A superiority problem in misspecified restricted linear models

Abstract

In this article we study the relationship between principal component analysis and a multivariate dependency measure. It is shown, via simulated examples and real data, that the information provided by principal components is compatible with that obtained via the dependency measure δ. Furthermore, we show that in some instances in which principal component analysis fails to give reasonable results due to nonlinearity among the random variables, the dependency statistic δ still provides good results. Finally, we give some ideas about using the statistic δ in order to reduce the dimensionality of a given data set.     

Goodness-of-fit tests for centralized Wishart processes

Abstract

In this paper we present several goodness-of-fit tests for the centralized Wishart process, a popular matrix-variate time series model used to capture the stochastic properties of realized covariance matrices. The new test procedures are based on the extended Bartlett decomposition derived from the properties of the Wishart distribution and allows to obtain sets of independently and standard normally distributed random variables under the null hypothesis. Several tests for normality and independence are then applied to these variables in order to support or to reject the underlying assumption of a centralized Wishart process. In order to investigate the influence of estimated parameters on the suggested testing procedures in the finite-sample case, a simulation study is conducted. Finally, the new test methods are applied to real data consisting of realized covariance matrices computed for the returns on six assets traded on the New York Stock Exchange.     

A class of small deviation theorems for the random variables associated with mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chains

ABSTRACT

In this article, we study a class of small deviation theorems for the random variables associated with mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chains. First, the definition of mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chain is introduced, then by applying the known results of the limit theorem for mth-order non homogeneous Markov chain, the small deviation theorem on the frequencies of occurrence of states for mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chains is established. Next, the strong law of large numbers and asymptotic equipartition property for this Markov chains are obtained. Finally, some results of mth-order nonhomogeneous Markov chains are given.     

Inference for Random Coefficient INAR(1) Process Based on Frequency Domain Analysis

In this article, we present the explicit expressions for the higher-order moments and cumulants of the first-order random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive (RCINAR(1)) process. The spectral and bispectral density functions are also obtained, which can characterize the RCINAR(1) process in the frequency domain. We use a frequency domain approach which is named Whittle criterion to estimate the parameters of the process. We propose a test statistic which is based on the frequency domain approach for the hypothesis test, H₀: α = 0?H₁: 0 < α < 1, where α is the mean of the random coefficient in the process. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is obtained. We compare the proposed test statistic with other statistics that can test serial dependence in time series of count via a typically numerical simulation, which indicates that our proposed test statistic has a good power.     

The Performance of Randomization Tests that Use Permutations of Independent Variables

ABSTRACT

In this article we evaluate the performance of a randomization test for a subset of regression coefficients in a linear model. This randomization test is based on random permutations of the independent variables. It is shown that the method maintains its level of significance, except for extreme situations, and has power that approximates the power of another randomization test, which is based on the permutation of residuals from the reduced model. We also show, via an example, that the method of permuting independent variables is more valuable than other randomization methods because it can be used in connection with the downweighting of outliers.     

EXTREME VALUE THEORY FOR CERTAIN NON-STATIONARY SEQUENCES1

Under a Markovian structure on a sequence of random variables which can be partitioned into m(1) jointly dependent subsequences (where within each subsequence the random variables have a common marginal distribution which may vary between the subsequences), the asymptotic distribution theory of the sample extreme values is developed. The asymptotic independence of the subsequence extreme values is also studied.     

Likelihood Ratio Test Against Stochastic Order in Three Way Contingency Tables

Trend tests in dose-response have been central problems in medicine. The likelihood ratio test is often used to test hypotheses involving a stochastic order. Stratified contingency tables are common in practice. The distribution theory of likelihood ratio test has not been full developed for stratified tables and more than two stochastically ordered distributions. Under c strata of m × r tables, for testing the conditional independence against simple stochastic order alternative, this article introduces a model-free test method and gives the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic, which is a chi-bar-squared distribution. A real data set concerning an ordered stratified table will be used to show the validity of this test method.     

The likelihood ratio test for high-dimensional linear regression model

The paper considers a significance test of regression variables in the high-dimensional linear regression model when the dimension of the regression variables p, together with the sample size n, tends to infinity. Under two sightly different cases, we proved that the likelihood ratio test statistic will converge in distribution to a Gaussian random variable, and the explicit expressions of the asymptotical mean and covariance are also obtained. The simulations demonstrate that our high-dimensional likelihood ratio test method outperforms those using the traditional methods in analyzing high-dimensional data.     

A test for the complete independence of high-dimensional random vectors

ABSTRACT

This paper discusses the problem of testing the complete independence of random variables when the dimension of observations can be much larger than the sample size. It is reported that two typical tests based on, respectively, the biggest off-diagonal entry and the largest eigenvalue of the sample correlation matrix lose their control of type I error in such high-dimensional scenarios, and exhibit distinct behaviours in type II error under different types of alternative hypothesis. Given these facts, we propose a permutation test procedure by synthesizing these two extreme statistics. Simulation results show that for finite dimension and sample size the proposed test outperforms the existing methods in various cases.     

Scale Checks in Censored Regression

Abstract. Suppose the random vector (X,Y) satisfies the regression model Y = m(X) + σ (X) ? , where m (?) and σ (?) are unknown location and scale functions and ? is independent of X. The response Y is subject to random right censoring, and the covariate X is completely observed. A new test for a specific parametric form of any scale function σ (?) (including the standard deviation function) is proposed. Its statistic is based on the distribution of the residuals obtained from the assumed regression model. Weak convergence of the corresponding process is obtained, and its finite sample behaviour is studied via simulations. Finally, characteristics of the test are illustrated in the analysis of a fatigue data set.     

Testing for two states in a hidden Markov model

The authors consider hidden Markov models (HMMs) whose latent process has m ≥ 2 states and whose state‐dependent distributions arise from a general one‐parameter family. They propose a test of the hypothesis m = 2. Their procedure is an extension to HMMs of the modified likelihood ratio statistic proposed by Chen, Chen & Kalbfleisch (2004) for testing two states in a finite mixture. The authors determine the asymptotic distribution of their test under the hypothesis m = 2 and investigate its finite‐sample properties in a simulation study. Their test is based on inference for the marginal mixture distribution of the HMM. In order to illustrate the additional difficulties due to the dependence structure of the HMM, they show how to test general regular hypotheses on the marginal mixture of HMMs via a quasi‐modified likelihood ratio. They also discuss two applications.     

Some Limit Results for Pareto Random Variables

We sample m (m ≥ 1) i.i.d. Pareto random variables with the density function x ^?2 (x ≥ 1) and establish two large deviations for the partial sums. In addition, the maxima of sums of the two-tailed Pareto random variables is discussed and some asymptotical forms are obtained also.     

One‐Way anova for Functional Data via Globalizing the Pointwise F‐test

In this paper, we propose and study a new global test, namely, GPF test, for the one‐way anova problem for functional data, obtained via globalizing the usual pointwise F‐test. The asymptotic random expressions of the test statistic are derived, and its asymptotic power is investigated. The GPF test is shown to be root‐n consistent. It is much less computationally intensive than a parametric bootstrap test proposed in the literature for the one‐way anova for functional data. Via some simulation studies, it is found that in terms of size‐controlling and power, the GPF test is comparable with two existing tests adopted for the one‐way anova problem for functional data. A real data example illustrates the GPF test.     

A Note on Resampling the Integration Across the Correlation Integral with Alternative Ranges

Abstract

This paper reconsiders the nonlinearity test proposed by Ko[cbreve]enda (Ko[cbreve]enda, E. (2001). An alternative to the BDS test: integration across the correlation integral. Econometric Reviews20:337–351). When the analyzed series is non‐Gaussian, the empirical rejection rates can be much larger than the nominal size. In this context, the necessity of tabulating the empirical distribution of the statistic each time the test is computed is stressed. To that end, simple random permutation works reasonably well. This paper also shows, through Monte Carlo experiments, that Ko[cbreve]enda's test can be more powerful than the Brock et al. (Brock, W., Dechert, D., Scheickman, J., LeBaron, B. (1996). A test for independence based on the correlation dimension. Econometric Reviews15:197–235) procedure. However, more than one range of values for the proximity parameter should be used. Finally, empirical evidence on exchange rates is reassessed.     

Randomly weighted sums of linearly wide quadrant-dependent random variables with heavy tails

This paper investigates tail behavior of the randomly weighted sum ∑ⁿ_{k = 1}θ_kX_k and reaches an asymptotic formula, where X_k, 1 ? k ? n, are real-valued linearly wide quadrant-dependent (LWQD) random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution, and θ_k, 1 ? k ? n, independent of X_k, 1 ? k ? n, are n non-negative random variables without any dependence assumptions. The LWQD structure includes the linearly negative quadrant-dependent structure, the negatively associated structure, and hence the independence structure. On the other hand, it also includes some positively dependent random variables and some other random variables. The obtained result coincides with the existing ones.     

Tests for Symmetry Based on the One-Sample Wilcoxon Signed Rank Statistic

ABSTRACT

The one-sample Wilcoxon signed rank test was originally designed to test for a specified median, under the assumption that the distribution is symmetric, but it can also serve as a test for symmetry if the median is known. In this article we derive the Wilcoxon statistic as the first component of Pearson's X ² statistic for independence in a particularly constructed contingency table. The second and third components are new test statistics for symmetry. In the second part of the article, the Wilcoxon test is extended so that symmetry around the median and symmetry in the tails can be examined seperately. A trimming proportion is used to split the observations in the tails from those around the median. We further extend the method so that no arbitrary choice for the trimming proportion has to be made. Finally, the new tests are compared to other tests for symmetry in a simulation study. It is concluded that our tests often have substantially greater powers than most other tests.     

A Partially Linear Model with Its Applications

The nonparametric component in a partially linear model is approximated via cubic B-splines with a second-order difference penalty on the adjacent B-spline coefficients to avoid undersmoothing. A Wald-type spline-based test statistic is constructed for the null hypothesis of no effect of a continuous covariate. When the number of knots is fixed, the limiting null distribution of the test statistic is the distribution of a linear combination of independent chi-squared random variables, each with one degree of freedom. A real-life dataset is provided to illustrate the practical use of the test statistic.     

Hayter and Tsui's test with double sampling for the vector mean of multivariate normal population

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a version of Hayter and Tsui's statistical test with double sampling for the vector mean of a population under multivariate normal assumption. A study showed that this new test was more or as efficient than the well-known Hotelling's T² with double sampling. Some nice features of Hayter and Tsui's test are its simplicity of implementation and its capability of identifying the errant variables when the null hypothesis is rejected. Taking that into consideration, a new control chart called HTDS is also introduced as a tool to monitor multivariate process vector mean when using double sampling.     

Convergence properties for weighted sums of NSD random variables

Abstract

Let {X_n, n ? 1} be a sequence of negatively superadditive dependent (NSD, in short) random variables and {b_ni, 1 ? i ? n, n ? 1} be an array of real numbers. In this article, we study the strong law of large numbers for the weighted sums ∑ⁿ_{i = 1}b_niX_i without identical distribution. We present some sufficient conditions to prove the strong law of large numbers. As an application, the Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund strong law of large numbers for NSD random variables is obtained. In addition, the complete convergence for the weighted sums of NSD random variables is established. Our results generalize and improve some corresponding ones for independent random variables and negatively associated random variables.     

A Sequential Multi-Hypothesis Test for the Mean Function of a Discrete-Time Gaussian Process

Abstract

A sequential multi-hypothesis test for the mean function of a discrete-time Gaussian process with known covariance kernel is developed. It is obtained by applying the Bechhofer-Kiefer-Sobel generalized sequential probability ratio test GSPRT, and its properties are studied analytically. Selected applications to i.i.d. normal random variables, observation in a time series AR(1) model, and Wiener processes are given.