation on export from both theoretical and empirical aspects. The results show that the improvement of trade facilitation in both exporting and destination countries has a significant promotional effect on the export growth and export structure optimization of a country, and the effect of trade facilitation in exporting countries is greater than that in destination countries. The results of grouping regression confirm that there are significant differences in the above effects among groups of countries at different stages of development, and the improvement of trade facilitation in developing countries can promote export growth more significantly. The trade facilitation level of exporting and destination countries is the key factor affecting the extensive and intensive margin in bilateral export. In the industries with high dependence on external financing or highly contract intensive industries in particular, the improvement in the level of trade facilitation in exporting and destination countries will directly or indirectly promote the export growth of industries highly dependent on external financing and contract intensive industries. The direct impact of trade facilitation level on export can reduce trade costs and improve transit efficiency, while the indirect impact can promote export by driving overall economic activities, which is more significant in industries with high dependence on external financing or highly contract intensive industries. China's accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership(CPTPP)will help further strengthen the construction of soft environment for trade facilitation, optimize the institutional environment, and provide positive benefits to the infrastructure construction and e-commerce development of CPTPP members. |
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| Keywords: | export trade trade facilitation external financing contract intensive industry heterogeneity Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership |
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