关于硕士生入学考试科目的改革

根据现行的招生考试办法 ,已难以适应今后几年内持续的扩招形势 ,改革硕士生招生考试方式已迫在眉睫。本文提出考试改革必须站在满足素质教育要求的高度 ,秉承现行硕士招生考试方式的合理之处 ,探索出一条符合现阶段我国国情的招生考试新路子。     

Simple detection of outlying short time series

Sets of relatively short time series arise in many situations. One aspect of their analysis may be the detection of outlying series. We examine the performance of standard normal outlier tests applied to the means, or to simple functions of the means, of AR(1) series, not necessarily of equal lengths. Although unequal lengths of series implies that the means have unequal variances, that are only known approximately, it is shown that nominal significance levels hold good under most circumstances. Thus a standard outlier test can usefully be applied, avoiding the complication of estimating the time series' parameters. The test's power is affected by unequal lengths, being higher when the slippage occurs in one of the longer series     

科学发展观视角下的广西北部湾经济区对外开放新探

广西北部湾经济区对外开放水平仍然比较低是一个不争的事实,广西北部湾经济区要改变这一局面,真正提高广西北部湾经济区对外开放的效能,必须以科学发展观为指导,在广西北部湾经济区的开放战略和定位上进行相应的调整和安排,将经济结构和产业结构的调整有机结合起来,真正处理好对内开放与对外开放的关系、扩大开放程度与加大开发度的关系、扩大开放与维护产业安全的关系、扩大开放中的制度创新与技术创新的关系、扩大开放程度中"引进来"与"走出去"的关系,全面提高开放型经济水平.     

Inference for the measurement of poverty in the presence of a stochastic weighting variable

Empirical applications of poverty measurement often have to deal with a stochastic weighting variable such as household size. Within the framework of a bivariate distribution function defined over income and weight, I derive the limiting distributions of the decomposable poverty measures and of the ordinates of stochastic dominance curves. The poverty line is allowed to depend on the income distribution. It is shown how the results can be used to test hypotheses concerning changes in poverty. The inference procedures are briefly illustrated using Belgian data. An erratum to this article can be found at     

Randomized response techniques for complex survey designs

Singh et al. ([13]) pointed out that the Randomized response (RR) technique proposed by Moors ([9]) is not desirable because it fails to protect the confidentiality of the respondents and they provided two alternative strategies free from the above drawback but limited to SRSWOR sampling only. In this paper, generalization of one of the strategies is provided for complex survey designs, wider class of estimators and for quantitative characteristics. Relative efficiency of the modified strategy is tested through empirical investigations. An erratum to this article is available at .     

The Best and Worst Times of Life: Narratives and Assessments of Subjective Well-Being by Anamnestic Comparative Self Assessment (ACSA) in the Eastern Cape,South Africa

The Anamnestic Comparative Self Assessment (ACSA) measure of subjective well-being (SWB) aims to reduce the problems of cultural bias and relativity to external standards by allowing people to define the endpoints or ‘anchors’ of the measurement scale. In medical terminology anamnestic denotes ‘based on memory’. The ACSA uses subjects’ memories of the best and worst periods in their lives to define the anchors of the scale. They then assess their current quality of life relative to these personal anchors. The South African pilot study tested the match between self-assessment of SWB with ACSA and the conventional single-item measures of life satisfaction and happiness used in the South African Quality of Life Trends Study and analysed the narratives of the best and worst times of life. The quota sample of 46 consisted of 26 residents of Makana district in the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa, and 20 patients undergoing treatment in the local TB hospital. Mean SWB ratings with all three measures of life satisfaction, happiness and ACSA were between 5 and 6 on a 0–10-point scale. Ratings on all three scales were positively correlated. However, on ACSA the TB patients rated their current SWB 1.84 points lower than the community respondents, suggesting a greater sensitivity of this measure. It was observed that the starting points of the life stories produced by respondents to define the anchor periods for ACSA were related to their current assessment of SWB. A typology was developed that combined the starting point of the life stories with current SWB. The majority of community respondents matched the ‘Achiever’ type who scored positively on ACSA (i.e., above the mid-point of the scale) and whose life stories started with the worst period of their lives and proceeded to the best period. The TB patients were the only respondents to represent the ‘Survivor’ type whose morale had recovered after misfortune in life. ‘Survivors’ started their narratives with the best period in their lives, then moved to the worst (often health-related) one, and gave positive ACSA ratings. Based on the qualitative analysis of narratives, it is concluded that ACSA is a sensitive measurement instrument and therefore particularly useful for monitoring the effects of treatments and social interventions in longitudinal studies. However, further research is required to verify its cross-cultural validity.

人大代表对公民意识的影响

民主政治与公民意识关联互动,在这种互动中,精英分子有着重要的影响。在人民代表大会制度中,人大代表理应是民主政治的精英分子,他们的意识和行为对公民意识的影响不容忽视,因此要提高人大代表的素质,强化这种影响。     

广西北部湾经济区打造增长新一极优势依托分析

优势依托理论演进表明,经济的又好又快增长取决于综合优势的发挥,而综合优势的发挥更意味着在发挥比较优势的基础上,一要改进交易效率(如制度创新),二要提高竞争优势(首先是技术创新、其次才是产业升级)。因此,广西北部湾经济区打造经济增长新一极绝不能再走我国沿海发达地区曾经走过的路子,即绝不能再采用那种依赖资源禀赋比较优势的粗放的代工增长模式,只能采用依托于综合优势的新增长模式。