中央苏区调查统计工作的内容和成效 ——中央苏区调查统计工作的光辉实践与有益启示（二）

 中央苏区制发了众多的统计报表全面反映战争和建设情况，采取多种调查统计方法确保数据真实可靠，并利用丰富的调查统计资料积极开展统计分析，及时发布统计资料，为革命战争和苏区经济建设服务。     

Exploring Partial Order of European Countries

Partial Order Theory has been recently more and more employed in applied science to overcome the intrinsic disadvantage hidden in aggregation, if a multiple attribute system is available. Despite its numerous positive features, there are many practical cases where the interpretation of the partial order can be rather troublesome. In these cases the analysis of underlying dimensions could be useful to uncover particular data structures. The paper shows a way of addressing the problem with the help of an actual case study, which deals with European opinions on services of general interest. In particular, a partial order of countries is firstly provided and then a method to detect dimensions is discussed and applied. The analysis stems directly from the Partially Order Set (poset) and Lattice theory with particular references to dimension theory and Formal Concept Analysis. The study is eventually able to pinpoint role and relevance of different attributes characterizing EU countries which are used to define the partial order.

中国与荷兰曲棍球后备人才培养现状对比分析

曲棍球后备人才是一个国家曲棍球竞技水平的标志。荷兰是曲棍球后备人才发展较好的国家,他之所以长盛不衰,一个重要的因素在于有一个雄厚的群众基础和一个科学并行之有效的后备人才培养体系。目前中国后备人才培养方面与荷兰相比存在着问题和不足,这些对中国曲棍球项目的可持续发展是非常不利的。针对上述状况,本文提出了中国曲棍球管理部门应加强和完善管理体制,建立符合中国具体国情的曲棍球后备人才培养机制。     

News

U. S. National Income Series Revised—Congress Votes No on Censuses of Business and Manufactures—Britain Revises Living Cost Index-U. S. and U. K. Surveys Uncover Lacks in Statistical Training-Forthcoming Statistical Conferences     

Stories of (Social) Distress: Applied Narrative Analysis and Public Policy for the Homeless

Recent attention to the use of social science research in the formation of social policy highlights the role of narratives in the mediation of the relationships between research and practice, science and policy. This paper demonstrates the value of applied narrative analysis in revealing the function of narratives in this mediation. Public debate over a universal “right to shelter” for homeless persons in Washington D. C. is the central case study. The results illustrate the usefulness of applied narrative analysis in the study of social distress and in the forging of new links between research and policy.     

A case study of the impact of integrated project governances on PPP project performance

Under the new normal state, the PPP project will play a more and more important role in the social and economic development of China. To improve the performance of PPP project management, it is necessary to implement integrated project governances. Firstly, according to the index system of two kinds of PPP projects governances (Contract Governance and Relationship Governance) and PPP project management performance determined by theoretical analysis, the DDX project is selected as the analysis object. After identifying the case, this paper explains the basic information and preliminary work of the case. Then, the three contents of contract governance, relationship governance and project performance are analyzed comprehensively. Case studies show that all of these two governance modes have positive effects on project management performance. However, due to the lack of information in the case, the validity of the conclusion also needs to be verified again.     

农业产业化是西部农业发展的必由之路

西部农业发展要变地域资源优势为市场竞争优势、要调整农业产业结构、要创农产品的品牌、提高农产品的市场竞争力、要增强农民参与市场谈判与竞争的能力、提高西部农民的生活水平 ,只有走农业产业化的道路。而政府的“绿箱”政策、农业保险体系的建立、市场外部环境的完善与规范等 ,是对农业产业化的有力支持和保障。     

企业经营管理预警：主成分分析在logistic回归方法中的应用

logistic回归分析是度量企业信用风险的一种主流方法,它的假设比较符合经济现实和金融数据分布的特点。但是考虑到现阶段我国上市公司的信用数据具有的高维性和高相关性等特点对logistic分析产生的负面影响,本文在logistic分析中引入了能够有效降维和消除logistic方程共线性等问题的主成分分析,并对我国沪深两市上市公司的经营失败进行了实证研究,结果表明结合主成分分析法的logistic回归分析在模型解释和预测准确率等力面均优于简单的logistic分析。     

中国流通A股市场大盘股价指数研究

本文对我国现行股价指数计算中存在的问题进行了分析,提出了流通A股价格指数和流通A股资金指数方案。本文计算出的指数不仅有助于解决现行指数反映市场变化不充分的问题,同时还为股票市场的定量分析奠定了基础。     

产品危害事件对品牌资产变动的影响

本文采用达沃和皮洛特的分析框架和两项实验,探索了产品危害事件中公司反应和消费者先前预期是如何影响品牌资产变动的。结果发现,消费者对公司反应的解释取决于其先前预期:出现产品危害事件时,不管公司采用何种反应措施,强预期条件下较弱预期条件下造成的品牌资产损失小。