全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4978篇 |
免费 | 107篇 |
国内免费 | 45篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 462篇 |
民族学 | 23篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 34篇 |
丛书文集 | 310篇 |
理论方法论 | 150篇 |
综合类 | 2154篇 |
社会学 | 234篇 |
统计学 | 1762篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 2篇 |
2023年 | 26篇 |
2022年 | 25篇 |
2021年 | 53篇 |
2020年 | 72篇 |
2019年 | 121篇 |
2018年 | 129篇 |
2017年 | 207篇 |
2016年 | 120篇 |
2015年 | 121篇 |
2014年 | 244篇 |
2013年 | 814篇 |
2012年 | 315篇 |
2011年 | 292篇 |
2010年 | 216篇 |
2009年 | 255篇 |
2008年 | 251篇 |
2007年 | 277篇 |
2006年 | 220篇 |
2005年 | 253篇 |
2004年 | 219篇 |
2003年 | 192篇 |
2002年 | 136篇 |
2001年 | 142篇 |
2000年 | 105篇 |
1999年 | 60篇 |
1998年 | 47篇 |
1997年 | 41篇 |
1996年 | 29篇 |
1995年 | 24篇 |
1994年 | 11篇 |
1993年 | 11篇 |
1992年 | 22篇 |
1991年 | 15篇 |
1990年 | 7篇 |
1989年 | 8篇 |
1988年 | 8篇 |
1987年 | 4篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 7篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 8篇 |
1982年 | 4篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有5130条查询结果,搜索用时 9 毫秒
21.
Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2001,63(2):167-241
Non-Gaussian processes of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) type offer the possibility of capturing important distributional deviations from Gaussianity and for flexible modelling of dependence structures. This paper develops this potential, drawing on and extending powerful results from probability theory for applications in statistical analysis. Their power is illustrated by a sustained application of OU processes within the context of finance and econometrics. We construct continuous time stochastic volatility models for financial assets where the volatility processes are superpositions of positive OU processes, and we study these models in relation to financial data and theory. 相似文献
22.
Spatiotemporal prediction for log-Gaussian Cox processes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Anders Brix & Peter J. Diggle 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2001,63(4):823-841
Space–time point pattern data have become more widely available as a result of technological developments in areas such as geographic information systems. We describe a flexible class of space–time point processes. Our models are Cox processes whose stochastic intensity is a space–time Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. We develop moment-based methods of parameter estimation, show how to predict the underlying intensity by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach and illustrate the performance of our methods on a synthetic data set. 相似文献
23.
Patrick D. Bourke 《Journal of applied statistics》2006,33(1):1-15
The use of the np chart for monitoring fraction-defective is well-established, but there are a number of relatively simple alternatives based on run-lengths of conforming items. Here, the RL2 chart, based on the moving sum of two successive conforming run-lengths, is investigated in order to provide SPC practitioners with clear-cut guidance on the comparative performance of these competing charts. Both sampling inspection and 100% inspection are considered here, and it is shown that the RL2 chart can often be considerably more efficient than the np chart, but the comparative performance depends on the false-alarm rate used for the comparison. Graphs to aid parameter-choice for the RL2 chart are also provided. 相似文献
24.
25.
This paper describes a technique for computing approximate maximum pseudolikelihood estimates of the parameters of a spatial point process. The method is an extension of Berman & Turner's (1992) device for maximizing the likelihoods of inhomogeneous spatial Poisson processes. For a very wide class of spatial point process models the likelihood is intractable, while the pseudolikelihood is known explicitly, except for the computation of an integral over the sampling region. Approximation of this integral by a finite sum in a special way yields an approximate pseudolikelihood which is formally equivalent to the (weighted) likelihood of a loglinear model with Poisson responses. This can be maximized using standard statistical software for generalized linear or additive models, provided the conditional intensity of the process takes an 'exponential family' form. Using this approach a wide variety of spatial point process models of Gibbs type can be fitted rapidly, incorporating spatial trends, interaction between points, dependence on spatial covariates, and mark information. 相似文献
26.
柴油机的珠墨铸铁曲轴系重要零件,气体软氮化应用到球墨铸铁领域还是一种新工艺,而且比中频淬火效果好,提高了曲轴的抗疲劳和抗磨损的能力。本文对气体软氮化的基本原理、设备、工艺参数的选择和催渗方法进行了探讨,对软氮化后曲轴的尺寸形状误差、光洁度和机械性能的提高等进行了较详细的试验、分析和比较,结果,经气体软氮化后的曲轴不但尺寸形站误差符合图纸要求外,而且抛去轻微氧化层后光洁度还略有提高,曲轴安全系数由1.3~1.6提高到1.70~1.77,并且一般不再发生疲劳断(?),使用寿命比原来寿命增加3.32倍以上。 相似文献
27.
Two-step estimation for inhomogeneous spatial point processes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Rasmus Waagepetersen Yongtao Guan 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2009,71(3):685-702
Summary. The paper is concerned with parameter estimation for inhomogeneous spatial point processes with a regression model for the intensity function and tractable second-order properties ( K -function). Regression parameters are estimated by using a Poisson likelihood score estimating function and in the second step minimum contrast estimation is applied for the residual clustering parameters. Asymptotic normality of parameter estimates is established under certain mixing conditions and we exemplify how the results may be applied in ecological studies of rainforests. 相似文献
28.
Abstract. The asymptotic behaviour of several goodness-of-fit statistics for copula families is obtained under contiguous alternatives. Many comparisons between a Cramér–von Mises functional of the empirical copula process and new moment-based goodness-of-fit statistics are made by considering their associated asymptotic local power curves. It is shown that the choice of the estimator for the unknown parameter can have a significant influence on the power of the Cramér–von Mises test and that some of the moment-based statistics can provide simple and efficient goodness-of-fit methods. 相似文献
29.
A general approach for modeling the volatility process in continuous-time is based on the convolution of a kernel with a non-decreasing Lévy process, which is non-negative if the kernel is non-negative. Within the framework of Continuous-time Auto-Regressive Moving-Average (CARMA) processes, we derive a necessary condition for the kernel to be non-negative, and propose a numerical method for checking the non-negativity of a kernel function. These results can be lifted to solving a similar problem with another approach to modeling volatility via the COntinuous-time Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (COGARCH) processes. 相似文献
30.
In this paper we provide new results about generalized ageing classes on the excess lifetime of a renewal process. We also obtain some characterizations of generalized ageing classes by means of the residual life at random time. 相似文献