张掖市虚拟水投入产出分析

 虚拟水战略是水资源社会化管理的一个重要途径。本文应用地区水资源投入产出模型，剔出外地调入品影响，通过本地完全需水系数，以及完全需水量与直接用水量比较，计算了张掖市产业间虚拟水的净转移以及区域虚拟水的调入调出，进一步构造了产业间虚拟水转移矩阵，清晰量化各产业间虚拟水的转移去向。结果表明，种植业及其他农业是虚拟水最大的净转移和输出部门，利用的水实际向制造业和畜牧业大量转移, 畜牧业又将种植业转移来的水大部分输出外地。通过量化经济部门之间对水资源需求的数量关联效应，从投入产出分析视角为张掖市水需求管理提供新的参考。     

中国农村居民消费需求影响因素分析

本文依据持久收入理论,应用计量经济模型分析了影响中国农村居民消费需求的各种因素,计算了平均消费倾向和边际消费倾向以确定收入的不同部分对农村居民消费的影响程度,并分析了非收入要素对消费需求的影响,得出中国农民消费需求主要取决于收入中的持久收入而与暂时收入关系不大的结论,而其它非收入因素的影响也不容忽视.最后提出促进农村居民消费增加的建议和措施.     

关于我国研究型大学发展规划的战略思考

战略规划是带有全局性的总体发展规划,制定一个科学的、切实可行的战略规划对于研究型大学的发展至关重要,它成功与否,关键在于两条:战略目标要体现特色,战略举措要抓住重点。另外,我国研究型大学的建设应走多样性、多层次发展的道路,在制定战略规划时要把提高学校办学质量和办学效益放在首位。     

Bias Correction in the Dynamic Panel Data Model with a Nonscalar Disturbance Covariance Matrix

Approximation formulae are developed for the bias of ordinary and generalized Least Squares Dummy Variable (LSDV) estimators in dynamic panel data models. Results from Kiviet [Kiviet, J. F. (1995), on bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models, J. Econometrics68:53-78; Kiviet, J. F. (1999), Expectations of expansions for estimators in a dynamic panel data model: some results for weakly exogenous regressors, In: Hsiao, C., Lahiri, K., Lee, L-F., Pesaran, M. H., eds., Analysis of Panels and Limited Dependent Variables, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 199-225] are extended to higher-order dynamic panel data models with general covariance structure. The focus is on estimation of both short- and long-run coefficients. The results show that proper modelling of the disturbance covariance structure is indispensable. The bias approximations are used to construct bias corrected estimators which are then applied to quarterly data from 14 European Union countries. Money demand functions for M1, M2 and M3 are estimated for the EU area as a whole for the period 1991: I-1995: IV. Significant spillovers between countries are found reflecting the dependence of domestic money demand on foreign developments. The empirical results show that in general plausible long-run effects are obtained by the bias corrected estimators. Moreover, finite sample bias, although of moderate magnitude, is present underlining the importance of more refined estimation techniques. Also the efficiency gains by exploiting the heteroscedasticity and cross-correlation patterns between countries are sometimes considerable.     

浅析英国工业革命的市场条件

国内外市场的存在及市场需求的不断增长的压力是英国工业生产发展的主要动因。英国可资利用的市场规模远较欧洲其它国家的市场大,这大大便利了英国工业品的生产与销售。英国市场的性质也有助于工业再生产的进行。     

Firm-level training in local economic systems: Complementarities in production and firm innovation strategies

The paper presents a conceptual review over the main aspects concerning the role of human capital investments and training activities within production processes, followed by empirical evidence on two local economic systems in Northern Italy, based on recent survey data. Theoretical and empirical considerations are brought together in order to provide new insights on the role of training and the factors associated to training activities at firm level.The potential driving factors of training here analysed compounds structural characteristics, labour demand dynamics, human resource management practices, workforce features, and firm performances. We observe that training activities emerge positively associated with high-performance practices, innovative labour demand features, workforce skill level, firm size, and are affected by labour flexibility in various directions. Empirical evidence confirms most previous results but also adds further important insights. The analysis suggests that a widening gap, between few innovatively evolving and many stagnant firms, could characterise the future dynamics of the Region. The high relevance of structural variables, labour demand factors and HRM/innovation practices shows that regional industrial policies and labour policies should be jointly implemented for increasing potential firm productivity. This is a key concern for the current debate on local systems economic development in the European and Italian environment.     

论民主政治的程序化

民主政治的理性就在于程序的理性。当今中国,不仅要把民主政治制度化,以树立民主政治的权威地位,而且应当努力使民主政治程序化,使民主政治特别是行政民主和党内民主的各项制度得到真正落实,加强社会主义民主政治建设,实现民主政治的制度化、规范化、程序化的统一。     

民营经济的资金需求：陕西个案研究

在对陕西4个地市进行调研的基础上,估算了该省民营经济的资金需求总量,并分析了其资金需求的结构。结果表明,民营经济的资金存在需求总量难以满足和供求结构失衡的矛盾,在目前国有金融体系支持有限的情况下,民营经济对民间资本产生了强烈的需求。因此解决民营经济融资困境的出路在于有效搭建民间资本投入到民营经济的桥梁和通道。     

高校人力资本特征及激励机制研究

论述高校人力资本的特征 ,分析高校设岗聘任制实施中的问题     

创新教育不容忽视人文精神的培养

创新是知识经济的灵魂 ,作为培养和创造满足社会需求人才的高等院校 ,必须加强学生创新能力的培养。创新能力不仅包括创造能力 ,还包括创造精神。这种能力的培养单靠科学素质的创新教育难以完成 ,人文精神在创新教育中的作用不容忽视 ,高等院校应进行博雅教育 ,提高学生的人文素质和科学素质