基于证据推理和前景理论的交叉效率排序方法研究

针对由交叉效率评价策略和交叉效率集结方法的多样性而造成评价结果不一致的问题,提出利用证据推理方法和前景理论,综合各个交叉效率评价策略的评价结果,实现对决策单元的统一评价。首先,分别将选用的交叉效率评价策略以及各个评价策略中的他评效率设置成一级指标和二级指标,依据算数平均和前景理论分别确定一、二级指标的权重;其次,依据他评效率确定二级指标置信度,利用证据推理方法将各个交叉效率评价策略的他评效率综合转换成决策单元被评价为有效的置信度。决策者可通过比较决策单元被识别为有效的置信度的大小来判断决策单元交叉效率的大小,进而实现对决策单元的排序;最后,通过案例验证和说明本文提出方法的有效性和实用性。     

基于公共权重的集成DEA排序方法

基于公共权重的排序研究是管理科学中的一个重要课题,具有很强的现实意义.传统DEA方法确定了使得每个决策单元最优的偏好权重,却无法得到所有单元都能普遍接受的公共权重.本文提出了集成DEA模型,寻求一组公共权重,使得所有单元的无效程度之和最小,此时系统的效率最优.这组权重可以同时度量所有单元的有效程度,进行效率评价,也可以度量每个单元对系统的贡献程度,从而对这些单元进行排序.实例分析证实该模型的有效性和适用性.     

一种新的基于双前沿面的交叉效率方法及其应用

本文将双前沿面效率评价的思想引入到传统交叉效率模型中，同时，针对双前沿面交叉效率方法中仁慈型和激进型交叉效率策略无法抉择，以及这两种交叉效率策略的应用范围有限的不足，提出了一种新的基于双前沿面的交叉效率方法。该方法的基本思想是选取一个理想决策单元和负理想决策单元，使用被评价决策单元的权重来计算理想决策单元和负理想决策单元的效率，并使被评价决策单元的效率尽可能接近理想解的效率，同时，尽可能远离负理想解的效率。根据该思想，分别在乐观前沿面和悲观前沿面下求解交叉效率值并进行集结，避免了由于前沿面的选择不同导致的差异以及决策者对仁慈型和激进型交叉效率策略进行抉择的困难。最后，将本文方法与现有方法进行对比分析，并将本文方法应用于我国东部地区10个省(直辖市)的创新效率评价中，以验证方法的有效性。     

中立型两阶段交叉效率评价方法

在数据包络分析中，已有的两阶段交叉效率评价方法，不仅只能用于基本两阶段网络结构，而且没有中立地分解子阶段效率。文章提出了一个既适用于基本两阶段网络结构，又适用于具有共享输入的两阶段网络结构的，中立型交叉效率评价方法。该方法定义自评时整体效率等于子阶段效率的加权和，在自评整体效率最大的前提下，从使各子阶段效率都尽可能大的角度为每个决策单元分别确定一组最优权重，进而通过互评计算决策单元整体和子阶段的最终效率得分。最后，通过两个实例验证了方法的实用、合理、有效。     

多专家判断的模糊偏好信息集结规划方法

本文给出了一种群决策中通过专家判断矩阵集结专家判断信息的方法。在考虑各专家具有不同强度的偏好效用和容许部分专家给出不完整信息的情况下,将专家判断信息集结转化为一类模糊规划问题,通过最大化群组满意度获得最终的群决策结果。最后,本文通过一个算例说明该方法的可行性及有效性。     

基于社交网络分析的区间二元语义群决策方法研究

通过基于Steiner点的区间二元语义集结方法,将评价信息通过相关转化规则量化为对应的二维坐标系中的坐标点集,运用植物模拟生长算法获取对应区间点集的Steiner点(专家群体最优结集点,即群体共识点),按照逆映射关系还原为二元语义集结信息,从而提出一种基于社交网络分析和专家自信偏好关系的区间二元语义群决策问题的新方法。结合专家自信程度系数和社交网络结构中的影响力调整专家主观权重,结合专家相对重要系数与群体相似度系数获取客观权重,最终确定专家综合权重,并对方案进行择优排序。通过算例分析说明方法的可行性和有效性。     

基于语言评价信息的快速集结方法研究

针对具有语言评价信息的多指标群决策问题,研究了基于二元语义的快速集结方法。把各决策者的语言评价信息转化为二元语义矩阵;依据各决策者的判断偏好,提出方案属性权重求解的规划模型;通过集结和比较各决策者偏好和总体偏好的差异,提出决策者权重确定模型;定义决策者判断一致度及决策者偏差的查找算法,快速辨别偏差较大的决策者并对其提供偏好调整建议;文后例子将其应用于某危险品的救险应急方案的选择。     

权重信息未知情况下的多属性群决策方法及其拓展

本文针对群决策中专家权重及指标权重难以确定的问题,提出一种在权重信息完全未知情况下的基于证据距离和模糊熵权变换的多属性群决策方法,其核心在于如何仅通过决策矩阵客观地确定决策者权重及指标权重。通过信息熵和证据距离确定专家权重,并利用模糊变换原理,将专家权重向量与指标熵权矩阵合成,得到统一的群体决策指标权重;最后使用线性加权法集成所有专家对备选方案的评价信息,得到整个方案集的排序。实验结果及相关讨论表明,该方法概念清晰,计算量适中,具有较强的客观性,而且易于机器实现,是一种可行、有效的多属性群决策方法。最后将该方法推广到属性值由精确数、语言值、区间数、直觉模糊数等多种形式构成的混合型多属性群决策中。     

一种基于语言偏好关系的群体评价方法

针对专家偏好信息权重未知的基于语言偏好关系的群体评价问题提出了一种解决方法.首先,采用序关系分析法和唯一参照物比较判断法指导专家表达偏好信息;其次,在对专家偏好信息形式转换的基础上,定义了2个基于二元语义的诱导有序加权平均算子对权重未知的专家偏好信息进行集结,从而得出群体评价结论;最后,给出了一个应用算例.     

一种基于TOPSIS的混合型多属性群决策方法

本文针对具有语言型和直觉模糊数两种评价信息的混合型多属性群决策问题,提出了一种基于TOPSIS的决策方法。首先,定义了新的函数,可将不同粒度的语言评价信息转换成直觉模糊数。其次,在直觉模糊数熵值的基础上,提出了一种新的专家权重确定模型。再次,利用IFWA算子在把个体决策矩阵集结为群体决策矩阵后,基于TOPSIS分别计算群体评价值到正理想解和负理想解的距离,从而得到方案集的排序。最后,在ERP选优问题中的应用,验证了方法的有效性。     

DEA game cross-efficiency approach to Olympic rankings

A number of studies have used data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the performance of the countries in Olympic games. While competition exists among the countries in Olympic games/rankings, all these DEA studies do not model competition among peer decision making units (DMUs) or countries. These DEA studies find a set of weights/multipliers that keep the efficiency scores of all DMUs at or below unity. Although cross efficiency goes a further step by providing an efficiency measure in terms of the best multiplier bundle for the unit and all the other DMUs, it is not always unique. This paper presents a new and modified DEA game cross-efficiency model where each DMU is viewed as a competitor via non-cooperative game. For each competing DMU, a multiplier bundle is determined that optimizes the efficiency score for that DMU, with the additional constraint that the resulting score should be at or above that DMU 's estimated best performance. The problem, of course, arises that we will not know this best performance score for the DMU under evaluation until the best performances of all other DMUs are known. To combat this “chicken and egg” phenomenon, an iterative approach leading to the Nash equilibrium is presented. The current paper provides a modified variable returns to scale (VRS) model that yields non-negative cross-efficiency scores. The approach is applied to the last six Summer Olympic Games. Our results may indicate that our game cross-efficiency model implicitly incorporates the relative importance of gold, silver and bronze medals without the need for specifying the exact assurance regions.     

Exploiting value system multiplicity and preference voting for robust ranking

Under a data envelopment analysis (DEA) framework, full ranking of a group of decision making units (DMUs) can be carried out through an adequate amalgamation of the cross-efficiency (CE henceforth) scores produced for each DMU. In this paper, we propose a ranking procedure that is based on amalgamating the weight profiles selected over the cross-evaluation rather than related CE scores. The new approach builds, for each DMU, a collective weight profile (CWP henceforth) by exploiting the preference voting system embedded within the matrix of weights, which views the assessing DMUs as voters and the input/output factors as candidates. The occurrence of zero votes is discussed as a special case and a two-level aggregation procedure is developed. The CWPs that are produced extend the concept of collective appreciation to the input/output factors of each DMU so that group dynamics is truly reflected, mainly in decision making circumstances where factor prioritization is necessary for making choices or allocating resources. The robustness of the proposed ranking approach is evaluated with three examples drawn from the literature.     

基于交叉效率和合作博弈的决策单元排序方法

在数据包络分析中，大量的交叉效率模型已被提出。然而选择不同的目标模型将实现不一样的交叉效率评价。本文基于针对单个决策单元实施的对抗型和仁慈型两个交叉效率模型，用合作博弈方法来研究交叉效率模型的选取，并利用Shapley值对决策单元进行排序。最后通过实例分析显示该排序方法充分利用了最小交叉效率和最大交叉效率的信息完全排序了所有决策单元，具有一定的综合性和合理性。     

Common benchmarking and ranking of units with DEA

This paper develops a common framework for benchmarking and ranking units with DEA. In many DEA applications, decision making units (DMUs) experience similar circumstances, so benchmarking analyses in those situations should identify common best practices in their management plans. We propose a DEA-based approach for the benchmarking to be used when there is no need (nor wish) to allow for individual circumstances of the DMUs. This approach identifies a common best practice frontier as the facet of the DEA efficient frontier spanned by the technically efficient DMUs in a common reference group. The common reference group is selected as that which provides the closest targets. A model is developed which allows us to deal not only with the setting of targets but also with the measurement of efficiency, because we can define efficiency scores of the DMUs by using the common set of weights (CSW) it provides. Since these weights are common to all the DMUs, the resulting efficiency scores can be used to derive a ranking of units. We discuss the existence of alternative optimal solutions for the CSW and find the range of possible rankings for each DMU which would result from considering all these alternate optima. These ranking ranges allow us to gain insight into the robustness of the rankings.     

Allocating a fixed cost based on data envelopment analysis and satisfaction degree

This paper uses the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) technique to solve the problem of allocating a fixed cost across a set of comparable decision making units (DMUs) in a fair way. It first investigates the effect of the fixed cost on each DMU and on the collection of DMUs. Next we prove that there exist some cost allocations which can make each DMU and the collection of DMUs efficient. We show that such a cost allocation is unique and equivalent to the proportional sharing method if the fixed cost allocation problem is a one-dimensional case. In a multidimensional case, the fixed cost allocations may not be unique. This paper defines the concept of satisfaction degree, and proposes a maxmin model and a corresponding algorithm to generate a unique fixed cost allocation. Finally, the proposed approach has been applied to a data set from prior literature.     

三元效率区间下决策单元的全局绩效评价

针对现实生活中投入产出数据的不确定性,许多学者提出从乐观和悲观角度计算决策单元的效率区间,但每个效率区间的上、下界值都是决策单元表现的两种极端情况。本文通过引入心态指标衡量决策者的偏好,获得了一个最有可能的效率值,它与上界值、下界值共同组成了三元效率区间。然后改进了两级排序方法:提出了三元有向距离指数,为所有决策单元获得全序化结果。本文引用前人文中的数例验证了该方法是一种更为精确、可全序化的评价、决策方法,可广泛应用于效率测评中。     

Cross efficiency measurement and decomposition in two basic network systems

The data envelopment analysis (DEA) technique uses the most favorable weights for each decision making unit (DMU) to calculate efficiency. The resulting efficiency scores are thus incomparable and difficult to discriminate. This phenomenon is more prominent for network systems, which involves the ranking of the component divisions, in addition to the system. This paper applies the idea of cross evaluation, which has been demonstrated to be an effective approach in ranking DMUs for systems considered as a whole-unit, to measure the efficiency of the two basic structures of network systems, series and parallel. The proposed model is able to decompose the cross efficiency measure of the system into the product of those of the divisions for the series structure and a weighted average for the parallel structure. The results from two real-world cases, one for the basic series structure and another for the parallel one, show that the cross efficiency measures proposed in this paper not only increase the discriminating power in ranking systems and divisions, but also identify the relationship between the system and division efficiencies. Which division has stronger effects on the performance of the system is reflected from this relationship.     

Integrated framework for robustness analysis using ratio-based efficiency model with application to evaluation of Polish airports

We consider a problem of evaluating efficiency of Decision Making Units (DMUs) based on their deterministic performance on multiple consumed inputs and multiple produced outputs. We apply a ratio-based efficiency measure, and account for the Decision Maker׳s preference information representable with linear constraints involving input/output weights. We analyze the set of all feasible weights to answer various robustness concerns by deriving: (1) extreme efficiency scores and (2) extreme efficiency ranks for each DMU, (3) possible and necessary efficiency preference relations for pairs of DMUs, (4) efficiency distribution, (5) efficiency rank acceptability indices, and (6) pairwise efficiency outranking indices. The proposed hybrid approach combines and extends previous results from Ratio-based Efficiency Analysis and the SMAA-D method. The practical managerial implications are derived from the complementary character of accounted perspectives on DMUs׳ efficiencies. We present an innovative open-source software implementing an integrated framework for robustness analysis using a ratio-based efficiency model on the diviz platform. The proposed approach is applied to a real-world problem of evaluating efficiency of Polish airports. We consider four inputs related to the capacities of a terminal, runways, and an apron, and to the airport׳s catchment area, and two outputs concerning passenger traffic and number of aircraft movements. We present how the results can be affected by integrating the weight constraints and eliminating outlier DMUs.     

考虑环境属性约束的平行结构DEA模型

针对平行结构DEA模型在构造虚拟参考单元时没有考虑任何约束可能存在低估效率的情况,通过加入决策单元的环境属性对现有的平行结构模型进行了改进,从而在组合为虚拟参考单元的子决策单元之间添加必要的约束,使得模型所得的效率值更具现实意义。最后,将改进后的平行结构模型应用于中国各省份污染治理效率评价问题,从实证角度验证了模型的合理性和有效性。     

A slacks-based measure model for calculating cross efficiency in data envelopment analysis

Cross efficiency is a concept for solving the problem of incomparability among the efficiencies of a set of decision making units (DMUs) calculated from different weights in data envelopment analysis, and is helpful for ranking. Conventional cross efficiency is a radial measure, and the radial measure has some weaknesses. First, it is not able to provide appropriate efficiency scores for weakly efficient DMUs. Second, the efficiencies measured from the input and output sides under variable returns to scale are different which may cause difficulties in subsequent analyses. Third, negative values may appear when the efficiency is measured from the input side. To solve these problems, this paper proposes a slacks-based measure to calculate efficiency. The basic idea is the same as that of the radial measure using the frontier corresponding to a DMU to measure the efficiency of all DMUs, except that the efficiency measure is slacks-based instead of radial. Due to the nature of the slacks-based efficiency measure, the problems caused by weak efficiency and difference in input and output radial measures do not exist. More importantly, negative efficiencies are not produced. The proposed method is applied to a real case involving the selection of the most efficient robot to use for production. The results help identify the top-ranked robot.