Bayesian System Reliability Prediction

In system reliability studies a common problem is the coherent assessment of system reliability, based on generic database information from components and on failure data from a system and its components in a common, but unknown, environment. A solution to this problem is given.     

Conservatism of the Accident Sequence Evaluation Program HRA Procedure

This paper presents a limited assessment of the conservatism of the Accident Sequence Evaluation Program (ASEP) human reliability analysis (HRA) procedure described in NUREG/CR-4772. The data for this study are derived from simulator examination reports from the NRC requalification examination cycle for nuclear power plant operators. The ASEP procedure was used to estimate human error probability (HEP) values for critical tasks, and the HEP results were compared with the failure rates observed in the examinations. The ASEP procedure was applied by PNNL operator license examiners who supplemented the limited information in the examination reports with expert judgment based upon their extensive simulator examination experience. Comparison of the average of the ASEP HEP values with the fraction of the population actually failed and demonstrated that the ASEP HEP values are larger (conservative) by a statistically significant average factor of two. Partitioning of tasks into subgroups based on the ASEP HEP values and comparison of the subgroup average ASEP HEP values with observed subgroup failure rates showed little or no conservatism for small ASEP HEP values, but considerable conservatism for larger ASEP HEP values.     

外语学习策略研究中存在的主要问题及其对策

探讨了当前国内外外语学习策略研究中存在的一些主要问题,包括术语问题、分类问题、效度和信度问题、研究内容问题、研究方法问题和代表性问题,并针对这些问题提出了相应的对策.     

TEM-8人文知识项目试题评析及其反拨效应

本文结合近两年TEM-8实考试题,针对其新增题型(人文知识项目),从必要性、信度、效度与反拨效应等几个方面进行了简要评析.     

对大学英语一份试卷的分析

IntroductionThis analysis first presents the relevant infor-mation about the test paper that the author used inChina in 2003.Then it evaluates the test in the as-pects of content validity,construct validity and re-liability in scoring.For those deficiencies exhibitedby the test,some suggestions are provided on howto improve the test in order to achieve validity,re-liability and practicality.Background informationThe test purpose.This was an achievement testfirmly based on the syllabus and th…     

涡旋压缩机异形封头可靠性设计

为评估异形封头结构在涡旋压缩机运行过程中的可靠性,参考压力容器椭圆形封头设计理论,采用常规设计方 法对封头进行了结构设计和强度校核;基于封头材料性能、结构尺寸等设计参数的分散性,将各参数作为正态分布的基 本变量,对封头结构进行了可靠性设计,并对基本变量分布参数的灵敏度进行分析。计算结果表明,与常规设计方法相 比,可靠性设计在确保结构安全性的前提下,同时保证了设计的经济性;影响封头可靠度的主要因素是材料屈服极限、工 作压力和壁厚。     

众包标注质量控制研究

众包是近年来流行的一种分布式商业模式,采用众包方式获取标注是一种快速廉价获取海量数据标签的有效方式,由于众包平台中普遍存在不认真完成任务的作弊用户,众包标注质量难以保证.为有效提高众包标注准确性,通过学习标注者的可靠性,实现基于标注者的可靠性进行动态任务分配,采用贪婪的预测模型实现对多个标注者提交的标签进行聚集,获得高质量的众包标注结果.实验结果表明,该方法能获得比基准算法更高的标注准确性,有效实现众包标注质量控制.     

二阶电路完全响应的计算机辅助教学研究

本文从理论上研究了二阶电路完全响应的检测理论，讨论了用MCS－51单片机控制的二阶电路辅助教学系统的设计思想以及MCS－51单片机辅助教学系统的实现方案。     

Objective Tests versus Subjective tests

objective test has only one correct answer, while subjective test has a range of possible answers. Because of this feature, reliability will not be difficult to achieve in the marking of the objective item, while the marking of the subjective items is reliable. On the whole, a good test must contain both subjective and objective test items.     

基于信任和可靠性的P2P安全路由算法

安全有效的路由算法是P2P网络的关键技术之一.针对目前大多数P2P路由算法没有考虑安全性问题,并且采用随机选择下一跳节点的方法会降低路由效率,给出了一种新的P2P安全路由算法.该算法采用信任度与路径可靠性指导下一跳节点的选择,以建立安全有效的路由路径,并且引入加密、多路径传输等方法以抑制篡改、窃听等典型攻击.模拟实验结果表明,该路由算法的路由效率要优于Gnutella,安全性能好.