国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部资助项目评估研究

国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部自1998年起对1992~2003年(见P7表3)后资助的已结题面上项目进行全面的绩效评估。对项目的绩效评估结果进行了初步分析,结论是管理科学部开展项目的评估效果是好的,同时总结了评估中存在的问题,提出了今后改进与完善评估工作的若干建议。     

关于国家自然科学基金管理科学部资助项目后评估的研究

国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部自1998年以来对所资助的面上项目（1992年以来批准的项目）在结题后进行后评估。本文在概述了后评估及其指标体系和运作实践之后，对10年资助项目的后评估的结果进行了分析研究。     

损失规避的性质探索——国家自然科学基金“特优”项目(70871110)回溯

国家自然科学基金资助项目"损失规避的性质探索"由国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部于2009年1月立项,2011年12月完成,并于2014年在国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部组织的结题项目绩效评估会上被评为"特优"。通过对项目研究的课题内容和创新性成果的剖析,回顾了项目研究的各项进展,并对项目的学术价值及成果应用进行介绍。     

管理科学发展战略与“十一五”优先资助领域遴选研究

从当代科学技术发展规律与主要特点出发,提出了制定管理科学发展战略的基本依据.分析了我国管理科学学科发展的特点、阶段和发展状况.进而对科学基金资助管理科学的总体特点与效果进行了分析;明确了国家自然科学基金管理科学部工作的指导思想、总体目标与措施;提出了管理科学部的具体工作方针与以及对项目研究的要求.最后,提出发展战略与优先资助领域遴选研究工作要点和要求.     

管理科学发展战略与“十一五”优先资助领域遴选研究

从当代科学技术发展规律与主要特点出发,提出了制定管理科学发展战略的基本依据.分析了我国管理科学学科发展的特点、阶段和发展状况.进而对科学基金资助管理科学的总体特点与效果进行了分析;明确了国家自然科学基金管理科学部工作的指导思想、总体目标与措施;提出了管理科学部的具体工作方针与以及对项目研究的要求.最后,提出发展战略与优先资助领域遴选研究工作要点和要求.     

管理科学与工程学科基金项目资助和SCI论文发表情况分析

系统地统计了2003～2008年国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部管理科学与工程学科面上项目和青年项目受资助的总体情况,分析了各个子学科类别的资助状况和发表SCI论文情况,同时分析比较了国家"十一五"与"十五"期间的资助项目情况和发表SCI论文数量情况,找出其中存在的问题并对其原因进行了分析.最后,依据国家自然科学基金"十一五"发展战略,提出今后国家自然科学基金资助策略和建议.     

管理数据挖掘研究的基金资助进展分析

分析了国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部管理科学与工程学科近年来对数据挖掘及其在管理中应用的资助情况,总结了资助项目取得的主要研究进展,以期为该领域研究者提供参考。     

管理科学基金项目申请增长情况与原因分析

进入新世纪以来,管理科学部基金申请和资助项目数量连续快速增长,但在学科各领域的增长速率是不均衡的,前30名的依托单位承担了超过40%的申请和50%以上的受资助项目.申请项目连续增长既有社会需求强烈、学科本身发展成长的原因,也有部分申请者对学科界限认识不清的问题.今后应在基金管理工作中更加注重规范和质量,加强学科宣传和项目后期管理,完善科学基金特别是对管理科学的资助政策.     

中国决策理论与方法研究的资助与进展分析

针对国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部管理科学与工程学科历年来资助决策理论与方法研究领域的项目进行统计和分析,总结了该领域项目资助的进展及其已取得的研究成果,以期给该领域学者的未来研究提供一些参考和启发,促进中国决策科学研究的进一步发展。     

突发公共事件后中国民众的后继风险决策——国家自然科学基金特优项目(70671099)回溯

国家自然科学基金面上项目"突发公共事件后中国民众的后继风险决策"由国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部于2007年1月立项,于2009年12月完成,并于2012年在国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部组织的结题项目绩效评估会上被评为"特优"。通过对项目研究的科学问题和创新性的分析,全面介绍了项目研究的内容和进展,回顾了项目研究所得出的重要科学成果,并对该项目的学术价值、成果应用以及所发表研究论文情况进行了介绍。     

我国供应链管理研究进展与分析-基于自然科学基金项目

本文统计与分析了管理科学部管理科学与工程学科近年来对供应链管理研究的资助情况,并概括分析了在此领域中的五个具体热点研究方向,在国家自然科学基金资助下所取得的进展,以期为该领域研究者提供参考和启发,进一步促进供应链管理的发展。     

基于管理类国际权威期刊的中国管理科学与工程学科研究现状分析

基于管理科学与工程学科2010~2019年发表在46份国际权威期刊上的13391篇论文数据,利用文献计量学分析方法,从文献发表记录和基金资助文献两个维度对管理科学与工程学科19个领域的研究现状进行分析。研究结果表明:近10年来,管理科学与工程学科的研究热点主要集中在“博弈论”“创新”“定价”“项目管理”“动态规划”和“供应链管理”等方向。美国、中国、英国、加拿大、德国的发文量排名前5位。在发文量最多的5个国家中,中国国家自然科学基金委员会资助的论文数量排名第一位,且信息系统与管理、管理系统工程是获得资助最多的领域。此外,在国家自然科学基金资助项目中,“供应链”是最热门的主题,“交通管理”和“优化”等主题受到较大关注。在中国大陆机构中,香港城市大学、香港科技大学、香港理工大学、香港中文大学和清华大学的发文量位居前5位。     

中国管理科学学科发展态势计量分析

本文从国家自然科学基金资助情况和在国际重要期刊上发表论文情况两个维度，梳理中国管理科学2009-2018年的发展态势。研究结果显示国家自然科学基金是管理科学研究资助的主渠道，资助项数和资助金额稳步增加。中国学者在国际重要期刊上发表的论文数量增长迅速，从2009年的1314篇增长到2018年的6309篇，年均增长19.04%。此外，第一作者或通讯作者论文占比也从2009年的69.03%增长到2018年的88.57%。2009-2018年中国学者的发文总量居世界第三，2018年单年发文量居世界第二，国际合作论文数稳步增长，表明近年来中国管理科学研究呈现出快速发展态势。结合基金资助和发表论文的增速来看，发文量的年均增长率高于基金资助的增长率，并且受资助论文数量和占比逐年增加，表明国家自然科学基金对中国管理科学研究的资助效果明显。     

Search for Yield

We present a model of the relationship between real interest rates, credit spreads, and the structure and risk of the banking system. Banks intermediate between entrepreneurs and investors, and can monitor entrepreneurs' projects. We characterize the equilibrium for a fixed aggregate supply of savings, showing that safer entrepreneurs will be funded by nonmonitoring banks and riskier entrepreneurs by monitoring banks. We show that an increase in savings reduces interest rates and spreads, and increases the relative size of the nonmonitoring banking system and the probability of failure of monitoring banks. We also show that the dynamic version of the model exhibits endogenous boom and bust cycles, and rationalizes the existence of countercyclical risk premia and the connection between low interest rates, tight credit spreads, and the buildup of risks during booms.     

Mechanization in building construction projects: assessment and views from the practitioners

Abstract

While mechanization has been widely adopted in the current construction industry, little research has been done to assess the level of mechanization in building construction projects. The aims of this study are to propose a framework that can assess the level of mechanization in building construction projects, to develop a computer-based tool that can help assess mechanization levels, and to collect the views of industry practitioners regarding mechanization. To achieve these goals, a comprehensive literature review was conducted first, and based on which a six-layer assessment framework, namely Mechanization Index for Building Construction Projects, was proposed. After that, Mechanization Index Assessment Tool, a computer-based tool that can assess the level of mechanization in building construction projects, was developed. The developed tool was adopted in 14 construction projects in Singapore. Assessment results showed that the mechanization level of the projects was 48.54 percent out of 100, which is moderate. Results also reported that ‘site preparation’ and ‘underground piping’ were two work types that are more mechanized, while work types of ‘formwork’, ‘tiling’, and ‘painting’ were relatively less mechanized. Additionally, industry practitioners perceived that the mechanization levels in the current building construction projects and industry were moderate and more efforts should be put in this regard, especially from the perspective of the industry. This study is the first piece of research work that assesses the level of mechanization in building construction projects and thus, it contributes to the body of knowledge. Furthermore, the assessment tool developed can easily be used either by industry practitioners or by construction authorities to do mechanization assessment. Thus, this study contributes to the practice as well.     

Managing Outsourced Software Projects: An Analysis of Project Performance and Customer Satisfaction

We examine the drivers of project performance and customer satisfaction in outsourced software projects using a proprietary panel dataset. The data cover 822 customer observations related to 182 unique projects executed by an India‐based software services vendor. Adopting a multidisciplinary perspective, we investigate how project planning, team stability, and communication effectiveness impact project performance and customer satisfaction. We delineate the direct and interactive influences of the antecedent variables. We also examine how these influences are moderated by two important project contexts: (a) the nature of software work (maintenance and development vs. testing projects) and (b) project maturity (new vs. mature projects). Among other results, we demonstrate that, when project planning capabilities are high, the positive impact of team stability and communication effectiveness on project performance is even higher. In addition, our results suggest that the impact of communication on project performance is muted when team stability is high. Finally, we also demonstrate that the impact of the antecedent variables on project performance varies with the nature of software work. Our findings offer specific and actionable insights to managers that can help them manage outsourced projects better, and open up new research perspectives in the context of outsourced project management.     

The Redevelopment of Bus Depots: A Transaction Cost Economic Analysis of a Change in the Use of Land in Hong Kong

This is a pioneering study on bus depots based on a review of the English-language literature on or related to them, which is motivated by the prevalence of real estate projects using the land of the former depots. The review is followed by some conjectures about the transaction cost advantages of bus depot sites as a source of development land and examines the hypothesis that redevelopment projects using former bus depots, compared to other uses, in Hong Kong are more easily approved under the statutory planning system. The literature review found that bus depots have attracted much academic attention, although research angles were conditioned by different social perceptions of bus depots. The empirical results of this case study did not reject the hypothesis. The limitations and implications of the study are discussed.     

Contract Structure,Risk‐Sharing,and Investment Choice

Few microfinance‐funded businesses grow beyond subsistence entrepreneurship. This paper considers one possible explanation: that the structure of existing microfinance contracts may discourage risky but high‐expected‐return investments. To explore this possibility, I develop a theory that unifies models of investment choice, informal risk‐sharing, and formal financial contracts. I then test the predictions of this theory using a series of experiments with clients of a large microfinance institution in India. The experiments confirm the theoretical predictions that joint liability creates two potential inefficiencies. First, borrowers free‐ride on their partners, making risky investments without compensating partners for this risk. Second, the addition of peer‐monitoring overcompensates, leading to sharp reductions in risk‐taking and profitability. Equity‐like financing, in which partners share both the benefits and risks of more profitable projects, overcomes both of these inefficiencies and merits further testing in the field.     

跨国公司在华独资倾向成因分析:基于股权结构战略的视角

经过20多年的对外开放 ,跨国公司在华企业得到了长足的发展。考察20多年来跨国公司在华企业的股权结构变动趋势 ,可以清晰地发现 ,其独资倾向日益明显。本文在借鉴国内外学者关于跨国公司股权结构战略的研究成果基础上 ,在东道国为新兴市场经济国家前提下 ,提出了一个跨国公司股权结构战略两阶段演进模型 ,揭示了跨国公司在华独资倾向增强的深层原因 ,是追求股权结构战略改进的预期收益。