The performance of diagnostic-robust generalized potentials for the identification of multiple high leverage points in linear regression

Leverage values are being used in regression diagnostics as measures of influential observations in the $X$-space. Detection of high leverage values is crucial because of their responsibility for misleading conclusion about the fitting of a regression model, causing multicollinearity problems, masking and/or swamping of outliers, etc. Much work has been done on the identification of single high leverage points and it is generally believed that the problem of detection of a single high leverage point has been largely resolved. But there is no general agreement among the statisticians about the detection of multiple high leverage points. When a group of high leverage points is present in a data set, mainly because of the masking and/or swamping effects the commonly used diagnostic methods fail to identify them correctly. On the other hand, the robust alternative methods can identify the high leverage points correctly but they have a tendency to identify too many low leverage points to be points of high leverages which is not also desired. An attempt has been made to make a compromise between these two approaches. We propose an adaptive method where the suspected high leverage points are identified by robust methods and then the low leverage points (if any) are put back into the estimation data set after diagnostic checking. The usefulness of our newly proposed method for the detection of multiple high leverage points is studied by some well-known data sets and Monte Carlo simulations.     

Identification and classification of multiple outliers,high leverage points and influential observations in linear regression

Detection of multiple unusual observations such as outliers, high leverage points and influential observations (IOs) in regression is still a challenging task for statisticians due to the well-known masking and swamping effects. In this paper we introduce a robust influence distance that can identify multiple IOs, and propose a sixfold plotting technique based on the well-known group deletion approach to classify regular observations, outliers, high leverage points and IOs simultaneously in linear regression. Experiments through several well-referred data sets and simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed algorithm performs successfully in the presence of multiple unusual observations and can avoid masking and/or swamping effects.     

Identification of Multiple Outliers in Logistic Regression

The use of logistic regression modeling has seen a great deal of attention in the literature in recent years. This includes all aspects of the logistic regression model including the identification of outliers. A variety of methods for the identification of outliers, such as the standardized Pearson residuals, are now available in the literature. These methods, however, are successful only if the data contain a single outlier. In the presence of multiple outliers in the data, which is often the case in practice, these methods fail to detect the outliers. This is due to the well-known problems of masking (false negative) and swamping (false positive) effects. In this article, we propose a new method for the identification of multiple outliers in logistic regression. We develop a generalized version of standardized Pearson residuals based on group deletion and then propose a technique for identifying multiple outliers. The performance of the proposed method is then investigated through several examples.     

Procedures for the identification of multiple influential observations in linear regression

Since the seminal paper by Cook (1977) in which he introduced Cook's distance, the identification of influential observations has received a great deal of interest and extensive investigation in linear regression. It is well documented that most of the popular diagnostic measures that are based on single-case deletion can mislead the analysis in the presence of multiple influential observations because of the well-known masking and/or swamping phenomena. Atkinson (1981) proposed a modification of Cook's distance. In this paper we propose a further modification of the Cook's distance for the identification of a single influential observation. We then propose new measures for the identification of multiple influential observations, which are not affected by the masking and swamping problems. The efficiency of the new statistics is presented through several well-known data sets and a simulation study.     

Bounded-leverage weights for robust regression estimators

Both the least squares estimator and M-estimators of regression coefficients are susceptible to distortion when high leverage points occur among the predictor variables in a multiple linear regression model. In this article a weighting scheme which enables one to bound the leverage values of a weighted matrix of predictor variables is proposed. Bounded-leverage weighting of the predictor variables followed by M-estimation of the regression coefficients is shown to be effective in protecting against distortion due to extreme predictor-variable values, extreme response values, or outlier-induced multieollinearites. Bounded-leverage estimators can also protect against distortion by small groups of high leverage points.     

Identification of multiple influential observations in logistic regression

The identification of influential observations in logistic regression has drawn a great deal of attention in recent years. Most of the available techniques like Cook's distance and difference of fits (DFFITS) are based on single-case deletion. But there is evidence that these techniques suffer from masking and swamping problems and consequently fail to detect multiple influential observations. In this paper, we have developed a new measure for the identification of multiple influential observations in logistic regression based on a generalized version of DFFITS. The advantage of the proposed method is then investigated through several well-referred data sets and a simulation study.     

A multiple-case deletion approach for detecting influential points in high-dimensional regression

ABSTRACT

In high-dimensional regression, the presence of influential observations may lead to inaccurate analysis results so that it is a prime and important issue to detect these unusual points before statistical regression analysis. Most of the traditional approaches are, however, based on single-case diagnostics, and they may fail due to the presence of multiple influential observations that suffer from masking effects. In this paper, an adaptive multiple-case deletion approach is proposed for detecting multiple influential observations in the presence of masking effects in high-dimensional regression. The procedure contains two stages. Firstly, we propose a multiple-case deletion technique, and obtain an approximate clean subset of the data that is presumably free of influential observations. To enhance efficiency, in the second stage, we refine the detection rule. Monte Carlo simulation studies and a real-life data analysis investigate the effective performance of the proposed procedure.     

Weighted quantile regression with nonelliptically structured covariates

Although quantile regression estimators are robust against low leverage observations with atypically large responses (Koenker & Bassett 1978), they can be seriously affected by a few points that deviate from the majority of the sample covariates. This problem can be alleviated by downweighting observations with high leverage. Unfortunately, when the covariates are not elliptically distributed, Mahalanobis distances may not be able to correctly identify atypical points. In this paper the authors discuss the use of weights based on a new leverage measure constructed using Rosenblatt's multivariate transformation which is able to reflect nonelliptical structures in the covariate space. The resulting weighted estimators are consistent, asymptotically normal, and have a bounded influence function. In addition, the authors also discuss a selection criterion for choosing the downweighting scheme. They illustrate their approach with child growth data from Finland. Finally, their simulation studies suggest that this methodology has good finite‐sample properties.     

DELETE-2 AND DELETE-3 JACKKNIFE PROCEDURES FOR UNMASKING IN REGRESSION

Single-case deletion regression diagnostics have been used widely to discover unusual data points, but such approaches can fail in the presence of multiple unusual data points and as a result of masking. We propose a new approach to the use of single-case deletion diagnostics that involves applying these diagnostics to delete-2 and delete-3 jackknife replicates of the data, and considering the percentage of times among these replicates that points are flagged as unusual as an indicator of their influence. By considering replicates that exclude certain collections of points, subtle masking effects can be uncovered.     

A Novel Collinearity-Influential Observation Diagnostic Measure Based on a Group Deletion Approach

High leverage points can induce or disrupt multicollinearity patterns in data. Observations responsible for this problem are generally known as collinearity-influential observations. A significant amount of published work on the identification of collinearity-influential observations exists; however, we show in this article that all commonly used detection techniques display greatly reduced sensitivity in the presence of multiple high leverage collinearity-influential observations. We propose a new measure based on a diagnostic robust group deletion approach. Some practical cutoff points for existing and developed diagnostics measures are also introduced. Numerical examples and simulation results show that the proposed measure provides significant improvement over the existing measures.     

Descriptive tests for the identification of outliers in the errors in variables linear model

In this paper the most commonly used diagnostic criteria for the identification of outliers or leverage points in the ordinary regression model are reviewed. Their use in the context of the errors-in-variables (e.v.) linear model is discussed and evidence is given that under the e.v. model assumptions the distinction between outliers and leverage points no longer exists.     

Influence measure for the L1 regression

Because outliers and leverage observations unduly affect the least squares regression, the identification of influential observations is considered an important and integrai part of the analysis. However, very few techniques have been developed for the residual analysis and diagnostics for the minimum sum of absolute errors, L₁ regression. Although the L₁ regression is more resistant to the outliers than the least squares regression, it appears that outliers (leverage) in the predictor variables may affect it. In this paper, our objective is to develop an influence measure for the L₁ regression based on the likelihood displacement function. We illustrate the proposed influence measure with examples.     

Logistic discrimination using robust estimators: An influence function approach

Logistic regression is frequently used for classifying observations into two groups. Unfortunately there are often outlying observations in a data set and these might affect the estimated model and the associated classification error rate. In this paper, the authors study the effect of observations in the training sample on the error rate by deriving influence functions. They obtain a general expression for the influence function of the error rate, and they compute it for the maximum likelihood estimator as well as for several robust logistic discrimination procedures. Besides being of interest in their own right, the influence functions are also used to derive asymptotic classification efficiencies of different logistic discrimination rules. The authors also show how influential points can be detected by means of a diagnostic plot based on the values of the influence function     

Leverage analysis for linear mixed models

We consider a generalized leverage matrix useful for the identification of influential units and observations in linear mixed models and show how a decomposition of this matrix may be employed to identify high leverage points for both the marginal fitted values and the random effect component of the conditional fitted values. We illustrate the different uses of the two components of the decomposition with a simulated example as well as with a real data set.     

On the asymptotic distribution of Cook's distance in logistic regression models

It sometimes occurs that one or more components of the data exert a disproportionate influence on the model estimation. We need a reliable tool for identifying such troublesome cases in order to decide either eliminate from the sample, when the data collect was badly realized, or otherwise take care on the use of the model because the results could be affected by such components. Since a measure for detecting influential cases in linear regression setting was proposed by Cook [Detection of influential observations in linear regression, Technometrics 19 (1977), pp. 15–18.], apart from the same measure for other models, several new measures have been suggested as single-case diagnostics. For most of them some cutoff values have been recommended (see [D.A. Belsley, E. Kuh, and R.E. Welsch, Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity, 2nd ed., John Wiley & Sons, New York, Chichester, Brisban, (2004).], for instance), however the lack of a quantile type cutoff for Cook's statistics has induced the analyst to deal only with index plots as worthy diagnostic tools. Focussed on logistic regression, the aim of this paper is to provide the asymptotic distribution of Cook's distance in order to look for a meaningful cutoff point for detecting influential and leverage observations.     

Diagnostic Displays for Assessing Leverage and Influence in Generalized Linear Models

A general technique for assessing leverage and influential observations in Generalized Linear Models is described. The procedure takes the form of Half-Normal plots with envelopes derived from simulation to enhance overall assessment of the model. This procedure of assessment is more informative and provides additional insight compared with procedures based on the largest sample leverage and influence statistics. Application of the method is illustrated with an example in logistic regression.     

A variant of K nearest neighbor quantile regression

Compared with local polynomial quantile regression, K nearest neighbor quantile regression (KNNQR) has many advantages, such as not assuming smoothness of functions. The paper summarizes the research of KNNQR and has carried out further research on the selection of k, algorithm and Monte Carlo simulations. Additionally, simulated functions are Blocks, Bumps, HeaviSine and Doppler, which stand for jumping, volatility, mutagenicity slope and high frequency function. When function to be estimated has some jump points or catastrophe points, KNNQR is superior to local linear quantile regression in the sense of the mean squared error and mean absolute error criteria. To be mentioned, even high frequency, the superiority of KNNQR could be observed. A real data is analyzed as an illustration.     

ROBUST VARIABLE SELECTION IN REGRESSION IN THE PRESENCE OF OUTLIERS AND LEVERAGE POINTS

In linear regression, outliers and leverage points often have large influence in the model selection process. Such cases are downweighted with Mallows-type weights here, during estimation of submodel parameters by generalised M-estimation. A robust version of Mallows's Cp (Ronchetti &. Staudte, 1994) is then used to select a variety of submodels which are as informative as the full model. The methodology is illustrated on a new dataset concerning the agglomeration of alumina in Bayer precipitation.     

Jackknife-After-Bootstrap as Logistic Regression Diagnostic Tool

In this study, we propose using Jackknife-after-Bootstrap (JaB) method to detect influential observations in binary logistic regression model. Performance of the proposed method has been compared with the traditional method for standardized Pearson residuals, Cook's distance, change in the Pearson chi-square and change in the deviance statistics by both real world examples and simulation studies. The results reveal that under the various scenarios considered in this article, JaB performs better than the traditional method and is more robust to masking effect especially for Cook's distance.     

Detection of outliers in simple circular regression models using the mean circular error statistic

The investigation on the identification of outliers in linear regression models can be extended to those for circular regression case. In this paper, we propose a new numerical statistic called mean circular error to identify possible outliers in circular regression models by using a row deletion approach. Through intensive simulation studies, the cut-off points of the statistic are obtained and its power of performance investigated. It is found that the performance improves as the concentration parameter of circular residuals becomes larger or the sample size becomes smaller. As an illustration, the statistic is applied to a wind direction data set.