区域科技基础与科技环境综合评价体系研究

通过对科技基础和科技环境的评价 ,提出了指标体系的设计原则以及设计思路 ,建立了区域科技基础与科技环境综合评价指标体系 ,并对陕西省和北京市的有关资料进行了对比研究     

山东省民营科技企业发展问题研究

民营科技企业是在科技体制与经济体制改革中产生、发展起来的新生事物 ,对于促进经济增长和科技进步具有重要意义。本文在山东省民营科技企业发展状况调查研究的基础上 ,剖析了民营科技企业现存问题及其成因 ,提出了加快民营科技企业发展的政策建议     

浅探杠杆收购战略在我国运用的可行性

企业购并是国外特别是美国企业成长和发展的一个重要手段。在一百多年的企业发展历史上,在完全市场经济的条件下,美国企业、金融界进行了大量的创新,开发了丰富的金融工具。其中杠杆收购战略就是创新工具的一个典型例子。尽管我国开始市场经济的时间较短,但是金融界和政府部门一直在改革和创新具有中国特色的金融市场。探讨杠杆收购战略在我国运用的可行性,可以为我国的企业购并注入新的活力。     

AN ALGORITHM FOR THE CONSTRUCTION OF OPTIMAL OR NEAR-OPTIMAL CHANGE-OVER DESIGNS

This paper presents an algorithm for the construction of optimal or near optimal change-over designs for arbitrary numbers of treatments, periods and units. Previous research on optimality has been either theoretical or has resulted in limited tabulations of small optimal designs. The algorithm consists of a number of steps:first find an optimal direct treatment effects design, ignoring residual effects, and then optimise this class of designs with respect to residual effects. Poor designs are avoided by judicious application of the (M, S)-optimality criterion, and modifications of it, to appropriate matrices. The performance of the algorithm is illustrated by examples.     

Generalized partially linear varying-coefficient models

Generalized varying-coefficient models are useful extensions of generalized linear models. They arise naturally when investigating how regression coefficients change over different groups characterized by certain covariates such as age. In this paper, we extend these models to generalized partially linear varying-coefficient models, in which some coefficients are constants and the others are functions of certain covariates. Procedures for estimating the linear and non-parametric parts are developed and their associated statistical properties are studied. The methods proposed are illustrated using some simulations and real data analysis.     

中东油气与中国石油发展的战略思考

在当前国际环境下,中国的石油安全战略应是开放和外向型的,其核心思想是“保内争外”,即中国政府应进一步加强对中国石油企业参与国际能源合作的宏观指导和支持;中国石油企业应加强国内油气资源的可持续开发和利用,坚持开展国际能源合作,直面国际博弈。中东国家油气资源丰富,且与中国关系友好,应是中国石油企业对外开展能源合作的首选地区。     

阿尔都塞意识形态理论研究述评

阿尔都塞的意识形态理论独树一帜，曾产生过巨大影响。近年来，学术界对其思想的研究日益聚焦在这一方面，并出现一大批理论成果。目前，国内对这一思想的研究主要集中在对其理论渊源、内容、贡献和缺陷的认识等方面。阿尔都塞在诸多方面时马克思主义的意识形态理论都进行了丰富和发展，甚至触及到经济基础和上层建筑相互作用的机制问题，但其捍卫马克思主义的“初衰”并未真正如愿以偿。     

在应对入世后我国农业面临的挑战中分析测试技术和科学仪器担负的重任

本文概叙了入世后中国农业面临的农产品品质 安全性及价格的三重冲击和应采取的应对措施 着重分析了农产品安全问题和食品安全保障体系的构建 论述了分析测试技术和科学仪器的七项重任     

论毛泽东关于科学技术的理论及其实践

毛泽东的科学技术思想是毛泽东思想的重要组成部分。可以从三个方面系统分析和探讨毛泽东关于科学技术的理论及其实践。其中关于科学技术的特征及其作用的思想是毛泽东的基本科学技术观;关于科学技术的生产力功能的思想是毛泽东科学技术观的核心内容;关于科学技术的方针和政策的思想是毛泽东的科学技术观及其核心内容的具体体现。它们有机地组成了毛泽东关于科学技术的理论及其实践的主要内容。     

Applicability of a Neuroprobabilistic Integral Risk Index for the Environmental Management of Polluted Areas: A Case Study

Recently, we developed a GIS-Integrated Integral Risk Index (IRI) to assess human health risks in areas with presence of environmental pollutants. Contaminants were previously ranked by applying a self-organizing map (SOM) to their characteristics of persistence, bioaccumulation, and toxicity in order to obtain the Hazard Index (HI). In the present study, the original IRI was substantially improved by allowing the entrance of probabilistic data. A neuroprobabilistic HI was developed by combining SOM and Monte Carlo analysis. In general terms, the deterministic and probabilistic HIs followed a similar pattern: polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and light polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were the pollutants showing the highest and lowest values of HI, respectively. However, the bioaccumulation value of heavy metals notably increased after considering a probability density function to explain the bioaccumulation factor. To check its applicability, a case study was investigated. The probabilistic integral risk was calculated in the chemical/petrochemical industrial area of Tarragona (Catalonia, Spain), where an environmental program has been carried out since 2002. The risk change between 2002 and 2005 was evaluated on the basis of probabilistic data of the levels of various pollutants in soils. The results indicated that the risk of the chemicals under study did not follow a homogeneous tendency. However, the current levels of pollution do not mean a relevant source of health risks for the local population. Moreover, the neuroprobabilistic HI seems to be an adequate tool to be taken into account in risk assessment processes.