Temporal Disaggregation: Methods,Information Loss,and Diagnostics

This research provides a generalized framework to disaggregate lower-frequency time series and evaluate the disaggregation performance. The proposed framework combines two models in separate stages: a linear regression model to exploit related independent variables in the first stage and a state–space model to disaggregate the residual from the regression in the second stage. For the purpose of providing a set of practical criteria for assessing the disaggregation performance, we measure the information loss that occurs during temporal aggregation while examining what effects take place when aggregating data. To validate the proposed framework, we implement Monte Carlo simulations and provide two empirical studies. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

地理空间视域下斯达尔夫人与刘师培南北文学论比较研究

尽管斯达尔夫人和刘师培分处东西方历史发展的不同时期,但是斯达尔夫人的欧洲南北文学论与刘师培的中国古代南北文学不同论具有重要的比较诗学研究价值。斯达尔夫人的欧洲南北文学论和刘师培的中国古代南北文学不同论基于各自不同的理论背景和历史背景都引入了地理空间视域,其比较诗学研究的理论内涵主要包括三个方面：一是地理空间视域引入的不同理论背景、历史背景、理论内涵;二是地理空间视域下语言维度研究进路的异同;三是吊诡的倒转性：北方浪漫主义、南方古典主义与北方古典现实主义精神、南方浪漫主义精神。     

德国保护地体系评述与借鉴

德国保护地体系是沿袭历史逐步形成的。首先论述了德国保护地体系的法律基础,并对11类德国保护地的定义、现状和管理事权进行了解释。继而对德国保护地体系进行归纳总结:各类保护地由《联邦自然保护法》统筹、分级管理,以自然保护为核心目标;各类保护地地界交织现象广泛存在,从而实现更广泛的连接;关注文化与自然的融合,强调文化景观管理;各类保护地倾向不同功能,平衡保护与利用并合理发展可持续旅游;法治巩固本土特色的保护地。最后对我国的保护地体系进行相关思考:法定保护地须纳入国土空间规划;包容自然与文化景观的保护地可与"自然公园"相得益彰;对保护地的利用及管理需要通过统一规划实现。     

拙政园小沧浪水院空间分析

拙政园是中国传统私家园林的代表作品之一。小沧浪水院位于拙政园西部,院落虽小,但曲折有致,空间变化丰富。小沧浪水院在整个园林的景域组织中属于幽深屈曲,深邃回合的景物空间,是利用建筑和水体创造奥如景域的典型,在水院空间的处理中很有特色。本文分析了小沧浪水院视觉莫穷、往复无尽的空间特征,从空间深度、空间形态、建筑形式、流线组织等方面分析了小沧浪水院空间处理的特点和方法。     

二维奇异非稳态问题有限元解的误差估计

二维奇异问题的有限元方法是实际中经常会遇到的一类问题,对其解决有重要意义.本文讨论二维奇异非稳态问题的有限元方法,证明了弱解的存在唯一性,并给出有限元解的加权L2-模估计.     

民国时期北京商业整体布局与三类商业街区

民国时期北京古都商业街以大型商业街、常规商业街、专业商业街的形态存在，具有强烈的时代印记。商业街的结构因百货业态的出现而向完善方向迈进。以个人技艺为动力的民族商业给商业街增添了活力，外国政治势力破坏了传统的商业街繁荣气氛。     

城市生态绿化项目的政府投资方式改革——基于绿地建设与房产开发商的利益互动关系研究

通过对公共产品的内涵分析表明，仅由政府提供公共产品经常会出现不经济现象；只要解决外部性问题，公共产品是可以由私人提供的。以上海公共绿地为例，在分析目前公共绿地政府投资方式的基础上，研究绿地建设与房产开发商的利益互动关系，探讨城市绿地外部效应内部化的投资方式改革，提出房产与绿地联合开发建议，以期减轻政府建设城市绿地的资金压力，为实现城市公共绿地的最优投资提供理论上的依据。     

Mapping the social geographies of autism – online and off-line narratives of neuro-shared and separate spaces

This paper draws together empirical work that has been produced by the authors in two different autistic spaces: the Swedish magazine Empowerment produced by and aimed at adults with autism, and English-speaking autistic communities online. While the two points of data collection are quite different, there are important points of commonality that enable us to explore central issues concerning autistic and neurotypical space and the meanings assigned to these in different contexts. The paper aims to introduce the notion of social geographies of autism, based on talks among adults with autism and a social movement to promote autistic identities, giving examples from our previous work that has spanned both online and off-line spaces. Key issues discussed in the paper include a focus on autistic political platforms and the carving out of both social and political spaces for people with autism. In doing so, neuro-separate and neuro-shared spaces must be negotiated.     

A class of distribution-free tests for two-way layout

In this article a class of distribution-free tests for the hypothesis of no row (treatment) effect in a two-way layout design, with several observations per cell, is proposed. The tests are based on U-statistics, constructed by considering minima of all possible subsamples of same size from each cell.The proposed class of tests is compared with the parametric test, Mack and Skillings test and Yate's test for two-way layout, in terms of Pitman ARE sense. It is seen that for the case of equal number of observations per cell, the proposed tests have better efficiency for exponential and uniform error distributions.     

辽宁“十二五”工业经济发展规划的战略思考——基于产业竞争力的视角

基于产业竞争理论分析辽宁工业经济发展的现状，针对其中存在的利润率低、工业内部配套能力弱、产业之间发展不协调和民间投资被挤出等结构性问题分析其产生原因，认为政府主导资源推动型的发展方式和政府产业规划的雷同性及路径依赖性是造成结构性失衡的主要原因。为此，建议政府在编制辽宁“十二五”工业经济发展规划时应考虑效益指标，按产业发展周期和要素、需求条件等规划重点发展产业，并处理好支柱产业与支撑产业、相关产业之间的关系。