流动人口的择偶模式及其影响因素——以厦门市流动人口为例

利用“厦门市流动人口婚姻家庭抽样调查”的数据,描述流动人口择偶模式的主要特征,对流入厦门的流动人口的择偶意愿、目的、时间、标准以及途径等进行多元回归分析,在此基础上提出优化流动人口择偶模式的对策建议。分析结果表明,流动人口在对择偶模式的选择和实践上越来越重视自身的需要和体验;在各种假想的影响因素中,教育、性别和年龄的作用最大,流出的时间和收入水平的影响却相对比较微弱。     

On the underestimation of migration’s income and poverty impact

In estimating the impact of migration on income and poverty, most existing studies have overlooked the fact that migration changes the size of the household. The ‘corrected’ impact that accounts for changes in household size is presented analytically and is estimated on the basis of data from nationally representative household surveys in Albania and Ghana. The analysis considers three poverty measures and four groups of migrant households: those with internal, international, internal and international, and internal and/or international migrants. The ratio of the corrected to the uncorrected impact on per capita income for Ghana (Albania) averages from 2.7 to 4.5 (2.5–3.8), and the ratio for the poverty impact averages from 2.6 to 4.4 (2.1–6.4). Thus, abstracting from changes in household size may result in a substantial underestimate of the impact of migration on income and poverty.

有限政府的行政文化分析——兼论中国官本位意识的负面影响

建立民主、高效、法治、国际化的有限政府，是目前各国行政改革追求的目标。抛开政府机构改革本身，从行政文化的层面分析，中国两千多年来的官本位意识在行政文化中有非常深刻的影响，如何克服官本位意识的负面作用，加强行政文化建设是建立有限政府的一个重要组成部分。     

“绿色壁垒”挑战与纺织服装业应对之策——以金华市纺织服装业为例

随着关税壁垒的逐渐削弱,发达国家为了保护本国企业和生态环境,采取了一种新的贸易壁垒形式--"绿色壁垒"来限制别国的出口.文章分析了它存在的合理性及对金华纺织品服装外贸企业造成的影响,并结合金华地区的实际情况,从政府和企业两个层面,提出了应对措施.     

农村税费改革与计划生育工作

目前在农村实行的税费改革是农村政策的重大调整。农村计划生育工作在税费改革中遇到了机构、人员、经费等诸多问题。作者通过对安徽宣城等地的调查 ,提出了乡镇机构改革、人员分流、财政投入等对策     

Social Work Research in the Field of Disability in Australia: A Scoping Review*

Although in Australia disability is receiving unprecedented attention with the rollout of major reforms, the body of research on disability to inform policy and practice has been found “not fit for purpose”. This scoping review of empirical research papers published by Australian social work authors between 2007 and 2015 investigated the quantity, nature, and scope of social work research on disability in Australia. We found a steady growth, an annual average of 13.8 papers, and a total of 124. Social work disability research makes a distinctive contribution; it is contextualised in service systems or policy, has a greater focus on community and civic participation and social relationships, and concentrates on adults, with either intellectual disability or traumatic brain injury. These research strengths provide foundations for building the profession’s research capacity and informing its practice and contribution to the multidisciplinary field of disability.

IMPLICATIONS

• Service system reform is increasing engagement of social workers with people with disabilities, yet disability has a low profile in the profession.

• Social work disability research has strengths in understanding service systems, social relationships, and strategies for social and civic participation, particularly with adults with cognitive disabilities.

• Increased attention to disability in qualifying and higher degree programs will better prepare students for complex practice and develop the distinctive contribution of social work research in this interdisciplinary field.

     

Sensitivity analyses for clustered data: An illustration from a large-scale clustered randomized controlled trial in education

In this paper, we demonstrate the importance of conducting well-thought-out sensitivity analyses for handling clustered data (data in which individuals are grouped into higher order units, such as students in schools) that arise from cluster randomized controlled trials (RCTs). This is particularly relevant given the rise in rigorous impact evaluations that use cluster randomized designs across various fields including education, public health and social welfare. Using data from a recently completed cluster RCT of a school-based teacher professional development program, we demonstrate our use of four commonly applied methods for analyzing clustered data. These methods include: (1) hierarchical linear modeling (HLM); (2) feasible generalized least squares (FGLS); (3) generalized estimating equations (GEE); and (4) ordinary least squares (OLS) regression with cluster-robust (Huber–White) standard errors. We compare our findings across each method, showing how inconsistent results – in terms of both effect sizes and statistical significance – emerged across each method and our analytic approach to resolving such inconsistencies.     

中阿合作论坛的成就及发展趋势

中阿合作论坛的成立是中阿关系近50年来最重要的事件之一。本文通过笔者与多位阿拉伯国家驻华大使、“论坛”相关人士、中国学者间的直接对话,以及对“论坛”文献资料和数据的分析研究,回顾了“论坛”自2004年成立以来取得的成就,考察了“论坛”的成立对中阿关系的构建、发展、深化互信的影响,评估了“论坛”机制的成效。本文对“论坛”未来的发展提出了若干建议,认为中阿双方都应将中阿合作论坛当作引领中阿全面伙伴关系的重要机制和战略举措,借助这一机制和平台,全面贯彻、落实并推进中国的“一带一路”战略。     

外地大学生留沪选择影响因素与思维过程分析

非沪籍大学毕业生留沪的影响因素主要可概括为社会因素、他人因素和自我因素。在社会因素中,发展机遇因素极大地促进了外地大学生作出留下的选择,而由于语言不通导致的交往困难却对留沪产生了较大的抑制作用。他人和自我因素则有比较明显的差异性,通过社会、他人、自我三条路径对非沪籍毕业生留沪选择的思维发展过程进行分析发现,这一过程是单向线型的,并且这种思维带有一定的可预判性。不同因素的合力作用引导了留沪思维的"走向"并最终决定受访者留沪或离沪。     

“学”与“工”:社会角色的错位与回归——校外兼职对大学生学业的影响研究

校外"兼职"是当代大学生的热门话题,更是在校大学生的普遍性行动。然而,"盲目兼职"和"兼职过度"给大学生的学业带来了严重的负面影响,造成了其主导角色的错位和失败。因此,树立"理性兼职"理念,从"主观认知"和"时间控制"等方面把握兼职合理性,并实现大学生主导角色的"合理"回归与重构十分必要。