Risk and Quantification: A Linguistic Study

In risk analysis and research, the concept of risk is often understood quantitatively. For example, risk is commonly defined as the probability of an unwanted event or as its probability multiplied by its consequences. This article addresses (1) to what extent and (2) how the noun risk is actually used quantitatively. Uses of the noun risk are analyzed in four linguistic corpora, both Swedish and English (mostly American English). In total, over 16,000 uses of the noun risk are studied in 14 random (n = 500) or complete samples (where n ranges from 173 to 5,144) of, for example, news and magazine articles, fiction, and websites of government agencies. In contrast to the widespread definition of risk as a quantity, a main finding is that the noun risk is mostly used nonquantitatively. Furthermore, when used quantitatively, the quantification is seldom numerical, instead relying on less precise expressions of quantification, such as high risk and increased risk. The relatively low frequency of quantification in a wide range of language material suggests a quantification bias in many areas of risk theory, that is, overestimation of the importance of quantification in defining the concept of risk. The findings are also discussed in relation to fuzzy‐trace theory. Findings of this study confirm, as suggested by fuzzy‐trace theory, that vague representations are prominent in quantification of risk. The application of the terminology of fuzzy‐trace theory for explaining the patterns of language use are discussed.     

基于结构方程模型的农民工可雇佣性的决定因素研究——基于中部六省的调查

农民工是中国人力资源的重要组成部分。从智能、技能、体能和心能四个维度构建农民工可雇佣性模型,根据调查问卷收集数据,运用结构方程验证了农民工可雇佣性模型的合理性,研究了农民工可雇佣性及其各维度间的关系。结果表明,各维度对农民工可雇佣性影响程度依次为:技能、心能、智能和体能。农民工因年龄、文化程度不同,在可雇佣能力、技能、心能和智能方面存在显著性差异,但是在体能上没有显著差异。     

陕西省人口城市化Logistic模型及其应用——基于结构突变的理论分析

城市化是走向现代化的必经阶段,准确的城市化预测是进行经济、社会建设的基础。在结构突变理论的基础上,用Logistic模型对1978～2010年陕西城市化率进行分析。结论表明：1999年为陕西城市化率的结构突变点,说明城市化率的增长受到外部冲击的影响,分段以后的拟合优度明显提高。分别以阈值0.8和1进行分阶段构建的Logistic拟合精度明显提高,但阈值为1的精度更高,说明陕西城市化还在加速,预测表明到2030年陕西城市化率将达到70%左右。总体而言,从1984年到2030年为陕西省城市化的加速阶段。城市化加速阶段的住房问题、人口膨胀、环境恶化、交通拥挤、社会治安问题必须妥善解决。     

邓小平社会主义核心价值观教育思想探析

以泰州某大跨度连续梁桥的静动载试验为例，建立ANSYS和桥梁博士模型进行静动力有限元数值计算。将试验结果与模型计算值进行比较，试验结果表明,该桥结构刚度和承载能力满足设计要求。     

Structural change in Ethiopia

This article investigates the pace and pattern of structural change in Ethiopia. It departs from the existing literature in two main ways. First, it uses a methodology that enables a more comprehensive assessment of structural change. Second, it entailed the construction of a consistent dataset for Ethiopia—comprising three labour force surveys—tracking 10 economic sectors between 1999 and 2013. Our analysis suggests that the structure of production has changed considerably, but that shifts in the composition of employment have lagged behind. Output per capita growth has been strong and mainly driven by within‐sector productivity improvements. However, the contribution of structural change has increased over time, which is encouraging. Evidence of a growing demographic dividend is also uncovered.     

东南亚华裔学生中文姓名用字研究

姓名是语言学中一个值得关注的课题,它是一种社会现象,也是一种语言现象,有丰富的内涵。文章通过语料样本对东南亚华裔学生的中文姓名用字进行统计研究,分析用字特点,对华裔学生中文取名方法和对待相关问题应有态度进行探讨。     

关于三分Cantor集的结构的一些新结论

旨在采用代数的方法来研究三分Cantor集的结构特点。主要结果除了给出三分Cantor集的代数构造外还定义了仿四进位；结合代数构造、拓扑构造以及仿四进位分别给出并证明了三分Cantor集及其余集的结构公式，从而改进了已有的结论。     

On prediction from the location-scale model with equi correlated response

The location-scale model with equi-correlated responses is discussed. The structure of the location-scale model is utilised to genera-te the prediction distribution of a future response and that of a set of future responses. The method avoids the integration procedures usually involved in derivation of prediction distributions and yields results same as those obtained by the Bayes method with the vague prior distribution* Finally the re-suits have been specialised to cover the case of the normal intra-class model.     

论中国少数民族数文化研究

数字像一种文化基因 ,进入到文化的诸多领域 ,从而衍生出了独特的数文化。由于数字兼有语言符号和文化符号的双重属性 ,数文化自然成为中国文化语言学的又一研究视点。自 2 0世纪 80年代以来 ,许多学者在少数民族语言文化的研究领域中做了大量的工作 ,少数民族数文化问题也日益得到关注与重视。然而 ,就其研究范围、内容、方法等而言 ,尚存在许多问题。本文在总结前人研究成果的基础上 ,对此进行了初步分析并进而提出了一些建议     

转型加速时期西部少数民族地区结构性贫困研究述论

文章认为西部少数民族地区在社会转型加快时期的贫困问题基本上是结构性贫困,并对这种结构性贫困问题的具体特征及其产生的社会危害进行纬度结构分析,最后系统地从建构现代国家治理体系和治理现代化的背景下提出了治理路径。