Implications of temporal aggregation on the relation between two time series

Using a simple theoretical model and giving an empirical example it is investigated if it matters whether we use (monthly) averages or end-of-period (month) data in performing Granger-causality tests. It is shown that no major problems are to be expected if the two series are temporally aggregated in the same way, but non-trivial problems can occur if the two series have different kinds of temporal aggregation.     

The dilemma of recognition: Administrative categories and cultural diversity

Governments around the world combat inequality by means of group-specific redistribution. Some pursue redistribution that benefits groups, but also wish to avoid accentuating or even recognizing group distinctions. This poses a dilemma that they try to resolve by adjusting the category system used to target redistribution. There are three types of adjustment: accommodation (the multicultural approach), denial (the ideal-typical liberal solution), and replacement (a compromise). In replacement the targets of redistributive policies are constructed to avoid accentuation or recognition of inconvenient group distinctions, but still allow redistribution that benefits these groups. Replacement is increasingly in demand around the world because the disadvantages of multiculturalism are becoming apparent while denial is hard to sustain in the face of group inequality. The actual effect of replacement is little researched and less understood, however. Does it resolve the dilemma of recognition? Two examples–India and Nigeria–where replacement has been tried ever since the 1950s cast doubt on its viability.     

试论宗教对话的层次性、基本中介与普遍模式——三论21世纪基督宗教的对话形态

宗教对话不仅是一个关乎当代人类文明健康发展的大问题 ,而且还是一个关乎当代宗教和平乃至当代和平的大问题。为此 ,我们从学理上阐述宗教对话的层次性、基本中介和普遍模式 ,以及揭露希克宗教多元主义的要害在于宗教对话的“平面化”。     

《红楼梦》80回前后死亡描写之比较

本文主要讨论的是《红楼梦》中重要人物死亡描写的前后比较,以及书中关于死亡意象描写的前后比较。得出的结论是由于作家的生死观、侧重点、创作意图的不同,前80回与后40回中死亡描写的手法是不同的。     

试述儒道文明一统思想

儒家思想和道家思想 ,都是关于社会文明进步与发展的思想。儒家形成了以“仁”为核心 ,以纳“仁”入“礼”的“仁礼学说”为指导的“仁一统”思想 ;道家形成了以“道”为核心 ,以“道论”为指导的“道一统”思想 ,两者关于文明进步与发展的哲学基础、前提条件、方式途径等各有所论。儒道文明一统思想对于统一、多民族、全面进步与发展的中国古代历史发挥了重大而深远的作用 ,在中华民族新的伟大复兴以至世界和平与发展中也有望发挥新的重要的积极作用     

论高等教育社会学研究方法的取向及其本土化建构

一门学科发展的重要意义在于其研究成果与其他相关学科的研究成果往往具有较强的关联性和互补性。对于高等教育社会学而言 ,这一旨趣能否有效实现 ,首先取决于研究者在研究视角与方法的选择方面所体现出来的社会学素养及其自觉性。高等教育社会学的研究方法既要遵行社会学研究的一般策略和原则 ,又要从高等教育的实在特性出发 ,将其研究的目的、策略和方法真正纳入到社会学的研究视域之中 ,从而实现研究方法体系同研究主体、客体和具体环境的高度协同 ,这是实施高等教育社会学本土化建构的基础。     

失范行为的调适之道——根治腐败的社会学思考

腐败是一种社会失范行为。它是权力缺乏制约、私欲恶性膨胀、权力资本化和新旧体制转换共同作用的结果。用社会学视角解决反腐治本问题 ,其思路是完善制度约束人 ,有效监督激励人 ,严法弘德规范人     

明理做人是"思想道德修养"教学的主题

文章抓住明理做人这个主题 ,围绕“思想道德修养”课六个方面的教育内容 ,努力把道理讲明、讲实 ,使学生理解和把握做人的真谛     

Job Insecurity and the Timing of Parenthood: A Comparison between Eastern and Western Germany

This article contributes to the ongoing debate on the economic determinants of fertility behavior by addressing the role of job insecurity in couples’ intentions concerning parenthood and its timing. It starts from the hypothesis that cultural values moderate individuals’ reactions to job insecurity and the way it is related to family formation. With a systematic thematic content analysis of a set of semi-structured interviews with childless men and women around the age of 30 in eastern and western Germany, we are able to show that there are substantial differences in the consequences of job insecurity on intentions to have a first child. In western Germany, a relatively secure job career is expected to precede family formation, and this sequence of transitions is rather rigid, whereas in eastern Germany job security and family formation are thought of and practiced as parallel investments. We suggest that the lack of convergence in family formation patterns between eastern and western Germany after the unification of the country in 1990 is partially related to different attitudes toward job insecurity in the two contexts.