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101.
102.
《Econometric Reviews》2013,32(4):397-417
ABSTRACT Many recent papers have used semiparametric methods, especially the log-periodogram regression, to detect and estimate long memory in the volatility of asset returns. In these papers, the volatility is proxied by measures such as squared, log-squared, and absolute returns. While the evidence for the existence of long memory is strong using any of these measures, the actual long memory parameter estimates can be sensitive to which measure is used. In Monte-Carlo simulations, I find that if the data is conditionally leptokurtic, the log-periodogram regression estimator using squared returns has a large downward bias, which is avoided by using other volatility measures. In United States stock return data, I find that squared returns give much lower estimates of the long memory parameter than the alternative volatility measures, which is consistent with the simulation results. I conclude that researchers should avoid using the squared returns in the semiparametric estimation of long memory volatility dependencies. 相似文献
103.
104.
Pawlitschko Jörg 《Statistics》2013,47(3):277-291
In this paper, three competing survival function estimators are compared under the assumptions of the so-called Koziol– Green model, which is a simple model of informative random censoring. It is shown that the model specific estimators of Ebrahimi and Abdushukurov, Cheng, and Lin are asymptotically equivalent. Further, exact expressions for the (noncentral) moments of these estimators are given, and their biases are analytically compared with the bias of the familiar Kaplan–Meier estimator. Finally, MSE comparisons of the three estimators are given for some selected rates of censoring. 相似文献
105.
We extend the average derivatives estimator to the case of functionally dependent regressors. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and has a limiting normal distribution. A consistent covariance matrix estimator for the proposed estimator is provided. 相似文献
106.
Theodore J. Noseworthy Karen Finlay 《Journal of gambling studies / co-sponsored by the National Council on Problem Gambling and Institute for the Study of Gambling and Commercial Gaming》2009,25(3):331-342
This research examined the effects of a casino’s auditory character on estimates of elapsed time while gambling. More specifically,
this study varied whether the sound heard while gambling was ambient casino sound alone or ambient casino sound accompanied
by music. The tempo and volume of both the music and ambient sound were varied to manipulate temporal engagement and introspection.
One hundred and sixty (males = 91) individuals played slot machines in groups of 5–8, after which they provided estimates
of elapsed time. The findings showed that the typical ambient casino auditive environment, which characterizes the majority
of gaming venues, promotes understated estimates of elapsed duration of play. In contrast, when music is introduced into the
ambient casino environment, it appears to provide a cue of interval from which players can more accurately reconstruct elapsed
duration of play. This is particularly the case when the tempo of the music is slow and the volume is high. Moreover, the
confidence with which time estimates are held (as reflected by latency of response) is higher in an auditive environment with
music than in an environment that is comprised of ambient casino sounds alone. Implications for casino management are discussed. 相似文献
107.
Colin Chen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(5-6):1257-1271
Following the extension from linear mixed models to additive mixed models, extension from generalized linear mixed models to generalized additive mixed models is made, Algorithms are developed to compute the MLE's of the nonlinear effects and the covariance structures based on the penalized marginal likelihood. Convergence of the algorithms and selection of the smooth param¬eters are discussed. 相似文献
108.
The semi‐Markov process often provides a better framework than the classical Markov process for the analysis of events with multiple states. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we show that in the presence of right censoring, when the right end‐point of the support of the censoring time is strictly less than the right end‐point of the support of the semi‐Markov kernel, the transition probability of the semi‐Markov process is nonidentifiable, and the estimators proposed in the literature are inconsistent in general. We derive the set of all attainable values for the transition probability based on the censored data, and we propose a nonparametric inference procedure for the transition probability using this set. Second, the conventional approach to constructing confidence bands is not applicable for the semi‐Markov kernel and the sojourn time distribution. We propose new perturbation resampling methods to construct these confidence bands. Different weights and transformations are explored in the construction. We use simulation to examine our proposals and illustrate them with hospitalization data from a recent cancer survivor study. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 41: 237–256; 2013 © 2013 Statistical Society of Canada 相似文献
109.
陈天佑 《佛山科学技术学院学报(社会科学版)》2012,30(1):66-69
曹丕《典论·论文》的写作时间有建安十六年、太子时期、黄初初年前后三说。分析文献及史实,可以发现它的写作时间应该在太子时期,因其创作与《与吴质书》、《与杨德祖书》关系密切,而《隋书·经籍志》对当时书籍存世的记载对确定该文的创作时间下限也有着不可忽视的作用。经过史实研究,可以精确地将《典记·论文》创作时间定位于建安二十二年(217)年十月至建安二十三(218)年二月三日之间。 相似文献
110.
夏春利 《北京航空航天大学学报(社会科学版)》2016,29(2):33-38
具有高功能密度的小卫星项目蓬勃发展,大大增强了私营实体和非航天大国参与空间活动的能力,引发了规则修订的需求。国家应建立空间活动的分级、分类许可条件,放宽小卫星行业的准入要求,并根据小卫星项目的目的、成本、收益和风险来设定第三者责任保险要求,规范小卫星的登记实践。空间碎片减缓应作为小卫星项目许可条件之一,以切实履行国家的外空环境保护责任。应简化国际电信联盟卫星频率和轨道位置协调程序,建立适应小卫星轨道特性、运行寿命和业务类型的管理规则。 相似文献