A Bayes comparison of Weibull extension and modified Weibull models for data showing bathtub hazard rate

A number of models have been proposed in the literature to model data reflecting bathtub-shaped hazard rate functions. Mixture distributions provide the obvious choice for modelling such data sets but these contain too many parameters and hamper the accuracy of the inferential procedures particularly when the data are meagre. Recently, a few distributions have been proposed which are simply generalizations of the two-parameter Weibull model and are capable of producing bathtub behaviour of the hazard rate function. The Weibull extension and the modified Weibull models are two such families. This study focuses on comparing these two distributions for data sets exhibiting bathtub shape of the hazard rate. Bayesian tools are preferred due to their wide range of applicability in various nested and non-nested model comparison problems. Real data illustrations are provided so that a particular model can be recommended based on various tools of model comparison discussed in the paper.     

An EM algorithm for the estimation of parameters of bivariate generalized exponential distribution under random left censoring

In this paper, we consider the four-parameter bivariate generalized exponential distribution proposed by Kundu and Gupta [Bivariate generalized exponential distribution, J. Multivariate Anal. 100 (2009), pp. 581–593] and propose an expectation–maximization algorithm to find the maximum-likelihood estimators of the four parameters under random left censoring. A numerical experiment is carried out to discuss the properties of the estimators obtained iteratively.     

Recurrence relations for single and product moments of progressively Type-II censored order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution with application to inference

In this paper, we establish several recurrence relations for the single and product moments of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution. The use of these relations in a systematic recursive manner enables the computation of all the means, variances, and covariances of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics from the generalized half-logistic distribution for all sample sizes n, effective sample sizes m, and all progressive censoring schemes (R ₁, …, R _m ). The results established here generalize the corresponding results for the usual order statistics due to Balakrishnan and Sandhu [Recurrence relations for single and product moments of order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution with applications to inference, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 52 (1995), pp. 385–398.]. The moments so determined are then utilized to derive the best linear unbiased estimators of the scale and location–scale parameters of the generalized half-logistic distribution. The best linear unbiased predictors of censored failure times are discussed briefly. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the inferential method developed here.     

第三次分配视野下廉洁文化理论与机制建设研究

发挥第三次分配对建设廉洁社会的推动作用,是党的十九大会议明确提出的旨在促进社会公平、效率和共同富裕的重要议题。厘清第三次分配对中国廉洁文化和机制的作用与边界、构建新时期廉洁文化体系,将成为推动中国经济高质量发展的依托力量,故此整体审视廉洁文化研究状态并把握其学理向度尤为紧迫。首先在理论基础层面,应探讨廉洁文化理论的整体构建,清晰廉洁文化体系因何而建和如何以建的问题。其次在制度构建层面,须阐明廉洁文化机制的运行机理,明确廉洁文化机制中主体是谁、任务是什么以及形态和功能有哪些。最后在实践发展层面,要重点强调第三次分配赋能廉洁文化理论和机制的作用,实现廉洁文化理论与机制研究从学理向实践的跃迁。     

Kernel density estimation for heavy-tailed distributions using the champernowne transformation

When estimating loss distributions in insurance, large and small losses are usually split because it is difficult to find a simple parametric model that fits all claim sizes. This approach involves determining the threshold level between large and small losses. In this article, a unified approach to the estimation of loss distributions is presented. We propose an estimator obtained by transforming the data set with a modification of the Champernowne cdf and then estimating the density of the transformed data by use of the classical kernel density estimator. We investigate the asymptotic bias and variance of the proposed estimator. In a simulation study, the proposed method shows a good performance. We also present two applications dealing with claims costs in insurance.     

Progressive type II censored order statistics from exponential distributions

In the model of progressive type II censoring, point and interval estimation as well as relations for single and product moments are considered. Based on two-parameter exponential distributions, maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs), uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators (UMVUEs) and best linear unbiased estimators (BLUEs) are derived for both location and scale parameters. Some properties of these estimators are shown. Moreover, results for single and product moments of progressive type II censored order statistics are presented to obtain recurrence relations from exponential and truncated exponential distributions. These relations may then be used to compute all the means, variances and covariances of progressive type II censored order statistics based on exponential distributions for arbitrary censoring schemes. The presented recurrence relations simplify those given by Aggarwala and Balakrishnan (1996)     

The asymptotic distribution of the partial attributable risk in cross-sectional studies

The partial attributable risk (PAR) has been introduced as a tool for partitioning the responsibility for causing an adverse event between various risk factors. It has arisen from epidemiology, but it is also a valid general risk allocation concept, which can, for example, be applied to data from customer satisfaction surveys. So far, a variance formula for the PAR has been missing so that the confidence intervals were not directly available. This paper provides the asymptotic normal distribution for the PAR determined from a cross-sectional study.     

Exact confidence region for the parameters of the gamma distribution based on two independent samples

The gamma distribution has been discussed by many authors. This article proposes an exact confidence region for the parameters of a two-parameter gamma distribution. The result is based on the fact that the percentiles of the F-distribution, with equal degrees of freedom k, are monotonic in k.     

The Lindeberg-Feller theorem for positive definite densities

We consider the Lindeberg-Feller model for independent random variables and focus our attention on the behaviour of the probability densities q_{n} of sums S_{n}, n\geq 1 . We obtain a theorem on the convergence of q_{n} to the standard normal density \varphi which resembles the well known limit theorem for distribution functions--provided that the q_{n} are positive definite. A special case is the following: if q_{n}(0)\rightarrow\varphi(0) as n\rightarrow\infty then the Lindeberg condition guarantees that the convergence of q_{n} to \varphi continues to the real line.