Towards Enhancement of the Economy of a Thermal Power Generating System through Prediction of Plant Efficiency

The plant ‘Heat Rate’ (HR) is a measure of overall efficiency of a thermal power generating system. It depends on a large number of factors, some of which are non-measurable, while data relating to others are seldom available and recorded. However, coal quality (expressed in terms of ‘effective heat value’ (EHV) as kcal/kg) transpires to be one of the important factors that influences HR values and data on EHV are available in any thermal power generating system. In the present work, we propose a prediction interval of the HR values on the basis of only EHV, keeping in mind that coal quality is one of the important (but not the only) factors that have a pronounced effect on the combustion process and hence on HR. The underlying theory borrows the idea of providing simultaneous confidence interval (SCI) to the coefficients of a p-th p(≥1) order autoregressive model (AR(p)). The theory has been substantiated with the help of real life data from a power utility (after suitable base and scale transformation of the data to maintain the confidentiality of the classified document). Scope for formulating strategies to enhance the economy of a thermal power generating system has also been explored.     

基于因果关系的教育研究方法思考

探索、检验因果关系是教育科学研究的重要目标之一,相关分析、回归分析、路径分析等常用统计方法存在许多不足。结构方程模型是针对这些不足提出来的,从统计思路上,它具有优点,但还不够完善,应引起我国教育学界的注意。     

论我国政府绩效评估的实践途径

为适应我国行政体制改革和加入WTO的要求,就必须重视政府绩效评估。目前我们要建立完整的政府绩效评估内容、程序和方法,使政府绩效评估走向制度化、规范化和科学化的道路。     

非负权最短路问题的一种简便算法

提出了非负权最短路问题的一种新算法。与有名的Ｄｉｊｋｓｔｒａ算法相比，这种算法计算简便、容易理解、易于编程。     

涡轮叶片尾缘针肋的换热研究

以涡轮叶片尾缘中针肋通道的换热为研究对象，讨论并计算出了一定条件下获得最大针肋通道换热量时针肋的形状曲线和换热优势，系统分析了这种拥有最佳形状曲线针肋的通道散热量随针肋物性参数及几何特征变化的规律。     

庄子哲学的历史渊源

庄子哲学思想产生于楚国独特的历史土壤。楚国历史悠久的天文学,为庄子的朴素唯物的天道观提供了科学基础;楚人是《易经》与阴阳家的鼻祖,其辩证的思维方式,为庄子哲学提供了“切玉刀”;楚国在长期而独特的历史道路中成长的民族精神,为庄子哲学提供了丰厚的精神营养。     

行政自由裁量权的两面性及其控制路径

行政自由裁量权作为行政权的重要组成部分,在行政活动中扮演着独特的角色。随着社会事务的日益纷繁复杂,行政自由裁量权在大幅度膨胀的同时,也给人们的正当权益造成了威胁。因此应考察其存在的合理性和被滥用的可能性,从外部控制和行政自我控制等视角对其有效控制路径作出研析。     

A Two-dimensional Heat Transfer Model for Atmosphere-land System in the Lake-dominated Alaskan Arctic

1 Introduction Shallow tundra lakes are one of the dominating landscape features in the Alaskan Arctic. They typically cover 20% of the total area of the North Slope of Alaska, and up to about 40% in the coastal plain [1,2]. Many lakes are, in their entirety or in part, shallower than the maximum annual ice thickness, consequently, some ice freezes completely to the lake bottom, nevertheless, large areas of water are deeper than the maximum ice thickness and the ice remains afloat througho…     

分振幅薄膜干涉课件的制作

利用电脑对点光源和发光平面的薄膜干涉进行模拟 ,并将其制作成多媒体课件 ,使看上去很复杂的光路图变得简单、清晰 ,使教学具有良好的视觉效果 ,大大增强了课堂的容量     

重庆市培育金融核心区：布局、路径与对策

金融核心区的培育是提升重庆金融集聚力和辐射力以及构建长江上游地区金融中心的关键因素.在审视金融核心区的概念、内涵和重庆市培育金融核心区的必要性、可能性基础上,运用大系统分析方法的原理,提出重庆金融核心区的规划布局和总体思路;基于产业集群理论探讨重庆金融核心区的培育路径与对策.研究认为,培育重庆金融核心区,要在运筹高端金融商务发展体系、夯实现代金融业发展平台、拓展金融业发展空间等三个方面合理布局金融产业,促进形成金融业产业集群,并优化金融生态环境和金融主体结构、强化金融资源共享和政府公共服务职能.