RECURSIVE ESTIMATION OF THE GENERAL LINEAR MODEL WITH DEPENDENT ERRORS AND MULTIPLE ADDITIONAL OBSERVATIONS1

The techniques for recursive estimation of the general linear model with dependent errors and known second order properties, is generalised to allow for simultaneous addition of an arbitrary number of additional observations. Computational formulae for recursive updating of parameter estimates are derived, together with a sequence of univariate recursive residuals for testing the constancy of the regression relation over time.     

试论民事法律行为之负担和条件——从广西“爱心捐款案”谈起

严格意义上的民事法律行为附款应该包括条件、期限和负担三种情形,但学界对负担的讨论甚少.广西"爱心捐款案"所引发的争议再次显示了明确民事法律行为之负担的相关理论的必要性.法律行为的负担和条件在法律效力和强制力等方面具有明显的区别,立法上明确规定负担的内容有助于我国民法体系的完善和进步.     

联结分布模型与儿童加法策略选择机制

联结分布模型可以较好地描述个体策略选择过程 ,在众多策略选择模型中很具有代表性。该模型能较好地解释儿童加法策略选择机制及天才儿童、一般儿童和数学障碍儿童在解决简单加法问题中表现出的差异。决定个体进行策略选择的因素是一问题与个体头脑中关于该问题的所有可能答案的联结分布状况。天才儿童使用检索策略的频率、正确率比其余两组儿童高 ;使用支持性策略的频率比其余两组儿童低。这得益于他们长时记忆中的组织良好的基本加法事实网络     

延边朝鲜族人口多胎生育行为及人口学后果

近30年的改革开放使延边朝鲜族人口生育行为在全球化时代发生了既不同于西方发达国家,又有别于中国其他民族的变化,即延边朝鲜族人口在尚有政策生育空间的情况下自觉放弃多胎生育甚至是二胎生育,从而导致人口生育率不断下降。传统的人口学理论难以涵盖这种特殊的人口现象。延边朝鲜族人口生育行为的这种变化是应对全球化时代的社会变迁做出的文化调适。     

Holes in the safety net: the strengths and weaknesses of child protection procedures

This paper uses findings from empirical research to demonstrate the strengths and weaknesses of the child protection procedures in the UK. Discontinuities in which child protection plans were not implemented arose because of limitations in the plans made, obstacles to implementation and weaknesses in the conduct of review meetings which rarely questioned the management of cases even when it was clearly deficient. The construction of risk made during the investigation carried over into the initial conference, fed into decisions about registration and had an enduring influence on the way in which later risks to children were interpreted. However, this meant that new information which challenged this view of risk was often ignored. Continuities were also evident between adequate plans for children's safety made at initial conferences and their subsequent protection. However, when children remained at home with an abusing parent, this remained true only when a new key worker had been allocated at the time of the conference. These initial plans also had an impact on the interventions provided, especially those for treatment. These findings emphasize the importance of adequate planning for children and families at initial child protection conferences and the need for an overhaul of the conduct of reviews if they are to be used more effectively.     

对“李刚门”事件新浪微博报道与评论的框架分析

采用责任归因、冲突、人情趣味、后果、道德价值、权力压迫、利益等七种经典的类型框架,对新浪微博有关"李刚门"事件的主要报道与评论内容进行框架分析,研究事件发展过程中各种框架的分布与消长,在分析主推报道框架与评论框架关联性的同时考察前者基调对后者立场的影响。研究表明:"李刚门"事件中新浪微博主推报道的框架分布比较均匀,而评论框架则集中于权力压迫框架。前者基调与后者立场之间的相关性呈现出明显的框架漂移,表明微博并未引导舆论而只是呈现了舆论。     

刍议如何用好企业研发费用加计扣除

为了提高企业自主创新能力,支持企业开展研究开发活动,2008年12月10日,国家税务总局下发了《企业研究开发费用税前扣除管理办法(试行)》,根据2009年-2011年的具体操作过程实践,对加计扣除归集、核算进行归纳,以期企业全面用好研发费用的加计扣除政策,为企业创造更大的利润。     

科技型中小企业研发费用加计扣除政策存在的问题及对策思考

科技型中小企业是创新的生力军。科技型中小企业研发费用加计扣除政策施行以来,对促进科技型中小企业创新发展、增强竞争活力起到了积极的促进作用。但政策运行一年多来,实践中也出现了享受门槛高、政策含金量下降、评价机制运行不完善等问题,为进一步促进这一政策实现更良好的激励效应,本文从政策设计、管理机制、后续监督等方面提出优化建议。     

Thirty years of the Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism: A review of reviews

In the 30 or so years since the publication of Gosta Esping-Andersenapos;s Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism a number of rival welfare state typologies have emerged. This article has two broad aims. First, we review the reviews of welfare state typologies, pointing to issues of often unclear case selection and a wide range of concepts, variables, and methods, resulting in a variety of worlds of welfare and their constituent nations. We show that there is a great variety in the welfare modelling business at two different levels. Reviews vary significantly in terms of the number and composition of included studies, which has made it difficult to sum up the “state of the art.” Individual studies included in the reviews also vary significantly in terms of issues such as aims, concepts, variables, and methods. Second, we produce a new review, which adds value as it is based on a clearer search strategy, and includes more recent material that was not available in earlier reviews. This finds that there is a great variety in terms of process (concepts, variables, methods, and number of countries) and findings (the number and composition of “worlds”). We argue that the country classification seems to show less consensus that previous reviews, with fewer “pure” nations (i.e., agreement between studies). We suggest that in order to provide a clear point of engagement, future reviews need to pay more attention to a clear and explicit search strategy, including issues such as inclusion criteria.     

The additional labour of a disabled PhD student

This is a personal account of the challenges I have faced during the first year and a half of my PhD, solely due to my identity as a disabled student. I address issues such as a lack of representation when researching PhD life, the impact of the services which are meant to be there to help and the complexities of juggling the additional time-consuming events which occur when you are disabled, with PhD time, a home life and work. This is especially relevant in the United Kingdom at this time as the Disabled Students Allowance has recently been cut back, meaning there is less support available for disabled students, and with the increased marketisation of higher education it could be argued that there is less impetus for universities to support those who have non-standard needs.