Penalized quantile regression for dynamic panel data

This paper studies penalized quantile regression for dynamic panel data with fixed effects, where the penalty involves l₁ shrinkage of the fixed effects. Using extensive Monte Carlo simulations, we present evidence that the penalty term reduces the dynamic panel bias and increases the efficiency of the estimators. The underlying intuition is that there is no need to use instrumental variables for the lagged dependent variable in the dynamic panel data model without fixed effects. This provides an additional use for the shrinkage models, other than model selection and efficiency gains. We propose a Bayesian information criterion based estimator for the parameter that controls the degree of shrinkage. We illustrate the usefulness of the novel econometric technique by estimating a “target leverage” model that includes a speed of capital structure adjustment. Using the proposed penalized quantile regression model the estimates of the adjustment speeds lie between 3% and 44% across the quantiles, showing strong evidence that there is substantial heterogeneity in the speed of adjustment among firms.     

Exponential class of dynamic binary choice panel data models with fixed effects

ABSTRACT

This paper proposes an exponential class of dynamic binary choice panel data models for the analysis of short T (time dimension) large N (cross section dimension) panel data sets that allow for unobserved heterogeneity (fixed effects) to be arbitrarily correlated with the covariates. The paper derives moment conditions that are invariant to the fixed effects which are then used to identify and estimate the parameters of the model. Accordingly, generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators are proposed that are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed at the root-N rate. We also study the conditional likelihood approach and show that under exponential specification, it can identify the effect of state dependence but not the effects of other covariates. Monte Carlo experiments show satisfactory finite sample performance for the proposed estimators and investigate their robustness to misspecification.     

Power-transformed linear regression on quantile residual life for censored competing risks data

ABSTRACT

This paper proposes a power-transformed linear quantile regression model for the residual lifetime of competing risks data. The proposed model can describe the association between any quantile of a time-to-event distribution among survivors beyond a specific time point and the covariates. Under covariate-dependent censoring, we develop an estimation procedure with two steps, including an unbiased monotone estimating equation for regression parameters and cumulative sum processes for the Box–Cox transformation parameter. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are also derived. We employ an efficient bootstrap method for the estimation of the variance–covariance matrix. The finite-sample performance of the proposed approaches are evaluated through simulation studies and a real example.     

Bayesian analysis of dynamic panel data by penalized quantile regression

Existing literature on quantile regression for panel data models with individual effects advocates the application of penalization to reduce the dynamic panel bias and increase the efficiency of the estimators. In this paper, we consider penalized quantile regression for dynamic panel data with random effects from a Bayesian perspective, where the penalty involves an adaptive Lasso shrinkage of the random effects. We also address the role of initial conditions in dynamic panel data models, emphasizing joint modeling of start-up and subsequent responses. For posterior inference, an efficient Gibbs sampler is developed to simulate the parameters from the posterior distributions. Through simulation studies and analysis of a real data set, we assess the performance of the proposed Bayesian method.     

B-spline estimation for partially linear varying coefficient composite quantile regression models

Abstract

In this article, a new composite quantile regression estimation (CQR) approach is proposed for partially linear varying coefficient models (PLVCM) under composite quantile loss function with B-spline approximations. The major advantage of the proposed procedures over the existing ones is easy to implement using existing software, and it requires no specification of the error distributions. Under the regularity conditions, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators are also derived. Finally, a simulation study and a real data application are undertaken to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed estimation procedure.     

Randomized quantile regression estimation for heteroskedastic non parametric model

In this paper, we propose robust randomized quantile regression estimators for the mean and (condition) variance functions of the popular heteroskedastic non parametric regression model. Unlike classical approaches which consider quantile as a fixed quantity, our method treats quantile as a uniformly distributed random variable. Our proposed method can be employed to estimate the error distribution, which could significantly improve prediction results. An automatic bandwidth selection scheme will be discussed. Asymptotic properties and relative efficiencies of the proposed estimators are investigated. Our empirical results show that the proposed estimators work well even for random errors with infinite variances. Various numerical simulations and two real data examples are used to demonstrate our methodologies.     

Difference-based estimation and model identification for panel data semiparametric models with cross-section dependence

Abstract

In this article, we consider a panel data partially linear regression model with fixed effect and non parametric time trend function. The data can be dependent cross individuals through linear regressor and error components. Unlike the methods using non parametric smoothing technique, a difference-based method is proposed to estimate linear regression coefficients of the model to avoid bandwidth selection. Here the difference technique is employed to eliminate the non parametric function effect, not the fixed effects, on linear regressor coefficient estimation totally. Therefore, a more efficient estimator for parametric part is anticipated, which is shown to be true by the simulation results. For the non parametric component, the polynomial spline technique is implemented. The asymptotic properties of estimators for parametric and non parametric parts are presented. We also show how to select informative ones from a number of covariates in the linear part by using smoothly clipped absolute deviation-penalized estimators on a difference-based least-squares objective function, and the resulting estimators perform asymptotically as well as the oracle procedure in terms of selecting the correct model.     

Quantile regression methods for censored gap time data

ABSTRACT

In longitudinal studies, subjects may potentially undergo a series of sequentially ordered events. The gap times, which are the times between two serial events, are often the outcome variables of interest. This study considers quantile regression models of gap times for censored serial-event data and adapts a weighted version of the estimating equation for regression coefficients. The resulting estimators are uniformly consistent and asymptotically normal. Extensive simulation studies are presented to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the proposed methods. An analysis of the tumor recurrence data for bladder cancer patients is also provided to illustrate our proposed methods.     

面板数据的分位回归方法及其模拟研究

文章讨论了含有固定效应的面板数据模型,给出了3种估计未知参数的分位回归方法,蒙特卡洛模拟结果显示这些分位回归方法是处理面板数据的有效手段,且在误差非正态时优于均值回归方法。文章最后给出了一个真实数据的建模案例,得到了有利于决策的有用参考信息。     

Modified Profile Likelihood for Fixed-Effects Panel Data Models

We show how modified profile likelihood methods, developed in the statistical literature, may be effectively applied to estimate the structural parameters of econometric models for panel data, with a remarkable reduction of bias with respect to ordinary likelihood methods. Initially, the implementation of these methods is illustrated for general models for panel data including individual-specific fixed effects and then, in more detail, for the truncated linear regression model and dynamic regression models for binary data formulated along with different specifications. Simulation studies show the good behavior of the inference based on the modified profile likelihood, even when compared to an ideal, although infeasible, procedure (in which the fixed effects are known) and also to alternative estimators existing in the econometric literature. The proposed estimation methods are implemented in an R package that we make available to the reader.     

Best linear unbiased and invariant estimation in location-scale families based on double-ranked set sampling

Abstract

In this article, we propose the best linear unbiased estimators (BLUEs) and best linear invariant estimators (BLIEs) for the unknown parameters of location-scale family of distributions based on double-ranked set sampling (DRSS) using perfect and imperfect rankings. These estimators are then compared with the BLUEs and BLIEs based on ranked set sampling (RSS). It is shown that under perfect ranking, the proposed estimators are uniformly better than the BLUEs and BLIEs obtained via RSS. We also propose the best linear unbiased quantile (BLUQ) and the best linear invariant quantile (BLIQ) estimators for normal distribution under DRSS. It is observed that the proposed quantile estimators are more efficient than the BLUQ and BLIQ estimators based on RSS for both perfect and imperfect orderings.     

Local linear double and asymmetric kernel estimation of conditional quantiles

Abstract

In this work, we propose and investigate a family of non parametric quantile regression estimates. The proposed estimates combine local linear fitting and double kernel approaches. More precisely, we use a Beta kernel when covariate’s support is compact and Gamma kernel for left-bounded supports. Finite sample properties together with asymptotic behavior of the proposed estimators are presented. It is also shown that these estimates enjoy the property of having finite variance and resistance to sparse design.     

Quantile regression in longitudinal studies with dropouts and measurement errors

ABSTRACT

Quantile regression models, as an important tool in practice, can describe effects of risk factors on the entire conditional distribution of the response variable with its estimates robust to outliers. However, there is few discussion on quantile regression for longitudinal data with both missing responses and measurement errors, which are commonly seen in practice. We develop a weighted and bias-corrected quantile loss function for the quantile regression with longitudinal data, which allows both missingness and measurement errors. Additionally, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Simulation studies demonstrate the expected performance in correcting the bias resulted from missingness and measurement errors. Finally, we investigate the Lifestyle Education for Activity and Nutrition study and confirm the effective of intervention in producing weight loss after nine month at the high quantile.     

A two-stage estimation for panel data models with grouped fixed effects

ABSTRACT

This paper considers panel data models with fixed effects which have grouped patterns with unknown group membership. A two-stage estimation (TSE) procedure is developed to improve the properties of the GFE estimators of common parameters when the time span is small. Firstly, the common parameters are estimated. Subsequently, the optimal group assignment and the estimators of group effects are obtained by the K-means algorithm. Monte Carlo results reveal that the TSE estimator has a much smaller bias than the GFE estimator when the values of difference between effects are moderately small or at high variance of the idiosyncratic error.     

Weighted quantile regression and testing for varying-coefficient models with randomly truncated data

This paper develops a varying-coefficient approach to the estimation and testing of regression quantiles under randomly truncated data. In order to handle the truncated data, the random weights are introduced and the weighted quantile regression (WQR) estimators for nonparametric functions are proposed. To achieve nice efficiency properties, we further develop a weighted composite quantile regression (WCQR) estimation method for nonparametric functions in varying-coefficient models. The asymptotic properties both for the proposed WQR and WCQR estimators are established. In addition, we propose a novel bootstrap-based test procedure to test whether the nonparametric functions in varying-coefficient quantile models can be specified by some function forms. The performance of the proposed estimators and test procedure are investigated through simulation studies and a real data example.     

基于Gibbs抽样算法的面板数据分位回归方法

 文章讨论了含有随机效应的面板数据模型,利用非对称Laplace分布与分位回归之间的关系,文章建立了一种贝叶斯分层分位回归模型。通过对非对称Laplace分布的分解,文章给出了Gibbs抽样算法下模型参数的点估计及区间估计,模拟结果显示,在处理含随机效应的面板数据模型中,特别是在误差非正态的情况下,本文的方法优于传统的均值模型方法。文章最后利用新方法对我国各地区经济与就业面板数据进行了实证研究,得到了有利于宏观调控的有用信息。     

Distribution estimation with auxiliary information for missing data

There is much literature on statistical inference for distribution under missing data, but surprisingly very little previous attention has been paid to missing data in the context of estimating distribution with auxiliary information. In this article, the auxiliary information with missing data is proposed. We use Zhou, Wan and Wang's method (2008) to mitigate the effects of missing data through a reformulation of the estimating equations, imputed through a semi-parametric procedure. Whence we can estimate distribution and the τth quantile of the distribution by taking auxiliary information into account. Asymptotic properties of the distribution estimator and corresponding sample quantile are derived and analyzed. The distribution estimators based on our method are found to significantly outperform the corresponding estimators without auxiliary information. Some simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the proposed estimators.     

Bayesian Lasso-mixed quantile regression

In this paper, we discuss the regularization in linear-mixed quantile regression. A hierarchical Bayesian model is used to shrink the fixed and random effects towards the common population values by introducing an l₁ penalty in the mixed quantile regression check function. A Gibbs sampler is developed to simulate the parameters from the posterior distributions. Through simulation studies and analysis of an age-related macular degeneration (ARMD) data, we assess the performance of the proposed method. The simulation studies and the ARMD data analysis indicate that the proposed method performs well in comparison with the other approaches.     

Nonparametric estimators for quantile density function under length-biased sampling

Abstract

In this article, the strong uniform consistency of two nonparametric estimators for the quantile density function is established under length-biased sampling. The rate of the strong approximation of the resulting processes of these estimators will be presented as well. A Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the proposed estimators with each other in terms of mean squared errors.     

Statistical inference of partially linear panel data regression models with fixed individual and time effects

This article considers a partially linear panel data model with fixed individual and time effects in a setting where both N and T are large. Based on the within transformation and profile likelihood method, we propose an approach to estimating the parametric and non parametric components of the partially linear model. The resultant estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. Monte Carlo simulations are also conducted to illustrate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimators.