不同规模农地抵押贷款可得性研究

以南阳市427户农户调查数据为样本,运用二元Logit回归模型对三类不同土地规模农户的农地抵押贷款可得性及其影响因素进行分析。结果发现,户主年龄、文化程度、家庭收入、房屋价值、社会资本、对贷款政策了解度及土地规模差异均对农户农地抵押贷款可得性具有显著影响。其中,家庭收入与房屋价值是影响不同土地规模农户农地抵押贷款可得性的共同因素,土地规模是影响农地抵押贷款可得性最为直接的关键性因素,随着土地规模增加,金融机构贷款审批更注重农户个人信用程度、社会资本和风险保障措施。     

农地流转与农户金融需求

以四川省为例,基于647份农户调查数据,从农地流转、农户基本情况、农户经营特征、农村金融市场特征4个方面运用Logit模型实证分析其对农户金融需求的影响方向及强度,分析农地流转背景下农户金融需求的影响因素。研究结果表明,农地流转行为带来农户金融需求分化趋势,农地流转价格过快上涨对农户金融需求有明显抑制作用,加快创新农村金融产品已经十分紧迫,农户普遍面临缺乏抵押融资能力的困境。农地流转对农户金融需求的分化性发展产生重要影响,进而对我国农业的转型升级具有极为积极的促进作用。在进一步深化农村土地产权制度改革基础之上,重点针对扩大土地经营规模的农户进行农村金融产品创新,有效满足其不断增长的金融需求,则是当前我国推进现代农业发展必须破解的主要难题。     

关于如何完善土地流转的制度探讨---基于日本农地中间管理制度的分析与启示

土地流转是实现农业现代化的基础条件之一,但是,实现土地有序流转需要建立完善的制度体系。日本近年实施的农地中间管理制度旨在通过建立农地中间管理机构(农地银行)及相应的流转机制和流转补贴制度,促进土地向农业承担主体集中,提高农业用地的利用效率和集约化程度,进而提高农业生产力。通过对该制度的细致总结和效果分析,认为中国的土地流转制度有必要以目标为导向,完善制度设计、细化政策措施、调整农业补贴并注重基层和农民参与。     

“未预结局”：一个壮族社区社神信仰的断裂与重拾

受政治、经济和文化等因素的深刻影响，处于乡村社会之中的民间信仰体系经历着两次较大规模的由断到续的过程。这个过程在很大程度上反映的是新中国成立60多年来中国民众宗教生活的状态，是一部新中国成立以来的民众宗教生活史。该研究集中对此两次“未预结局”现象进行讨论，通过其在一个壮族社区生活场景中的具体呈现，以展示出前后两次断裂与重拾的实际状况，尽力寻找这些现象背后的社会力量，以及这种力量与当地人社会生活之间的紧密关系。     

房屋拆迁中的国有土地使用权补偿司法实证研究

房屋拆迁中的国有土地使用权补偿是我国城镇房屋拆迁中的主要矛盾点之一。通过对司法判例进行实证研究发现，法院判决多数认为原告诉请国有土地使用权补偿于法无据，抑或认为对于国有土地使用权的补偿已随房屋评估作价。房屋拆迁的重点在于“地”，若仅对房屋所有权人进行补偿，而忽视国有土地使用权人，无疑会引发诸多诉讼，乃至于阻碍城镇化进程。因此，在渐进式改革的背景之下，可以开展国有土地使用权补偿的试点，同时应当完善《国有土地上房屋征收与补偿条例》，并将合理补偿原则作为补偿的基本原则，以此为基础建立一套独立于房屋拆迁补偿的国有土地使用权补偿体系。     

“Empowerment” as efficiency and participation: gender in responsible agricultural investment principles

Amidst global concern over the state of transnational large-scale agricultural investments, several efforts have been made to set global standards for “responsible agricultural investment.” While these efforts have received mixed reviews from the international community, very little attention has been paid to the gendered language of these principles. Through examining two separate sets of agricultural investment principles – one created by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, the International Fund for Agricultural Development and the World Bank, and the other by the United Nations Committee on World Food Security – this article finds that, despite different processes and participants in the creation of these principles, they nonetheless share a language of “empowerment” targeted at women and marginalized groups. However, in contrast to early feminist discourses of empowerment, these principles instead perpetuate the notion that empowerment is to be found through efficiency, productivity and participation in land and labor markets. This article takes a critical look at this language of economic empowerment in each set of principles, and points to the dangers of equating efficiency, productivity and participation with feminist empowerment. By not acknowledging the broader gender dynamics of agricultural governance and markets, these discourses risk deepening existing inequalities rather than moving toward meaningful social change.     

对耕地利用率影响因素及影响效应的统计分析

耕地承包农户的户主年龄、家庭非农收入、土地转让行为选择、农户择业意愿、耕地条件与环境等因素与耕地利用率之间存在显著相关。对此，政府首先必须加强对农民的重农教育，增强农民珍爱耕地的自觉性；其次，应创新耕地管理制度，引导土地合理流转；其三，推进农村土地流转规范，提升耕地资产价值效能；其四，加大支农惠农政策力度，提高农业比较收益；其五，扩大对农村投入，改善农村农业基础设施建设。     

江苏省宿迁市耕地生态足迹初探

运用生态足迹模型和相关统计年鉴数据，计算了宿迁市2006年的耕地生态足迹。结果表明：2006年宿迁市耕地生态足迹为0.73332hm2/人，而耕地生态承载力为0.38504hm2/人，生态赤字为0.34828hm2/人，这说明宿迁市的耕地利用已经超出了生态承载力的范围，处于不可持续发展的状态。     

An Integrated Risk Assessment Model of Township‐Scaled Land Subsidence Based on an Evidential Reasoning Algorithm and Fuzzy Set Theory

Land subsidence risk assessment (LSRA) is a multi‐attribute decision analysis (MADA) problem and is often characterized by both quantitative and qualitative attributes with various types of uncertainty. Therefore, the problem needs to be modeled and analyzed using methods that can handle uncertainty. In this article, we propose an integrated assessment model based on the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm and fuzzy set theory. The assessment model is structured as a hierarchical framework that regards land subsidence risk as a composite of two key factors: hazard and vulnerability. These factors can be described by a set of basic indicators defined by assessment grades with attributes for transforming both numerical data and subjective judgments into a belief structure. The factor‐level attributes of hazard and vulnerability are combined using the ER algorithm, which is based on the information from a belief structure calculated by the Dempster‐Shafer (D‐S) theory, and a distributed fuzzy belief structure calculated by fuzzy set theory. The results from the combined algorithms yield distributed assessment grade matrices. The application of the model to the Xixi‐Chengnan area, China, illustrates its usefulness and validity for LSRA. The model utilizes a combination of all types of evidence, including all assessment information—quantitative or qualitative, complete or incomplete, and precise or imprecise—to provide assessment grades that define risk assessment on the basis of hazard and vulnerability. The results will enable risk managers to apply different risk prevention measures and mitigation planning based on the calculated risk states.     

新民居建设中土地整理利用现状调查分析

土地整理和利用是新民居建设中的重要工作点,对新民居建设以及社会主义新农村建设的深入推进具有重要影响。通过对河北省廊坊市新民居建设中土地整理利用工作开展调查,分析当前现状及存在问题,探讨如何合理规划利用土地,切实推进新民居建设。