基于《论语》视角的高校基层管理人员自我价值感的提升

高校基层管理人员自我价值感的状况,直接地影响着这个群体潜能的发挥和工作绩效的提高。目前,对部分高校基层管理人员来说,工作的事务性、程序性和职位与职称晋升的障碍使自我价值感降低。运用《论语》中的相关心灵策略,树立远大的职业理想,正确客观地认识自己,培育从容的平和心态,可一定程度上提高自我价值感。     

网络游戏“私服”、“外挂”行为的民事法律责任研究

“私服”、“外挂”行为严重威胁和冲击着网络游戏产业的健康发展。界定了“私服”、“外挂’’行为，指出了“私服”、“外挂”行为的危害性．并在此基础上进一步研究了“私服”、“外挂”行为构成要件内容的特殊性、承担民事责任的方式和损害赔偿数额的确定，最后提出了“私服”、“外挂”的立法建议。这有利于网络游戏产业的健康发展，净化网络文化环境，打击“私服”、“外挂”行为。     

Mean estimation with data missing at random for functional covariables

In a missing-data setting, we want to estimate the mean of a scalar outcome, based on a sample in which an explanatory variable is observed for every subject while responses are missing by happenstance for some of them. We consider two kinds of estimates of the mean response when the explanatory variable is functional. One is based on the average of the predicted values and the second one is a functional adaptation of the Horvitz–Thompson estimator. We show that the infinite dimensionality of the problem does not affect the rates of convergence by stating that the estimates are root-n consistent, under missing at random (MAR) assumption. These asymptotic features are completed by simulated experiments illustrating the easiness of implementation and the good behaviour on finite sample sizes of the method. This is the first paper emphasizing that the insensitiveness of averaged estimates, well known in multivariate non-parametric statistics, remains true for an infinite-dimensional covariable. In this sense, this work opens the way for various other results of this kind in functional data analysis.     

浅析日语在中国的传播历程

中日两国是一衣带水的邻邦，两国有着悠久的交流史，而语言必然是交流的工具和先行。任何文化交流包括文字交流必然是双向的，作为日语，其在中国的传播，以及中国人对日语的理解与接受是一个较为复杂的过程，其先后经历了原始「錄音（ろくぉん）」阶段、「寄語（きこ）」阶段（即翻译阶段）、「仮名（カナ）」的「伝来（でんらい）」阶段。     

世纪之交的拉美左派评析

世纪之交,拉美左派运动正在走向一个新的发展阶段,这不仅有利于拉美地区政治经济的发展,而且对整个国际关系会产生深远的影响。因此,要在新的时代背景下,从历史的角度,客观地认识拉美左翼的崛起和它进一步发展的必然性。     

Sex segregation in India's formal manufacturing sector

Using an index of dissimilarity based on data from the Annual Survey of Industries for 1989/90 and 2000/01, the authors find that sex segregation across India's so‐called factory sector decreased over this period. Most of the apparent improvement, however, was due to changes in the industrial structure of employment, not desegregation per se. The index is also sensitive to the number of industries in the underlying classifications. At the national and state levels, formal job opportunities for women are effectively very limited: they are highly concentrated in a small number of traditional “women's” manufacturing industries, such as food, tobacco, apparel, weaving and spinning.     

乐透型彩票设计合理性的数学分析

研究了基本乐透型彩票类型的管理模型，根据概率论公式计算出获得各种奖项的可能性、并利用剩余奖金金额、彩票的吸引力等指标评价了彩票设计方案的合理性，推算出彩票发行部门收益最高的选号范围。     

Tests for Unit-Root versus Threshold Specification With an Application to the Purchasing Power Parity Relationship

We consider modeling the real exchange rate by a stationary three-regime self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) model with possibly a unit root in the middle regime. This representation is consistent with purchasing power parity in the presence of trading costs. Our main contribution is to provide statistical tools for testing unit root versus a SETAR. First, we show that a SETAR with a unit root in the middle regime is stationary and mixing under reasonable assumptions. Second, we derive analytically the asymptotic distribution of our unit-root test under the null. Using monthly real exchange rate data, our test rejects the null of unit-root against a threshold process for five European series.     

Empirical likelihood confidence bands for distribution functions with missing responses

Distribution function estimation plays a significant role of foundation in statistics since the population distribution is always involved in statistical inference and is usually unknown. In this paper, we consider the estimation of the distribution function of a response variable Y with missing responses in the regression problems. It is proved that the augmented inverse probability weighted estimator converges weakly to a zero mean Gaussian process. A augmented inverse probability weighted empirical log-likelihood function is also defined. It is shown that the empirical log-likelihood converges weakly to the square of a Gaussian process with mean zero and variance one. We apply these results to the construction of Gaussian process approximation based confidence bands and empirical likelihood based confidence bands of the distribution function of Y. A simulation is conducted to evaluate the confidence bands.     

出生性别比综合治理:有所为,有所不为

从1980年我国出生性别比越过正常值域至今,党和各级政府制订了种种措施进行综合治理,但取得的成效甚微。这一时期我国治理工作的特点有:重视禁止性法律法规的制定,但与之相配套的规章制度比较缺乏;重视目标任务的提出,但落实目标的措施比较缺乏;部门性、专项性规章制度较多,综合性规章制度比较缺乏。今后一段时期内综合治理工作,可以按照避实就虚、避难就易的原则,在大力发展社会经济、建立健全社会养老制度、相关法律法规的制定与完善、加大对两非行为的打击力度等方面有所作为;而在人口生育政策的调整、传统文化的改变等方面有所不为。