“网上追逃”研究

“网上追逃”不仅涉及刑事诉讼中的侦查、审查起诉中的犯罪嫌疑人、审判阶段的被告人,也涉及刑罚执行阶段的罪犯,而且涉及监察案件的被调查人,因而并不仅仅属于侦查措施或者侦查活动。“网上追逃”的根本目的在于强制在逃人员恢复法定状态。强制恢复法定状态的措施主要包括异地拘留逮捕的协助执行、先行拘留、无证抓捕,以及由此发生相应的讯问、羁押、押解等相关活动。“网上追逃”应当从适用规范及权利保护两个方面进行规范。     

阶梯电价背景下基于贝叶斯分析的用电需求模型

阶梯电价不仅引导居民合理、节约用电,而且减少了用户之间的电价交叉补贴,但在实际应用中存在多种不确定因素,如居民用电需求变动以及各档电量的确定范围等。针对居民用电需求变动,本文提出了基于贝叶斯估计方法的阶梯电价用电需求模型。首先提出基于阶梯电价的需求函数;其次对阶梯电价用电需求函数进行贝叶斯分析,分别从统计模型、似然函数、后验分布以及加速收敛四个方面分析;最后,对1250个用户的用电数据进行估计,将影响因素带入模型得出各用户的用电需求,确定了贝叶斯估计对用电需求模型构建的适用性。     

Anticipated Backward Stochastic Differential Equation with Reflection

In this article, we deal with anticipated backward stochastic differential equation with reflecting boundary. The existence and uniqueness of solution is obtained for equation with Lipschitz and non-Lipschitz generator.     

Young people's orientations to the future: navigating the present and imagining the future

This article discusses the findings of the Imagine Sheppey project (2013–2014) which studied how young people are ‘oriented’ towards the future. The aim and approach of the project were to explore future imaginaries in a participatory, experimental, and performative way. Working with young people in a series of arts-based workshops, we intervened in different environments to alter the space as an experience of change – temporal, material, and symbolic. We documented this process visually and made use of the images produced as the basis for elicitation in focus groups with a wider group of young people. In this article we discuss young people's future orientations through the themes of reach, resources, shape, and value. In so doing, we reflect on the paths that our young respondents traced to connect their presents to what is next, what we call their modes of present–future navigation. We explore the qualities and characteristics of their stances within a wider reflection about how young people approach, imagine, and account for the future.     

Quantile Regression for Location‐Scale Time Series Models with Conditional Heteroscedasticity

This paper considers quantile regression for a wide class of time series models including autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) models with asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity errors. The classical mean‐variance models are reinterpreted as conditional location‐scale models so that the quantile regression method can be naturally geared into the considered models. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the quantile regression estimator is established in location‐scale time series models under mild conditions. In the application of this result to ARMA‐generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models, more primitive conditions are deduced to obtain the asymptotic properties. For illustration, a simulation study and a real data analysis are provided.     

Individual and situational correlates of motivation for skills upgrading: an empirical study

The present research examines the tenability of a number of factors thought to precede an individual's motivation for skills upgrading. Because motivation for skills upgrading is instrumental to training success and is highly malleable, knowing the factors that precede motivation for skills upgrading would help managers and policy makers a great deal in formulating strategies to raise the competitiveness of the workforce. We derive several testable hypotheses from the existing literature and empirically verify the selected antecedents of motivation for skills upgrading. Results based on responses from 413 employees suggest that an individual's attitude towards skills upgrading, self-efficacy, usefulness of skills upgrading, health condition and long-term orientation are positively related to motivation for skills upgrading. Implications for policy makers, managers and researchers are discussed.     

Exponential Inequalities in Stochastic Inverse Problems Using an Iterative Method

We consider an iterative method in order to solve linear inverse problems. We establish exponential inequalities for the probability of the distance between the approximated solution and the exact one for a calibration problem. The approximate is given by an iterative method with Gaussian errors. We treat an operator equation of the form Ax = u, where A is a compact operator.     

基于模糊理论的城市快速路交通状态检测算法

通过分析流量、速度、占有率与城市快速路交通状态的关系,提出了一种基于模糊理论的城市快速路交通状态检测算法。通过在深圳市某快速路上的实际验证表明,该算法在能保证一定的检测率情况下,具有较低的误报率和较少的检测时间,表明此方法在实际应用中是切实可行的。     

试论西部地区发展特色经济的市场条件

特色经济应该是具有发展活力和市场竞争力、有市场供给和需求条件的经济,应该是有效率的经济,是一种扬优成势的经济。特色经济是相比较而言,不存在绝对意义上的特色经济。发展特色经济取决于资源禀赋。由于资源要素结构及配置过程的差异性,不同区域的经济结构总是存在差异,区域差异是一种自然状态。区域差异是发展特色经济的基础。发展西部地区特色经济要确立市场观念、竞争观念、效率观念。     

浅埋大跨黄土隧道下穿公路方案比选

以大跨黄土隧道下穿公路安全施工为背景,对隧道下穿公路的安全施工方案进行研究。基于公路路面破损指数与下穿公路施工风险事件引起路面最大沉降之间的关系确定了隧道下穿施工可能引起的路面最大允许沉降量,并据此制定出施工管理基准,对比分析了CRD和CD法引起的隧道拱顶沉降、地表最大沉降、支护受力和隧道周边地层塑性区特征,建议采用CD法进行下穿施工。下穿孙辛路施工监测结果表明,采用CD法保证了隧道施工安全和孙辛路的正常通行。