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91.
92.
通过对背跃式跳高的助跑、起跳、过杆和落地,各阶段容易产生的错误动作进行分析,找出易犯错误,分析原因,提出解决这些问题应采取的方法,为更好地学习背跃式跳高提供理论依据。 相似文献
93.
Ole Klungsøyr Joe Sexton Inger Sandanger Jan F. Nygård 《Journal of applied statistics》2013,40(4):843-861
A substantial degree of uncertainty exists surrounding the reconstruction of events based on memory recall. This form of measurement error affects the performance of structured interviews such as the Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI), an important tool to assess mental health in the community. Measurement error probably explains the discrepancy in estimates between longitudinal studies with repeated assessments (the gold-standard), yielding approximately constant rates of depression, versus cross-sectional studies which often find increasing rates closer in time to the interview. Repeated assessments of current status (or recent history) are more reliable than reconstruction of a person's psychiatric history based on a single interview. In this paper, we demonstrate a method of estimating a time-varying measurement error distribution in the age of onset of an initial depressive episode, as diagnosed by the CIDI, based on an assumption regarding age-specific incidence rates. High-dimensional non-parametric estimation is achieved by the EM-algorithm with smoothing. The method is applied to data from a Norwegian mental health survey in 2000. The measurement error distribution changes dramatically from 1980 to 2000, with increasing variance and greater bias further away in time from the interview. Some influence of the measurement error on already published results is found. 相似文献
94.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(12):1939-1969
Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis is an essential ingredient of model development and applications. For many uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques, sensitivity indices are calculated based on a relatively large sample to measure the importance of parameters in their contributions to uncertainties in model outputs. To statistically compare their importance, it is necessary that uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques provide standard errors of estimated sensitivity indices. In this paper, a delta method is used to analytically approximate standard errors of estimated sensitivity indices for a popular sensitivity analysis method, the Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (FAST). Standard errors estimated based on the delta method were compared with those estimated based on 20 sample replicates. We found that the delta method can provide a good approximation for the standard errors of both first-order and higher-order sensitivity indices. Finally, based on the standard error approximation, we also proposed a method to determine a minimum sample size to achieve the desired estimation precision for a specified sensitivity index. The standard error estimation method presented in this paper can make the FAST analysis computationally much more efficient for complex models. 相似文献
95.
以斯伦贝谢公司随钻电阻率测井仪ARC675系列为例,重点分析了介电效应对相位移和幅度衰减电阻率的影响规律。给出了ARC675随钻电阻率测井仪在2MHz和400kHz工作频率下的校正图版和校正方法,编制了自动介电效应校正计算机程序并对油田实际随钻电阻率测井数据进行了介电效应校正,校正的结果验证了对介电效应影响规律的分析,得到了更为正确的地层电阻率值。实例证明拟合公式是正确的。 相似文献
96.
Clifford H. Spiegelman 《The American statistician》2013,67(3):245-248
Modern exploratory data analysis produces models that are not based on physical theory but that are consistent with pictures of the data. When both X and Y have error this can be risky, because important features are hidden. Two examples are given that show that systematic model departures and heteroscedasticity may not be detectable with standard regression diagnostics. 相似文献
97.
严元照的《尔雅匡名》在清代上百部《尔雅》研究之作中较有特色,尤其是其以《说文》校正《尔雅》的研究方法给后人很大的启迪。他以《说文》为参照,从古代用字角度、书体演变角度、汉字构形角度研究了《说文》与《尔雅》之间的差异,基本上澄清了《尔雅》收字情况、《尔雅》流传过程中的讹变等问题,为后人研究《尔雅》提供了可资借鉴的善本。 相似文献
98.
This article considers the notion of the non-diagonal-type estimator (NDTE) under the prediction error sum of squares (PRESS) criterion. First, the optimal NDTE in the PRESS sense is derived theoretically and applied to the cosmetics sales data. Second, we make a further study to extend the NDTE to the general case of the covariance matrix of the model and then give a Bayesian explanation for this extension. Third, two remarks concerned with some potential shortcomings of the NDTE are presented and an alternative solution is provided and illustrated by means of simulations. 相似文献
99.
Feng-Shou Ko 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(1):72-89
In this article, we discuss how to identify longitudinal biomarkers in survival analysis under the accelerated failure time model and also discuss the effectiveness of biomarkers under the accelerated failure time model. Two methods proposed by Shcemper et al. are deployed to measure the efficacy of biomarkers. We use simulations to explore how the factors can influence the power of a score test to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the survival time. These factors include the functional form of the random effects from the longitudinal biomarkers, in the different number of individuals, and time points per individual. The simulations are used to explore how the number of individuals, the number of time points per individual influence the effectiveness of the biomarker to predict survival at the given endpoint under the accelerated failure time model. We illustrate our methods using a prothrombin index as a predictor of survival in liver cirrhosis patients. 相似文献
100.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(6):943-960
ABSTRACT We study the estimation of a hazard rate function based on censored data by non-linear wavelet method. We provide an asymptotic formula for the mean integrated squared error (MISE) of nonlinear wavelet-based hazard rate estimators under randomly censored data. We show this MISE formula, when the underlying hazard rate function and censoring distribution function are only piecewise smooth, has the same expansion as analogous kernel estimators, a feature not available for the kernel estimators. In addition, we establish an asymptotic normality of the nonlinear wavelet estimator. 相似文献