加快统计调查方法改革的途径和方法

国家统计局在《国家统计制度改革总体方案》中提出要加快统计调查方法的改革,拟定的长远目标是：“建立以必要的周期性普查为基础,以经常性的抽样调查为主体,同时辅之以重点调查等多种方法综合运用的统计调查方法体系。”为了实现上述目标,在总结二十年统计调查方法改...     

城乡属性码编制方法和判别方法

根据《关于统计上划分城乡的暂行规定》及相关文件的精神,城乡划分的具体任务是,依据实际建设的连接情况,判断城乡属性,并分别对街道、镇、乡编制乡级属性代码,对居委会、村委会编制村级属性代码。一、城乡属性的编码方法(一)编码原则1．城乡属性代码以12位行政区划代     

基于决策树方法的信息价值求解方法

传统的信息价值求解方法在行动选择或实验结果情况很多的情况下,步骤繁琐,计算量大,引起众多麻烦.而决策树方法是辅助行动选择的重要参考,并且在excel的宏工具容易求解.文章用决策树的思路和方法求解决策问题中的信息价值,给出了方法合理性的证明,并结合实例演示了求解方法.     

多指标综合评价方法及方法选优研究

目前已提出的综合评价方法有很多,但问题在于对同一个评价对象,各种评价方法得出的结论往往不一致。笔者在序号总和理论、众数理论、集值统计研究成果的基础上,提出了一种区间综合评价合成技术并给出针对综合评价方法选优问题的量化检验标准。     

基尼系数计算方法

反映分配平等程度的指标很多,其中基尼系数是比较综合反映收入分配不平等程度的指标之一。它最先由意大利统计学家基尼根据洛伦茨曲线提出来的。 洛伦茨曲线(如图一)是反映收入分配比例与人口分布比例之间关系的函数。     

改革统计调查方法

改革统计调查方法一、变“统计是计数”为统计是“调查研究”长期以来实行以全面统计报表制度为主的统计调查方法，统计人员工作主体是“填表和计数”的陈旧的观念。为了转变陈旧观念，必须采用灵活多样的调查方式方法，深入客观实际直接采集统计数据，搜集统计数字无法反...     

场景预测方法与概率预测方法的比较

当今人口预测的标准模式为队列因素法,鉴于参数的估计方法不同,该方法又可分为场景预测方法和概率预测方法。文章认为,从统计学的视角看,概率预测方法更科学、更合理。由于场景预测方法概念简单,对数据要求低,可以充分利用专家的主观预测成果,同时预测方法简便易行,目前应用广泛。概率预测方法对数据的数量和质量都有较高的要求,且需要较复杂的统计技术,应用受到限制。     

预测方法有效度指标的估计方法探讨

预测方法有效度指标的估计方法探讨王明涛李文华人们在进行预测时,关心的问题之一就是预测的精度。要想使预测达到一定的精度,就必须选择有效的预测方法。本文试图在预测有效度的估计方法方面做一些探讨,以起到抛砖引玉的作用。一、预测方法有效度指标概述设［Ｔ１,Ｔ...     

论统计分析方法

统计分析的方法很多，其基本方法是定量分析，但在对某一问题进行统计分析时，必须作到定量分析与定性分析相结合，要熟悉各种统计分析方法及其应用条件和经济技术管理等方面的知识，要结合具体的情况，灵活选择恰当的统计分析方法     

Standardized posterior mode for the flexible use of a conjugate prior

The posterior mode under the standardized prior density is proposed to estimate a mean (vector) parameter, and its potential usefulness is discussed. Priors in this study include a conjugate prior and its generalized forms. When a prior density is factored into the standardized prior density and the supporting measure density, our suggestion is to discard the latter density and then to calculate the posterior mode of the mean under the standardized prior density. This treatment makes our choice of a prior density flexible. Implications of this treatment are discussed.     

对社会人口核算方法的研究

本文根据联合国《社会和人口统计体系》（SSDC）的要求,探讨用矩阵的方法对社会人口的总量、结构及其变动情况进行综合性描述和核算。     

样本老化理论与实证分析——住户调查样本轮换频率加速试点研究

一、样本老化的影响因素在抽样推断统计中,人们为研究社会经济现象的动态变化速度及趋势,往往采用固定样本的方式进行连续调查。这既可以保证资料的可比性,又可以节省调查费用。然而在住户调查中,基期的样本到报告期在许多方面都显现出不适应,这种不适应性被称之为样...     

发展成本论析

一、发展成本的概念和结构成本是一个不断发展的概念。发展成本是适应可持续发展的需要而提出的,是认识不断深化的结果。发展成本是从一个国家（或地区）谋求发展和进步的高度观察成本问题,即衡量为获得发展而支付的代价。具体来说,发展成本是把社会、经济、人口、资源...     

Functional equations in characterizations of discrete distributions ev rao-rubin condition and its variants

The solutions of Cauchy functional equation and its special cases, studied by various authors while characterizing discrete distributions by Rao-Rubin condition and its variants, axe discussed in this survey paper. Certain new results on the solutions of generalizations of these functional equations are also mentioned     

The Poisson–exponential distribution: a Bayesian approach

In this paper, we proposed a new two-parameter lifetime distribution with increasing failure rate. The new distribution arises on a latent complementary risk scenario. The properties of the proposed distribution are discussed, including a formal proof of its density function and an explicit algebraic formulae for its quantiles and survival and hazard functions. Also, we have discussed inference aspects of the model proposed via Bayesian inference by using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. A simulation study investigates the frequentist properties of the proposed estimators obtained under the assumptions of non-informative priors. Further, some discussions on models selection criteria are given. The developed methodology is illustrated on a real data set.     

On the behavior of mle of the scale parameter of the student family

This paper contains a study of the qualitative properties of the maximum likelihood estimate of the scale parameter of the Student family as a function of its (continuous) degrees of freedom. Sharp bounds are provided for the estimate and its (continuous) degrees of freedom. Sharp bounds are provided for the estimate and its monotonicity as a function of the degrees of freedom is established. Inferential implications are also discussed.     

A quick and easy distribution-free test for main effxcts in a two-factor ANOVA

A distribution-free test for main-effects in a two-factor ANOVA is studied and an extensive set of tables for its exact null distributions is presented. Two different large sample approximations for its null distributions are discussed and the adequacy of each approximation is studied. Recommendations are made concerning the sample sizes required for the use of each of these approximations.     

Characterization of probability distributions through higher order gap

Weibull, Burr, Pareto and power function distributions have been characterized through the conditional moments of order statistics with higher gap and some of its important deductions are discussed.     

Superiority comparisons of homogeneous linear estimators

In the paper homogeneous linear estimators of the parameter vector of the general linear model are compared in terms of their MSE matrices. A necessary and sufficient condition for the difference of two MSE matrices to be positive definite is obtained and its practical existence discussed. The non-negative definiteness of the difference also receives attention, and conditions for this case are discussed. The absence of any conditions of the above type is taken into consideration as well.