论以德治国

以德治国是新的治国方略,它既体现出中国传统政治文化一德治的意蕴,又是毛泽东以来几代国家领导人不懈探索的结晶。从毛泽东首倡的为人民服务到邓小平的精神文明与物质文明要两手抓,两手都要硬,再到江泽民的以德治国,中国共产党的治国方略逐渐走向成熟。贯彻这一治国方略,应从以德治党着手。     

我国期货市场的法规探讨

本文阐述了期货市场法律规范的基本原则和主要功能，介绍了我国期货市场的近期发展与法规现状，并对我国期贷市场法律规范的基本原则与体系设置作了探讨。     

Government Risk Management Priorities: A Comparison of the Preferences of Asian Indian Americans and Other Americans

A survey was conducted of approximately 200 Asian Indian Americans and 200 other residents of New Jersey in order to understand the risk management priorities that they want government to have. We found that Asian Indian Americans, especially younger women, focused on personal/family risks, such as alcohol and drug abuse, sexual abuse, and domestic violence. The New Jersey comparison group, in contrast, placed war/terrorism and loss of health care services and insurance at the top of their priorities for government. These results suggest stressful acculturation-related issues within the Asian Indian community. Both populations want more risk management from government than they believe government is currently providing. Respondents who wanted more from government tended to dread the risk, be fearful of the consequences, trust government, and have a feeling of personal efficacy. Within the Asian Indian American sample, wide variations were observed by language spoken at home and religious affiliation. Notably, Muslims and Hindi language speakers tended not to trust government and hence wanted less government involvement. This study supports our call for studies of recent migrant populations and Johnson's for testing ethnic identity and acculturation as factors in risk judgments.     

论公民道德教育与法制教育的功能互补

公民道德教育与法制教育必须结合,因为二者在促进人的发展和实施依法治国与以德治国过程中,具有他律与自律、惩罚与激励、普遍性要求与层次性要求、现实性规范与理想性追求的功能互补性.     

试论主体性德育

当代学生价值取向呈现多元化趋势 ,传统德育陷入困境 ,在把握德育宏观目标的同时 ,强调主体性道德教育的主要内容 ,通过主体品德能力的提升、提高认知与辨识能力、提高移情与内化能力、加强学生在德育中的自我教育作用、注重道德践行、培养创新能力等措施 ,突出发挥德育的主体性作用 ,是社会和个体发展的现实需求 ,是德育取得实效的必然选择     

Bayesian validation assessment of multivariate computational models

Multivariate model validation is a complex decision-making problem involving comparison of multiple correlated quantities, based upon the available information and prior knowledge. This paper presents a Bayesian risk-based decision method for validation assessment of multivariate predictive models under uncertainty. A generalized likelihood ratio is derived as a quantitative validation metric based on Bayes’ theorem and Gaussian distribution assumption of errors between validation data and model prediction. The multivariate model is then assessed based on the comparison of the likelihood ratio with a Bayesian decision threshold, a function of the decision costs and prior of each hypothesis. The probability density function of the likelihood ratio is constructed using the statistics of multiple response quantities and Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed methodology is implemented in the validation of a transient heat conduction model, using a multivariate data set from experiments. The Bayesian methodology provides a quantitative approach to facilitate rational decisions in multivariate model assessment under uncertainty.     

论当代大学生活动道德教育模式的实施结构

道德的形成与发展有其自身的规律,要提高当代大学生德育的有效性,就必须结合并遵循当代大学生主体道德意识发展的特点和德育发展的规律,才能实现这一目标。本文从当代大学生主体德育发展的特点和规律出发,对活动道德教育模式的内涵、确立的依据、实施结构等诸方面对该模式进行剖析,致力于提高当代大学生德育的有效性研究。     

准确把握以德治国方略

以德治国和依法治国是中国共产党治国方略的两个方面 ,它们之间互为基础 ,功能互补 ,相得益彰。因此 ,要充分发挥德治功能。贯彻以德治国方略 ,要加强社会主义道德体系建设 ,加强道德教育和制度建设 ,突出官德建设 ,努力把依法治国和以德治国结合起来。     

Ranking Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism Scenarios: The Italian Case

A quantitative criterion for ranking the different scenarios of nuclear and radiological terrorism has been developed. The aim of the model is not to predict terroristic events but only to indicate which scenario has the higher utility from the point of view of a terroristic organization in terms of balance between factors favoring and discouraging the attack, respectively. All these factors were quantified according to a scoring system that takes into account the logarithmic relationship between perceptions and stimuli. The criterion was applied to several scenarios, each of which was modeled in a simple but not trivial way in order to estimate the expected damage in terms of probable life losses from both radiative and nonradiative effects. The outcome from the ranking method indicates that the attractive scenario appears to be the detonation of a low yield improvised nuclear device in the metropolitan area of a major city.     

高校内部审计风险原因及对策研究

内部审计机构的相对独立性、审计人员业务能力的局限性、审计方法及审计手段的落后状况等因素决定了内部审计风险的客观存在,目前高校办学和业务活动出现了一些新的特点,高校的内部审计工作不仅同样也存在风险,且较之以前有加大的趋势。本文论述了高校内部审计风险产生原因并相应提出了防范和控制风险的措施。