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系统协调度模型的稳健性研究
引用本文:刘春,王谦①,管河山②.系统协调度模型的稳健性研究[J].南华大学学报(社会科学版),2014,15(5):66-70.
作者姓名:刘春  王谦①  管河山②
作者单位:南华大学经济管理学院,湖南衡阳,421001
基金项目:湖南省科研创新立项课题“大数据时代金融时间序列长记忆性检验方法研究”资助(编号:CX2014B397)
摘    要:文章从指标选取角度来探究系统协调度模型的稳健性能,采用Euclid距离函数建立协调度模型稳健性能的客观评价方法。选取四种协调度模型并采集全国经济-能源-环境系统的相关数据进行实证,每个子系统各采集10个指标的数据;通过随机选取指标的子集反复测试,对比分析不同指标选取时协调度模型实证结果的波动性。实证表明:无论是协调度走势图形的主观分析,还是稳健性的客观量化评价结果,都表明了不同协调度模型的稳健性能存在较大的差异。

关 键 词:协调发展  模型  稳健性  指标选取
收稿时间:2014/8/12 0:00:00

Research on the Robustness of System Coordination Model
LIU Chun,WANG Qian,GUAN He-shan.Research on the Robustness of System Coordination Model[J].Journal of Nanhua University(Social Science Edition),2014,15(5):66-70.
Authors:LIU Chun  WANG Qian  GUAN He-shan
Affiliation:University of South China, Hengyang 421001,China
Abstract:From the perspective of indicator number, this paper puts especial attention to the robustness of system coordination model, and then takes advantage of Euclid distance function to build an objective evaluation method. Firstly, it collects national Economy-Environment-Energy systems data during 1990-2012, exactly, 10 indicators are selected by each subsystem. Secondly, it takes four classic models to repeatedly make some empirical research, through selecting the subset from universal set randomly. Finally makes a comparison of the four models from the aspect of model robustness. Practices find that robustness performance indicates the existing coordination models are different in both subjective analysis of coordination trends and objective evaluation.
Keywords:coordinative development  model  robustness  indicator selection
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