| 基于索洛模型的区域经济增长驱动因素实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩建雨,杨淇岩.基于索洛模型的区域经济增长驱动因素实证研究[J].长安大学学报(社会科学版),2020,0(1):50-57. |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩建雨 杨淇岩 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽大学 经济学院，安徽 合肥 230601 |
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| 摘 要： | 在供给侧改革背景下，区域经济增长的驱动因素显著影响着区域经济的高质量和可持续发展。以索洛增长模型为基本框架，利用2003～2017年安徽省经济发展相关数据开展实证研究，测算资金投入、劳动力投入、技术进步各因素对经济增长的贡献率；同时对模型进行扩展，研究安徽省经济增长的长期驱动力量，对现期和远期的动能转换加以阐述。研究认为，现阶段资金投入仍然是安徽省经济产出的主要驱动因素，劳动力投入的经济推动效应相对较小，技术进步的驱动力量逐步提升，安徽省远期经济发展将主要依赖于技术创新驱动。安徽省应注重科技创新，进行产业结构优化调整，将技术因素融于资金、劳动供给侧，全面深化以技术为主的供给侧改革，加快经济增长动力转型。
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| 关 键 词： | 供给侧结构性改革 安徽省 索洛模型 劳动供给侧 技术创新驱动 |
Empirical research on driving factors of regional economic growth based on Solow model |
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| HAN Jianyu,YANG Qiyan.Empirical research on driving factors of regional economic growth based on Solow model[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Sciences Edition),2020,0(1):50-57. |
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| Authors: | HAN Jianyu YANG Qiyan |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics， Anhui University， Hefei 230601， Anhui, China |
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| Abstract: | Under the background of supply side reform, the driving factors of regional economic growth have significantly affected the high quality and sustainable development of the regional economy. Based on Solow’s growth mode, the relevant data of Anhui province’s economic development from 2003 to 2017 was used to carry out empirical analysis, and the contribution rates of various factors of capital input, labor input and technological progress to economic growth were estimated. Besides, the model is extended to study the long term driving forces of Anhui’s economic growth, expounding the current and long term momentum transformation. According to the empirical results, capital input is still the main driving factor of Anhui’s economic output at this stage. The economic driving effect of labor input is relatively small, and the driving force of technological progress is gradually enhanced. The long term economic development of Anhui province mainly relies on technological innovation driving force. In view of these results, Anhui province should pay enough attention to scientific and technological innovation, optimize and adjust its industrial structure, integrate technological factors into the supply side of capital and labor, comprehensively deepen the supply side reform with technology as the main focus, and accelerate the transformation driven by economic growth. |
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| Keywords: | supply-side structural reform Anhui province Solow model supply side of labor technological innovation driving force |
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