Panel regression models for measuring multidimensional poverty dynamics

This work concerns the study of poverty dynamics and the analysis of the influencing socio-demographic factors. A fuzzy and multidimensional approach has been chosen in order to define two different poverty measures. A panel regression model has been estimated and particular attention has been paid to the treatment of the unobservable heterogeneity among longitudinal units. The specified model combines autoregression with variance components. The empirical analysis has been conducted using the data set of the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) from 1991 to 1997. This work was co-financed by Murst funds for the projects “Occupazione e disoccupazione in Italia: misura e analisi dei comportamenti”. The paper is the result of the common work of all the authors; in particular G. Betti has written Sects. 2,5.1 and 5.3.1; A. D’Agostino has written sections 4, 5.2 and 5.4; L. Neri has written Sects. 1, 3, 5.3.2 and 6.     

势科学与现代教育

论述了从传统文化的造势说和现代科学的造势论的统一中造势的基本原理,给出了造势的理论模型:使差别最大的元素联系最紧密,由于这样的元素只能是对称性元素,而对称性元素构成“群”,从而揭示了“造势”必然“成群”的基本规律,在此基础上,探讨了人才成长和大学教育跨越式发展的路径选择。     

添加沼液养猪的试验研究

沼液喂猪试验表明:添加沼液具有增加食欲、加快生长速度、缩短肥育期、提高饲料利用率(24.4％)、节省饲料,降低养猪成本(24.5％)的优点,在广大农村粗放的饲养管理条件下,沼液喂猪具有较大的推广价值。     

透平平面叶栅大负攻角分离流的研究

为了研究透平叶栅大负攻角分离流动的性质,在平面叶栅风洞上对叶栅流道内部及出口半叶高处的流场作了细致的测量,并测得了相应叶高处的叶型表面静压分布。用流动显示方法确定了叶型压力面上的分离区,初步拟出了分离流流型,并用二维时间推进法计算了无分离及有分离时的流场,得到了与实测值较为吻合的叶型表面静压分布及其它流动参数的分布。     

Philosophical Views and Basic Theories of System Dynamics

System dynamics, founded by professor Forrester at Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1956, is a discipline which analyzes and studies the system of information feedback. Basic views of theories of system dynamics distinctively show its dialectical characteristics. More attention should be paid to the features of complicated nonlinear systems. The model simulation of system dynamics is a kind of structure-function simulation. One of the remarkable advantages of system dynamics is that it can handle problems of high order, nonlinear and multiplefeedback system.     

Live-in Foreign Domestic Workers and their Impact on Hong Kong’s Middle Class Families

This paper discusses the impact of foreign domestic workers (FDWs) on parental roles and family dynamics of Hong Kong’s middle class families. The increase in married women’s labor force participation in Hong Kong has led to a greater demand for childcare, which has been filled by FDWs. Based on interviews with 15 dual-earner couples in middle class nuclear families employing FDWs, how FDWs affect the mother’s gender role and family dynamics is discussed. Boundary work is used by parents in their daily interaction with their children and their FDWs so as to reconcile the perceived indispensability of these workers on the one hand, and the challenges they pose to the definition of parenthood on the other. This research was funded by a Lingnan University Social Sciences Program Research Grant RES/SOC010/978. I am grateful to the guest editors and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments.     

Some aspects of modern population mathematics

The purpose of this paper is to survey a number of the technical tools and models that have found use in the study of human and other populations, and to indicate some problems of current interest. These tools and models are varied: integral equations, nonlinear oscillations, differential geometry, dynamical systems, nonlinear operations, bifurcation theory, semigroup theory, martingale theory, Markov processes, diffusion processes, branching processes, ergodic theory, prediction theory and state-space models. A fairly extensive bibliography is provided. Also an Appendix has been added describing the analysis of a classical entomological data set.     

基于进化博弈的专利联盟形成研究

专利联盟作为高新技术产业发展的主导范式,对技术标准的建立有重要的作用。但是多数情况下提高社会福利的联盟却难以形成,这就是所谓专利联盟的形成困境问题。从专利权人的有限理性和重复博弈角度分析专利联盟的形成,分别建立对称和非对称专利联盟形成的进化博弈模型,得到不同条件下的进化稳定策略,并探讨影响联盟形成的条件和因素。研究结果表明,专利联盟更容易在弹性高、竞争激烈的市场环境中形成;与事实标准建立以后相比,在事前组建的专利联盟形成可能性更大;通过多方途径保护和提高加入联盟的专利权人的利润,同时抑制阻碍联盟的专利权人的利润,是促进联盟形成的关键;与专业R&D企业相比,纵向一体化企业有更强的动机加入联盟。健全和完善相关法规及配套服务对联盟形成也是有益的。     

基于系统动力学的“互联网+健康医疗”体系模型

“互联网+健康医疗”模式已然成为我国健康医疗产业发展的一个新方向,为解决传统医疗行业中存在的诸多问题提供了新思路。在分析“互联网+健康医疗”对传统医疗的影响及其发展机制的基础上,利用存量流量图等工具构建“互联网+健康医疗”体系模型,运用Vensim软件对我国“互联网+健康医疗”发展情况进行仿真,并模拟相关政策的干预效果。结果表明:“互联网+健康医疗”在降低潜在医疗需求(PMD)、促进分级诊疗中具有重要作用,保障医疗保险能够较好地嵌入“互联网+健康医疗”就诊流程中对降低PMD最有意义,而降低整体门诊价格对于优化就医结构、促进分级诊疗最为有效。