也论迁徙自由的宪法回归

迁徙自由具有基本人权性质,是我国社会主义市场经济体制建立的一个重要条件,也是解决其它社会问题的关键因素,理应入宪。迁徙自由在实现途径上权利赋予与制度保障应衔接进行。     

Land Ownership as a Determinant of Temporary Migration in Nang Rong, Thailand

In this study I consider landownership as a determinant of temporary migrationin a rural area of Thailand. Previous researchon rural areas in developing countries hasfocused on the use of migration to diversifyhousehold incomes across economic sectors andacross geographic areas. I combine thisliterature with economic theories of migrationto understand the effect of land ownership ontemporary migration of household members inNang Rong, Thailand. I estimate regressionmodels predicting the probability of ahousehold having any temporary migrants, andpredicting the number of male or femaletemporary migrants in the household. I findthat households with smaller landholdings arediversifying through migration in order tosupplement rural income, while households withlarger landholdings are diversifying in orderto overcome the absence of accessible credit inthe village.     

Economic Determinants of Net International Migration in Western Europe

This paper aims to estimate theinfluence of economic determinants on netinternational migration in Western Europe inthe period 1960–1998. Net migration rates(i.e., population growth minus natural increase,divided by the midyear population) constitutethe dependent variable. The economicdeterminants used in this study are GDP percapita, unemployment, and average educationallevel (amount of human capital) of thepopulation. Time series regression models havebeen used in country-specific analyses. Inaddition, a pooled cross-sectional time seriesanalysis has been made. The analyses suggestthat GDP per capita has a positive effect andunemployment a negative effect on a country'snet international migration.     

劳动力密集地区非均衡流动——对河南省固始县劳动力流动及县域经济发展的调查

在劳动力密集的河南省,大量输出劳动力可以迅速促进当地经济的发展和人民生活水平的提高,但人们往往忽视从长远看过量输出导致的非均衡流动却可能束缚输出地经济的发展,笔者通过对河南省信阳市固始县为期13天的调研,对这一问题进行了研究。本文描述了劳动力的大量输出对当地经济发展的促进,着重分析了当地劳动力流动的原因,并分析了非均衡流动给当地经济未来发展带来的三个问题。文章将在前半部分从劳动力流动的环境动力和劳动力流动去向的角度,结合劳动力流动的相关理论,对谷围村劳动力流动情况进行分析,并用"吸出模型"解释劳动力非均衡流动带来的问题和产生的原因。文章后半部分从劳动力大量输出对当地县域经济影响的角度分析了在劳动力密集的固始县企业招工难且劳动力成本高于外地的奇怪现象。最后,文章对固始县为实现劳动力均衡流动而采取的措施进行了研究,总结出劳动力过量输出地区的经济发展模式即"固始模式",并对该模式进行了分析。     

FDI、要素成本与东道国产业发展

论题拓展了James R Markusen（1997）的基本模型，重点纳入外商直接投资进入东道国对其要素市场的影响，分析了FDI与东道国产业的关联效应以及在要素市场的竞争效应对东道国产业发展的影响。外商直接投资将通过关联效应和要素市场的竞争对东道国产业发展产生一个动态二阶段影响过程：在初始阶段外商直接投资的进入将引导东道国发展最终消费品产业，从而促进产业结构变动；但在东道国产业发展到一定阶段后外商直接投资与东道国产业在要素市场的竞争加剧将阻碍东道国产业发展。     

State‐led transnationalism and migration: reaching out to the Argentine community in Spain

Abstract This article focuses on when and how states develop transnational policies. It presents a case study of a relatively small emigrant community, whose departure was not simply caused by poverty or crisis, but most recently by an economic and political debacle that questioned people's values and expectations. I focus on the state side of the equation and identify a shift in Argentina's policy after 2003, though also show how such policies came out of a long history of state intervention in population and migration and are now related to human rights concerns and the unfinished process of democratic consolidation. I argue that the state initiates political transnationalism, not migrants, and highlight the importance of some relatively unexplored factors in the understanding of the motivation, intensity and impact of the state's involvement, such as the characteristics of the emigrant community, the existence of specific political projects, the role of some domestic actors and processes, and the nature of international agreements.     

Modeling External Risks in Project Management

To ascertain the viability of a project, undertake resource allocation, take part in bidding processes, and other related decisions, modern project management requires forecasting techniques for cost, duration, and performance of a project, not only under normal circumstances, but also under external events that might abruptly change the status quo. We provide a Bayesian framework that provides a global forecast of a project's performance. We aim at predicting the probabilities and impacts of a set of potential scenarios caused by combinations of disruptive events, and using this information to deal with project management issues. To introduce the methodology, we focus on a project's cost, but the ideas equally apply to project duration or performance forecasting. We illustrate our approach with an example based on a real case study involving estimation of the uncertainty in project cost while bidding for a contract.     

农村剩余劳动力档案管理信息系统初探

实现农村劳动力的有效转移 ,需要宏观政策的引导 ,更需要微观措施的落实。本文提出建立档案式管理的诚信打工用工管理服务机制 ,既是微观管理措施的设计 ,也是宏观方针策略的探讨 ,寻求宏观政策与微观措施的有机结合 ,充分发挥宏观与微观的整合功能 ,促进农村剩余劳动力的有效转移     

国有控股公司党组织参与决策初探

阐释了国有控股公司治理出现的新变化以及给企业党组织带来的新情况,重点分析了国有控股公司党组织参与决策不仅是必要的而且是可行的,同时指出公司党组织参与决策的不适应之处还需要进一步探索研究。     

电子商务模式决策的支持模型设计

借助潜在需求这一概念提出决策分析框架,帮助决策者在决策制定的最初分析阶段排除那些与本企业环境和供应链条件不相容的电子商务模式;旨在为电子商务从业者和研究人员提供一个实施电子商务模式决策分析时的支持模型.