Residual analysis for spatial point processes (with discussion)

Summary.  We define residuals for point process models fitted to spatial point pattern data, and we propose diagnostic plots based on them. The residuals apply to any point process model that has a conditional intensity; the model may exhibit spatial heterogeneity, interpoint interaction and dependence on spatial covariates. Some existing ad hoc methods for model checking (quadrat counts, scan statistic, kernel smoothed intensity and Berman's diagnostic) are recovered as special cases. Diagnostic tools are developed systematically, by using an analogy between our spatial residuals and the usual residuals for (non-spatial) generalized linear models. The conditional intensity λ plays the role of the mean response. This makes it possible to adapt existing knowledge about model validation for generalized linear models to the spatial point process context, giving recommendations for diagnostic plots. A plot of smoothed residuals against spatial location, or against a spatial covariate, is effective in diagnosing spatial trend or co-variate effects. Q – Q -plots of the residuals are effective in diagnosing interpoint interaction.     

对运动竞技中运动心理学的再认识

文章通过分析运动员身体能量和心理能量的关系 ,认为主客观都要求运动员赛前将心理能量和身体能量调控到相对较高点 ,以发挥其最大的竞争力。由于心理技能的训练和发展有赖于各心理技能间的相互发展 ,因此 ,对运动员必须从心理能量有效调控关联的技能训练着手进行心理技能训练     

中国股票市场效率的实证研究

处于二元转型期的中国股票市场,功能定位不完全合理,结构性矛盾突出。行政导向性强,是一个不完全市场。市 场仍处于非弱效率状态。利用1999-2000年中国股票市场的时间序列数据进行的自相关系数检验和游程检验.证实了中国 股票市场非弱有效性的判断。     

建筑节能激励政策的非对称博弈分析

本文探讨了建筑节能领域中政府与房地产商群体之间的非对称博弈问题,分析了该博弈所具有的模仿者动态模型、斯坦克尔伯格模型的特点,并构造了两者关于建筑节能激励政策的非对称博弈模型,最后对双方分别提出了博弈策略建议。     

基于利润的股票定价模型研究

股息现值模型 (Gordon model)、税后利润再投资有限增长模型 (Gordon and Gordon m odel)以及简化后的税后利润再投资有限增长模型 (Morris m odel)都无法为亏损公司的股票定价。根据弱有效市场假设 ,提出基于净利润的股票定价模型。该模型允许公司未来几年把全部或部分利润投资于盈利项目。利用该模型投资者可以计算不同类型上市公司股票的投资价值     

离子晶体外表面束缚极化子

本文计及表面光学声子的作用以及像电荷的作用,采用变分方法对一些材料外表面束缚极化子的基态能量和自陷能作了数值计算,并对结果进行了讨论,发现:对于Ⅰ—Ⅶ、Ⅱ—Ⅵ,Ⅲ—Ⅴ化合物的外表面,均可形成稳定的束缚极化子,且由于表面光学声子的作用,使这一杂质态更加稳定。     

Theoretical consideration of effect of fishing mortality on growth and reproduction of fish populations

Summary An increase in fish mortality due to fishing can theoretically change the growth and reproduction of fish populations from the viewpoint of adaptation. We address the issue of how an iteroparous fish should convert surplus energy into somatic growth and reproduction at each age under given conditions of mortality. A model of life history, which maximizes the net reproductive rate using the discrete maximum principle, is improved employing a new relationship between body weight and surplus energy which we have recently proposed. The model is applied to the North Sea plaicePleuronectes platessa, for which it has been reported that the average length of young fish had increased whereas that of old ones had decreased for some decades. Although the model cannot directly explain the former phenomenon, the two phenomena can be interpreted as a change in the optimal life history due mainly to an increase in mortality.     

管理育人的关键是高效服务与优化管理--建设既安身又安心的大学生公寓

结合高校学生公寓社会化管理的实际情况,探讨在高校后勤社会化管理进程中,如何更新观念,高效服务与优化管理并重,实现管理育人.     

能源教育：节约型社会建设的重要途径

节约型社会建设目标的提出,进一步对节能工作提出了挑战。加强节约型社会建设和提高节能工作的效果,从国外经验来看,能源教育是一个现实和有效的途径。本文从能源教育的必要性及国外能源教育的经验入手,提出了中国发展能源教育的若干建议。     

我国能效标准和标识制度的现状、问题与对策

能效标准、标识制度是确定能源节约与浪费的尺度,是政府对节能实行管理和调控的有力措施,也是衡量用能单位是否达到节能的准则。本文在深入分析我国能效标准、标识制度实施现状和存在问题的基础上,借鉴国外经验,并结合我国实际,提出了完善我国能效标准、标识制度的对策。