Who is a Distracted Driver? Associations between Mobile Phone Use while Driving,Domain‐Specific Risk Taking,and Personality

Mobile phone use while driving (MPUWD) is an increasingly common form of distracted driving. Given its widespread prevalence, it is important for researchers to identify factors that may predict who is more likely to engage in this risky behavior. The current study investigates associations between MPUWD risk behaviors, domain‐specific risk perceptions, and broad personality dimensions. An Italian community sample (n = 804) completed a survey regarding MPUWD risk perceptions and engagement in MPUWD, in addition to the HEXACO‐PI‐R, a broad six‐factor personality inventory (honesty‐humility, emotionality, extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, openness to experience), and the DOSPERT, a six‐factor domain‐specific self‐report risk‐taking measure (health/safety, recreational, social, ethical, gambling, and investment). With respect to domain‐specific risk taking, greater frequency of SMS use while driving most strongly was associated with greater risk taking for the health/safety, gambling, and ethical risk domains. Further, greater honesty‐humility and conscientiousness, two traits related to cognitive control and risk behaviors, and to a lesser extent openness to experience, were associated with less frequent MPUWD, and positively associated with MPUWD risk perceptions. With growing public safety concern surrounding MPUWD, understanding associated personality factors is not only important for identifying psychological mechanisms underlying risk behavior, but also for more effective prevention and intervention programs.     

A framework for the comparison of maximum pseudo-likelihood and maximum likelihood estimation of exponential family random graph models

The statistical modeling of social network data is difficult due to the complex dependence structure of the tie variables. Statistical exponential families of distributions provide a flexible way to model such dependence. They enable the statistical characteristics of the network to be encapsulated within an exponential family random graph (ERG) model. For a long time, however, likelihood-based estimation was only feasible for ERG models assuming dyad independence. For more realistic and complex models inference has been based on the pseudo-likelihood. Recent advances in computational methods have made likelihood-based inference practical, and comparison of the different estimators possible.     

Power and dependence perspectives on outsourcing decisions

Since the 1980s outsourcing has been a major topic in both economic and management literature. Economic literature tends to focus on the transaction cost perspective. In management literature the core competence approach prevails. An emerging alternative view on outsourcing is the power and dependence perspective. Aspects of power and dependence become visible in four case studies involving the maintenance of capital assets. In each instance both the buyer and supplier sides of the dyad are examined. The paper concludes with managerial implications and research opportunities.     

基于视觉行为的手机新闻App图文布局设计研究

通过实例总结出手机新闻App的三种基础图文布局结构,即左图右文式、左文右图式和上文下图式布局。以图文布局结构的客观评价为目的,从视觉搜索和视觉浏览规律的角度,分析了手机新闻App图文布局结构对用户阅读效率的影响。运用眼动仪对三种图文布局方案进行了实验评价与分析。通过注视轨迹、注视热点、注视点数量和搜索时间,研究不同图文布局方案下视觉浏览和视觉搜索的眼动规律。实验发现用户使用手机新闻App呈现文字导向型的视觉浏览规律,上文下图式图文布局的视觉搜索效率最高。研究结论可为手机新闻App图文布局设计提供科学的参考依据。     

移动互联网背景下电信运营商产业链延伸合作模式及策略研究

移动互联网的快速发展和市场竞争的加剧促使电信运营商开始转型,加强产业链合作,服务提供商(SP)、内容提供商(CP)等互联网企业和终端制造商是电信运营商寻求合作的重要方向.文章分析了移动互联网背景下电信运营商开展产业链延伸合作的动因;提出了平台开放型、股权投资型、战略联盟型等三种电信运营商和SP/CP的合作模式,以及合约合作型、深入定制型、运营商自建型等三种电信运营商和终端制造商的合作模式;并进一步分析了电信运营商与SP/CP以及终端制造商合作的模式选择策略,以期为中国电信运营商开展产业链合作提供借鉴和参考.     

The Local Power of the CADF and CIPS Panel Unit Root Tests

Very little is known about the local power of second generation panel unit root tests that are robust to cross-section dependence. This article derives the local asymptotic power functions of the cross-section argumented Dickey–Fuller Cross-section Augmented Dickey-Fuller (CADF) and CIPS tests of Pesaran (2007), which are among the most popular tests around.     

手机祝福短信与现代人的节日生存状态

本文分析了手机节日祝福短信的娱乐性、“耍贫嘴”现象和机械复制性等文化特征,认为手机节日祝福短信在快速便捷地传递祝福信息的同时,也以虚幻的电子传媒空间代替了情感的直接沟通,以娱乐和搞笑代替了真诚的祝福。手机短信解构了节日的神圣性,对传统的节日生活形成了一定的冲击,使传媒时代的人们变得浮躁和空虚。     

移动学习模式探讨及系统架构设计

移动学习应用环境日趋成熟。在此背景下,本文就移动学习的定义与范畴、移动学习的特征进行了探讨;提出了移动学习的两类模式;在此基础上对移动学习系统的架构进行了设计,为移动学习模式在教育教学中的进一步应用奠定了基础。     

对手机媒体的传播学思考

手机媒体是一种继报纸、广播、电视、网络四大媒体之后出现的、以手机为载体的媒体,手机媒体传播的特点是即时的大众传播和人际传播的结合,我们可以称之为"人际大众传播"。本文认为,作为"跨媒体"时代信息传播的重要成员,手机媒体对大众传播的广泛参与,优化了传播过程,弥补了以往大众传播的缺陷,同时也打破了主流媒体原有的传播思路与格局,对主流媒体产生了极大的影响。     

Modeling Correlated Discrete Uncertainties in Event Trees with Copulas

Modeling the dependence between uncertainties in decision and risk analyses is an important part of the problem structuring process. We focus on situations where correlated uncertainties are discrete, and extend the concept of the copula‐based approach for modeling correlated continuous uncertainties to the representation of correlated discrete uncertainties. This approach reduces the required number of probability assessments significantly compared to approaches requiring direct estimates of conditional probabilities. It also allows the use of multiple dependence measures, including product moment correlation, rank order correlation and tail dependence, and parametric families of copulas such as normal copulas, t‐copulas, and Archimedean copulas. This approach can be extended to model the dependence between discrete and continuous uncertainties in the same event tree.