On approximations via convolution-defined mixture models

An often-cited fact regarding mixing or mixture distributions is that their density functions are able to approximate the density function of any unknown distribution to arbitrary degrees of accuracy, provided that the mixing or mixture distribution is sufficiently complex. This fact is often not made concrete. We investigate and review theorems that provide approximation bounds for mixing distributions. Connections between the approximation bounds of mixing distributions and estimation bounds for the maximum likelihood estimator of finite mixtures of location-scale distributions are reviewed.     

Statistical Inference and Applications of Mixture of Varying Coefficient Models

In this paper, we consider a new mixture of varying coefficient models, in which each mixture component follows a varying coefficient model and the mixing proportions and dispersion parameters are also allowed to be unknown smooth functions. We systematically study the identifiability, estimation and inference for the new mixture model. The proposed new mixture model is rather general, encompassing many mixture models as its special cases such as mixtures of linear regression models, mixtures of generalized linear models, mixtures of partially linear models and mixtures of generalized additive models, some of which are new mixture models by themselves and have not been investigated before. The new mixture of varying coefficient model is shown to be identifiable under mild conditions. We develop a local likelihood procedure and a modified expectation–maximization algorithm for the estimation of the unknown non‐parametric functions. Asymptotic normality is established for the proposed estimator. A generalized likelihood ratio test is further developed for testing whether some of the unknown functions are constants. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the proposed generalized likelihood ratio test statistics and prove that the Wilks phenomenon holds. The proposed methodology is illustrated by Monte Carlo simulations and an analysis of a CO₂‐GDP data set.     

Some bounds related to Harris family of distributions

As a lifetime distribution, Harris family of distributions are applied to the lifetime of a series system with random number of components. In this paper, properties of various ageing classes of mixtures of Harris family of distributions, where the tilt parameter of a Harris distribution is taken as a random variable, are studied. We obtain an upper bound for maximum error in evaluating its reliability function. Two bounds are also presented for survival function and expectation of the mixed Harris family. We also provide some interesting bounds for its residual survival function. Our results generalize several previous findings in this connection. Some illustrative examples are also provided.     

Bounds on Bivariate Distribution Functions with Given Margins and Known Values at Several Points

Let H(x, y) be a continuous bivariate distribution function with known marginal distribution functions F(x) and G(y). Suppose the values of H are given at several points, H(x _i , y _i ) = θ _i , i = 1, 2,…, n. We first discuss conditions for the existence of a distribution satisfying these conditions, and present a procedure for checking if such a distribution exists. We then consider finding lower and upper bounds for such distributions. These bounds may be used to establish bounds on the values of Spearman's ρ and Kendall's τ. For n = 2, we present necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of such a distribution function and derive best-possible upper and lower bounds for H(x, y). As shown by a counter-example, these bounds need not be proper distribution functions, and we find conditions for these bounds to be (proper) distribution functions. We also present some results for the general case, where the values of H(x, y) are known at more than two points. In view of the simplification in notation, our results are presented in terms of copulas, but they may easily be expressed in terms of distribution functions.     

On Stein's method, smoothing estimates in total variation distance and mixture distributions

In many settings it is useful to have bounds on the total variation distance between some random variable Z and its shifted version Z+1. For example, such quantities are often needed when applying Stein's method for probability approximation. This note considers one way in which such bounds can be derived, in cases where Z is either the equilibrium distribution of some birth-death process or the mixture of such a distribution. Applications of these bounds are given to translated Poisson and compound Poisson approximations for Poisson mixtures and the Pólya distribution.     

Optimal bounds on the bias of quasimidranges

We derive sharp upper and lower bounds on expectations of sample quasimidranges, that is, arithmetic means of two fixed order statistics of the sample, expressed in various scale units. They can be considered as the bounds on the bias of estimating unknown mean of the parent distribution by the above statistics. While determining the appropriate projection, we consider two new auxiliary functions whose usage provides analytical conditions determining the form of corresponding greatest convex minorant. The results are illustrated with numerical examples.     

Homogeneity testing in a Weibull mixture model

The mixed Weibull distribution provides a flexible model to analyze random durations in a possibly heterogeneous population. To test for homogeneity against unobserved heterogeneity in a Weibull mixture model, a dispersion score test and a goodness-of-fit test are investigated. The empirical power of these tests is assessed and compared on a broad range of alternatives. It comes out that the dispersion score test, as it is based on a Weibull-to-exponential transformation, often breaks down. A simple new procedure is introduced for Weibull mixtures in scale, which combines the dispersion score test and the goodness-of-fit test. The new test is compared with several known procedures and shown to have a good overall power. To detect mixtures in shape and scale, a goodness-of-fit test is recommended. This research has been partially sponsored by a grant of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft. We thank Lars Haferkamp for computational assistance and Wilfried Seidel and a referee for their remarks on alternative test procedures.     

Properties of Coherent Systems with Dependent Components

We introduce two new families of univariate distributions that we call hyperminimal and hypermaximal distributions. These families have interesting applications in the context of reliability theory in that they contain that of coherent system lifetime distributions. For these families, we obtain distributions, bounds, and moments. We also define the minimal and maximal signatures of a coherent system with exchangeable components which allow us to represent the system distribution as generalized mixtures (i.e., mixtures with possibly negative weights) of series and parallel systems. These results can also be applied to order statistics (k-out-of-n systems). Finally, we give some applications studying coherent systems with different multivariate exponential joint distributions.     

Some Utilizations of Lambert W Function in Distribution Theory

We introduce a new class of positive infinitely divisible probability laws calling them 𝔏_γ distributions. Their cumulant-generating functions (cgf) are expressed in terms of the principal branch of the Lambert W function. The probability density functions (pdfs) of 𝔏_γ laws are bounded resembling pdf of a Lévy stable distribution. The exponential dispersion model constructed starting from an 𝔏_γ distribution admits the inverse Gaussian approximation. The natural exponential family constructed starting from an 𝔏_γ distribution constitutes the reciprocal of the natural exponential family generated by a spectrally negative stable law with α = 1. We derive new results on 𝔏_γ laws and the related exponential dispersion models, including their convolution and scaling closure properties. We generate another exponential dispersion model starting from an exponentially compounded 𝔏_γ law. This distribution emerges in the Poisson mixture representation of a generalized Poisson law. We extend the Poisson approximation for the scaled Neyman type A exponential dispersion model. We derive saddlepoint-type approximations for some of these exponential dispersion models. The role of the Lambert W function is emphasized.     

Comparison of Records and Maxima

We establish best upper bounds on the expected differences of records and sample maxima, and kth records and kth maxima based on sequences of independent random variables with identical continuous distribution and finite variance. The bounds are expressed in terms of the standard deviation units of the parent distribution. We also provide conditions for attaining the bounds.     

Bayesian predictive density of order statistics based on finite mixture models

Bayesian predictive density functions, which are necessary to obtain bounds for predictive intervals of future order statistics, are obtained when the population density is a finite mixture of general components. Such components include, among others, the Weibull (exponential and Rayleigh as special cases), compound Weibull (three-parameter Burr type XII), Pareto, beta, Gompertz and compound Gompertz distributions. The prior belief of the experimenter is measured by a general distribution that was suggested by AL-Hussaini (J. Statist. Plann. Inf. 79 (1999b) 79). Applications to finite mixtures of Weibull and Burr type XII components are illustrated and comparison is made, in the special cases of the exponential and Pareto type II components, with previous results.     

On Infinitely Divisible Exponential Dispersion Model Related to Poisson-Exponential Distribution

We construct a univariate exponential dispersion model comprised of discrete infinitely divisible distributions. This model emerges in the theory of branching processes. We obtain a representation for the Lévy measure of relevant distributions and characterize their laws as Poisson mixtures and/or compound Poisson distributions. The regularity of the unit variance function of this model is employed for the derivation of approximations by the Poisson-exponential model. We emphasize the role of the latter class. We construct local approximations relating them to properties of special functions and branching diffusions.     

Truncation bounds for infinite expansions for the stable distributions

A number of authors have presented tabulations for the stable distributions based on infinite expansions for the density functions. In this paper we derive exact bounds for the truncation errors in these expansions and use the results to comment on some of the problems that have arisen in tabulating the stable distribution functions. The derivation of the truncation bounds relies on a little-known result for complex argument Taylor series due to Darboux (1876) which IS of much wider applicability than the present context.     

Sharp Bounds on a Class of Copulas with known Values at Several Points

We derive best-possible bounds on the class of copulas with known values at several points, under the assumption that the points are either in “increasing order” or in “decreasing order”. These bounds may be used to establish best-possible bounds on Kendall's τ and Spearman's ρ, for such copulas. An important special case is when the values of a copula are known at several diagonal points. We also use our results to establish best-possible bounds on the distribution function of the sum of two random variables with known marginal distributions when the values of the joint distribution function are known at several points.     

Percentile Related Bounds and Estimator for the Mean of the Negative Binomial Distribution

Upper and lower bounds are obtained for the mean of the negative binomial distribution. These bounds are simple functions of a percentile determined by the shape parameter. The result is then used to obtain a robust estimate of the mean when the shape parameter is known.     

Inequalities for Expected Current Record Statistics

In this article, we obtain sharp distribution-free bounds for the expected value of the gap between the current records and record values as well as upper sharp bounds for the spacings between any two upper current records. We also present two-sided bounds on the errors in approximating the means of current records by inverse hazard functions.     

Recovery of functions from transformed moments: A unified approach

Two approximations recovering the functions from their transformed moments are proposed. The upper bounds for the uniform rate of convergence are derived. In addition, the comparisons of the estimates of the cumulative distribution function and its density function with the empirical distribution and the kernel density estimates are conducted via a simulation study. The plots of recovered functions are presented for several examples as well.     

Refined solution to upper-bound problem for the expectations of order statistics from decreasing density on the average distributions

Rychlik [Metrika 77, 539–557, 2014] described sharp upper negative bounds for the expectations of low-rank order statistics, centered about the population mean and measured in the mean absolute deviation from the mean units, for the i.i.d. sequences with common distribution possessing decreasing density function on the average. The bounds coincide with the negatives of maximal values of complicated functions on the unit interval. Here, we provide more precise solutions to the maximization problems.     

Bounds for the error in an approximation to the distribution of continuous random vectors with bounded supports

An approximation for the distributions of m-dimensional random variables with absolutely continuous cumulative distribution functions and bounded supports is presented. In addition, two easily computed bounds for the error in using the approximation rather than the actual distribution are provided for any measurable region.     

On characterizations and variance bounds of discrete α-unimodality

Characterizations of α-unimodality for integer-valued random variables about a specific mode are established in terms of their probability mass functions, distribution functions and characteristic functions. Using these characterizations variance lower bounds in terms of α and the mode are derived. For α=1 all these results are reduced to ordinary unimodality. The new variance lower bounds for discrete unimodality is sharper than its continuous counterpart. An upper bound for the variance of discrete unimodal distribution defined on a finite support is discussed.