Multiple Time Series Modeling and Extended Sample Cross-Correlations

This article provides an expository account of the multivariate autoregressive moving average models and proposes an extended sample cross-correlation approach for practical model identification. An iterative model building procedure for applying these models to real data is discussed and demonstrated by analyzing the 5-series U.S. Hog Data.     

New difference-based estimator of parameters in semiparametric regression models

The paper introduces a new difference-based Liu estimator β?_Ldiff=([Xtilde]′[Xtilde]+I)^?1([Xtilde]′[ytilde]+η β?_diff) of the regression parameters β in the semiparametric regression model, y=Xβ+f+?. Difference-based estimator, β?_diff=([Xtilde]′[Xtilde])^?1[Xtilde]′[ytilde] and difference-based Liu estimator are analysed and compared with respect to mean-squared error (mse) criterion. Finally, the performance of the new estimator is evaluated for a real data set. Monte Carlo simulation is given to show the improvement in the scalar mse of the estimator.     

Accent on Teaching Materials

Estimation of covariance components in the multivariate random-effect model with nested covariance structure is discussed. There are two covariance matrices to be estimated, namely, the between-group and the within-group covariance matrices. These two covariance matrices are most often estimated by forming a multivariate analysis of variance and equating mean square matrices to their expectations. Such a procedure involves taking the difference between the between-group mean square and the within-group mean square matrices, and often produces an estimated between-group covariance matrix that is not nonnegative definite. We present estimators of the two covariance matrices that are always proper covariance matrices. The estimators are the restricted maximum likelihood estimators if the random effects are normally distributed. The estimation procedure is extended to more complicated models, including the twofold nested and the mixed-effect models. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the use of the estimation procedure.     

On Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Ordinary Least Squares Estimators to Be Best Linear Unbiased Estimators

Two often-quoted necessary and sufficient conditions for ordinary least squares estimators to be best linear unbiased estimators are described. Another necessary and sufficient condition is described, providing an additional tool for checking to see whether the covariance matrix of a given linear model is such that the ordinary least squares estimator is also the best linear unbiased estimator. The new condition is used to show that one of the two published conditions is only a sufficient condition.     

Computer-Generated Change-Over Designs for Correlated Observations

Change-over designs with independently distributed errors in the model have been studied extensively in the literature. Martin and Eccleston (2001 Martin , R. J. , Eccleston , J. A. ( 2001 ). Optimal and near optimal designs for dependent observations . Statist. Applic. 3 : 101 – 116 . [Google Scholar]) gave an algorithm for the generation of efficient change-over designs when the errors are correlated. This article proposes an algorithm for the generation of efficient change-over designs for estimation of direct effects of treatments in the presence of first-order residual effects in the model and when the errors are correlated.     

Optimal designs for estimating a choice hierarchy by a general nested multinomial logit model

Abstract

In choice experiments the process of decision-making can be more complex than the proposed by the Multinomial Logit Model (MNL). In these scenarios, models such as the Nested Multinomial Logit Model (NMNL) are often employed to model a more complex decision-making. Understanding the decision-making process is important in some fields such as marketing. Achieving a precise estimation of the models is crucial to the understanding of this process. To do this, optimal experimental designs are required. To construct an optimal design, information matrix is key. A previous research by others has developed the expression for the information matrix of the two-level NMNL model with two nests: Alternatives nest (J alternatives) and No-Choice nest (1 alternative). In this paper, we developed the likelihood function for a two-stage NMNL model for M nests and we present the expression for the information matrix for 2 nests with any amount of alternatives in them. We also show alternative D-optimal designs for No-Choice scenarios with similar relative efficiency but with less complex alternatives which can help to obtain more reliable answers and one application of these designs.     

A new approximation to the distribution function of the studentized maximum root

The Studentized maximum root (SMR) distribution is useful for constructing simultaneous confidence intervals around product interaction contrasts in replicated two-way ANOVA. A three-moment approximation to the SMR distribution is proposed. The approximation requires the first three moments of the maximum root of a central Wishart matrix. These values are obtained by means of numerical integration. The accuracy of the approximation is compared to the accuracy of a two-moment approximation for selected two-way table sizes. Both approximations are reasonably accurate. The three-moment approximation is generally superior.     

Estimation of parameters of a pareto distribution by generalized order statistics

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the parameters of Pareto II distribution based on generalized order statistics. The estimators based on order statistics and record values are shown to be special cases of these estimators.     

Admissibility of Test Procedures for Linear Hypotheses in General Linear Model

This article shows that an F-test procedure is admissible for testing a linear hypothesis concerning one of the split mean vectors in a general linear model and an F-test procedure is also admissible for testing a linear hypothesis concerning another of the split mean vectors in the same model. These results are proved by showing that the critical functions of the tests are unique Bayes procedures with respect to proper prior distributions set in common for the null hypotheses and for the alternative ones, respectively.     

The Research on Two Kinds of Restricted Biased Estimators Based on Mean Squared Error Matrix

Sakall?oglu et al. (2001 Sakall?oglu , Kaç?ranlar , Akdeniz ( 2001 ). Mean squared error comparisons of some biased estimators . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 30 : 347 – 361 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) dealt with the comparisons among the ridge estimator, Liu estimator, and iteration estimator. Akdeniz and Erol (2003 Akdeniz , F. , Erol , H. ( 2003 ). Mean squared error matrix comparisons of some biased estimators in linear regression . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 32 : 2389 – 2413 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) have compared the (almost unbiased) generalized ridge regression estimator with the (almost unbiased) generalized Liu estimator in the matrix mean squared error sense. In this article, we study the ridge estimator and Liu estimator with respect to linear equality restriction, and establish some sufficient conditions for the superiority of the restricted ridge estimator over the restricted Liu estimator and the superiority of the restricted Liu estimator over the restricted ridge estimator under mean squared error matrix, respectively. Furthermore, we give a numerical example.