Strategic Bargaining Over Child Support and Visitation

When parents divorce, child support and visitation must be determined. The 1988 Family Support Act requires all states to have child support guidelines for courts to use in determining child support obligations. However, many divorcing couples arrive at agreements without court intervention, or they simply fail to enforce the court decision ex post. Given that the guidelines provide a starting point for negotiations, couples may be able to find self-negotiated, Pareto-improving solutions. In this paper we model the bargaining process that divorcing couples engage in when coming to agreements on visitation and child support. The model suggests that individuals may arrive at agreements that are Pareto improvements for both parents but that the children's welfare may decline as a result of these self-negotiated settlements. Data from the Stanford Child Custody Study show that the changes made in child support and visitation agreements are consistent with our model in only 30 percent of the cases. Therefore, we consider alternative specifications of the model and show that both significant costs of enforcing the original agreement and alternative assumptions on parental preferences can explain these empirical results.     

试论我国金融结构变化及其对货币政策的影响

随着我国市场化进程的不断发展,我国金融结构发生了明显的变化。以这些变化的影响为背景,对我国金融结构的变化特征进行分析和揭示,并阐释了引发这些变化的原因以及它对国家货币政策所产生的作用,在此基础上,进一步提出了完善我国金融结构和提高我国货币政策效果的相关政策建议。     

电子商务模式决策的支持模型设计

借助潜在需求这一概念提出决策分析框架,帮助决策者在决策制定的最初分析阶段排除那些与本企业环境和供应链条件不相容的电子商务模式;旨在为电子商务从业者和研究人员提供一个实施电子商务模式决策分析时的支持模型.     

The availability of personal and external coping resources: Thier impact on job stress and employee attitudes during organizational restructuring

This study examines the relationships among personal coping resources, social support, external coping resources, job stressors and job strains in a sample of 110 American Telephone and Telegraph employees undergoing a major organizational restructuring. The study expanded on a model suggested by Ashford (1988) by defining another category of coping resources that employees may draw upon to deal with the stressors and strains which occur during major organizational changes. External coping resources were defined as those which provided employees with a sense of 'vicarious control' in stressful situations. Results indicated that personal coping resources, social support and external coping resources had a direct effect upon job stressor and strain levels. No 'buffering' effect of these coplng resources was found. Hierarchical regression analyses indicated that external coping resources added to the prediction of job stressors and strains even when pertonal coping resources and social support were entered first into the prediction questions.     

Poverty and social trends in Russia

The article describes the socioeconomic situation of the Russian population and its dynamics in 1992. The analysis is based on series of regional sociological surveys led by the All-Russian Living Standards Research Center and on official Russian statistical data. The basic unit of analysis is the family, and hence family typology approbated both in research and in practical social work is introduced. Besides describing and discussing the growing poverty tendencies in contemporary Russia, the article also contains methodological recommendations for social policy bodies and social workers on the strategy of work in social maintenance and social support of the least secure population strata.     

Consortium for Atlantic Regional Assessment: Information Tools for Community Adaptation to Changes in Climate or Land Use

To inform local and regional decisions about protecting short-term and long-term quality of life, the Consortium for Atlantic Regional Assessment (CARA) provides data and tools (for the northeastern United States) that can help decision makers understand how outcomes of their decisions could be affected by potential changes in both climate and land use. On an interactive, user-friendly website, CARA has amassed data on climate (historical records and future projections for seven global climate models), land cover, and socioeconomic and environmental variables, along with tools to help decision makers tailor the data for their own decision types and locations. CARA Advisory Council stakeholders help identify what information and tools stakeholders would find most useful and how to present these; they also provide in-depth feedback for subregion case studies. General lessons include: (1) decision makers want detailed local projections for periods short enough to account for extreme events, in contrast to the broader spatial and temporal observations and projections that are available or consistent at a regional level; (2) stakeholders will not use such a website unless it is visually appealing and easy to find the information they want; (3) some stakeholders need background while others want to go immediately to data, and some want maps while others want text or tables. This article also compares what has been learned across case studies of Cape May County, New Jersey, Cape Cod, Massachusetts, and Hampton Roads, Virginia, relating specifically to sea-level rise. Lessons include: (1) groups can be affected differently by physical dangers compared with economic dangers; (2) decisions will differ according to decision makers' preferences about waiting and risk tolerance; (3) future scenarios and maps can help assess the impacts of dangers to emergency evacuation routes, homes, and infrastructure, and the natural environment; (4) residents' and decision makers' perceptions are affected by information about potential local impacts from global climate change.     

中小企业发展与融资体系的构建

中小企业在其不同的发展阶段面临着不同的融资需求。文章以金融支持为主线,先从宏观层面上考察了企业融资结构分别对宏观经济波动和企业融资体系的影响,再从微观角度出发,试图在对中小企业各发展过程中融资行为、融资约束、融资结构等的分析中探求其“融资难”之所在。最后再依据我国的现实国情,并结合发达国家先进经验,探讨我国中小企业融资体系的构建。     

青少年自我尊重心理的形成及其制约因素

青少年的自尊对其心理健康发展有着重要影响 ,因而倍受心理学的关注。研究指出 ,青少年自尊的形成受家庭养育方式等早期经验、青春期的成长与身体形象、个人效能感、青少年对自身能力的评价以及社会支持的影响。     

国际移民学研究:范畴、框架及意义

国际移民学探索的直接目标,是在合理解读移民行为的基础上,推动移民政策的合法制定,进而达到移民个人或群体在大社会中的和谐生存与发展。国际移民学探求的最终目标,是全球资源的合理有效共享,全球人的和平共处,共赢共荣;其最基本问题则可以归结为:何时、何人、为何、如何跨国迁移?跨国迁移对迁移者个人、家庭及相关群体、地区、国家乃至整个世界可能产生什么影响?国际移民学涉及的范围相当广泛,需要建立一个跨学科的、综合性的分析框架。     

秦汉开发西部的政策及其得失

秦汉经营西部的过程,是我国统一多民族国家开发西部历史长河中的第一个大的浪潮。秦汉根据西部地区特殊的地理环境、复杂的民族关系、经济生活以及文化习俗等多方面的差异而制定的西部开发政策,经历了一个从单一到逐步深入、综合的过程,政治统一与经济开发同行,军事威慑与抚绥相伴,具有里程碑的性质,在历史上具有开创性的意义,为后代开发西部提供了有益探索。秦汉在西部开发过程中的种植粮谷、开垦荒地等活动,在促进农业发展、带动当时当地社会经济、文化进步的同时,对西部地区尤其是西北地区脆弱的生态环境也造成了一定破坏。