全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4216篇 |
免费 | 198篇 |
国内免费 | 37篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 172篇 |
劳动科学 | 2篇 |
民族学 | 61篇 |
人口学 | 23篇 |
丛书文集 | 424篇 |
理论方法论 | 184篇 |
综合类 | 3045篇 |
社会学 | 157篇 |
统计学 | 383篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 9篇 |
2023年 | 24篇 |
2022年 | 45篇 |
2021年 | 44篇 |
2020年 | 74篇 |
2019年 | 94篇 |
2018年 | 81篇 |
2017年 | 105篇 |
2016年 | 122篇 |
2015年 | 126篇 |
2014年 | 273篇 |
2013年 | 297篇 |
2012年 | 324篇 |
2011年 | 355篇 |
2010年 | 256篇 |
2009年 | 272篇 |
2008年 | 257篇 |
2007年 | 321篇 |
2006年 | 263篇 |
2005年 | 237篇 |
2004年 | 224篇 |
2003年 | 192篇 |
2002年 | 159篇 |
2001年 | 108篇 |
2000年 | 65篇 |
1999年 | 32篇 |
1998年 | 20篇 |
1997年 | 13篇 |
1996年 | 12篇 |
1995年 | 9篇 |
1994年 | 9篇 |
1993年 | 9篇 |
1992年 | 7篇 |
1991年 | 2篇 |
1989年 | 2篇 |
1988年 | 4篇 |
1987年 | 2篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1985年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有4451条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
91.
小额贷款是金融制度的创新,是对现代金融体系的提升和扬弃。小额贷款公司等微型金融是国家金融系统的必要组成部分,是国家普惠金融体系的一个特殊机构。小额贷款公司的出现延伸了金融服务的广度和深度,在一定程度上缓冲了银行的信贷风险,也使得金融体系更具包容性,从而完善了金融支持经济的功能。小额信贷不仅能促进一国的经济增长,也会丰富金融体系和金融监管的内涵。应设计出更加符合发展需求的政策体系,使小贷公司有更好的发展愿景。 相似文献
92.
Varying-coefficient models are very useful for longitudinal data analysis. In this paper, we focus on varying-coefficient models for longitudinal data. We develop a new estimation procedure using Cholesky decomposition and profile least squares techniques. Asymptotic normality for the proposed estimators of varying-coefficient functions has been established. Monte Carlo simulation studies show excellent finite-sample performance. We illustrate our methods with a real data example. 相似文献
93.
David R. Bickel 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(21):10788-10799
Empirical Bayes estimates of the local false discovery rate can reflect uncertainty about the estimated prior by supplementing their Bayesian posterior probabilities with confidence levels as posterior probabilities. This use of coherent fiducial inference with hierarchical models generates set estimators that propagate uncertainty to varying degrees. Some of the set estimates approach estimates from plug-in empirical Bayes methods for high numbers of comparisons and can come close to the usual confidence sets given a sufficiently low number of comparisons. 相似文献
94.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(9):1367-1382
We consider the problem of modelling a long-memory time series using piecewise fractional autoregressive integrated moving average processes. The number as well as the locations of structural break points (BPs) and the parameters of each regime are assumed to be unknown. A four-step procedure is proposed to find out the BPs and to estimate the parameters of each regime. Its effectiveness is shown by Monte Carlo simulations and an application to real traffic data modelling is considered. 相似文献
95.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(1):35-50
There have been a number of procedures used to analyze non-monotonic binary data to predict the probability of response. Some classical procedures are the Up and Down strategy, the Robbins–Monro procedure, and other sequential optimization designs. Recently, nonparametric procedures such as kernel regression and local linear regression (llogr) have been applied to this type of data. It is a well known fact that kernel regression has problems fitting the data near the boundaries and a drawback with local linear regression is that it may be “too linear” when fitting data from a curvilinear function. The procedure introduced in this paper is called local logistic regression, which fits a logistic regression function at each of the data points. An example is given using United States Army projectile data that supports the use of local logistic regression when analyzing non-monotonic binary data for certain response curves. Properties of local logistic regression will be presented along with simulation results that indicate some of the strengths of the procedure. 相似文献
96.
We investigate the convergence rates of uniform bias-corrected confidence intervals for a smooth curve using local polynomial regression for both the interior and boundary region. We discuss the cases when the degree of the polynomial is odd and even. The uniform confidence intervals are based on the volume-of-tube formula modified for biased estimators. We empirically show that the proposed uniform confidence intervals attain, at least approximately, nominal coverage. Finally, we investigate the performance of the volume-of-tube based confidence intervals for independent non-Gaussian errors. 相似文献
97.
城镇化进程中农民集体所有土地转变为城市国有土地,在该过程中产生大量的土地增值收益。地方政府、用地企业、村委会和农民在土地增值收益分配中有不同的行为表现,其根本原因在于利益分配冲突。从不同主体行为角度对土地增值收益分配中利益冲突问题进行研究,有利于探讨利益冲突背后的原因并提出有针对性的政策建议。 相似文献
98.
Taufiq Tanasaldy 《Asian Ethnicity》2015,16(4):446-479
Political reform after the departure of President Soeharto’s New Order (1966–1998) provided opportunities for previously oppressed social groups to express their concerns and to demand fair recognition. The results of this newly found freedom have been quite immediately visible in Jakarta, where social and political institutions spearheaded by Chinese originally sprouted. In the regions, political participation of ethnic Chinese has also grown; significantly in those regions with a large Chinese population. In West Kalimantan, the number of Chinese being elected to local parliaments in some regions has doubled. They have also contested numerous direct local executive elections since 2003 and have been successful in winning four posts: a mayor, a district head, a deputy district head, and a deputy governor. By looking at the case of West Kalimantan, this article will examine the factors behind the growth in Chinese political activism, the factors contributing to the success of Chinese candidates in elections, how the Chinese have influenced local and provincial politics, and the challenges they are facing. 相似文献
99.
Clécio S. Ferreira Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle 《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2018,88(6):1039-1059
The skew-generalized-normal distribution [Arellano-Valle, RB, Gómez, HW, Quintana, FA. A new class of skew-normal distributions. Comm Statist Theory Methods 2004;33(7):1465–1480] is a class of asymmetric normal distributions, which contains the normal and skew-normal distributions as special cases. The main virtues of this distribution is that it is easy to simulate from and it also supplies a genuine expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper, we extend the EM algorithm for linear regression models assuming skew-generalized-normal random errors and we develop a diagnostics analyses via local influence and generalized leverage, following Zhu and Lee's approach. This is because Cook's well-known approach would be more complicated to use to obtain measures of local influence. Finally, results obtained for a real data set are reported, illustrating the usefulness of the proposed method. 相似文献
100.
《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2018,45(3):792-805
When sampling from a continuous population (or distribution), we often want a rather small sample due to some cost attached to processing the sample or to collecting information in the field. Moreover, a probability sample that allows for design‐based statistical inference is often desired. Given these requirements, we want to reduce the sampling variance of the Horvitz–Thompson estimator as much as possible. To achieve this, we introduce different approaches to using the local pivotal method for selecting well‐spread samples from multidimensional continuous populations. The results of a simulation study clearly indicate that we succeed in selecting spatially balanced samples and improve the efficiency of the Horvitz–Thompson estimator. 相似文献