On tests of independence between stochastic regressors and disturbances

In this paper two tests for testing the hypothesis that the stochastic endogenous regressors in a structural equation, embedded in a system of simultaneous structural equations, are independent of the disturbances in that equation are presented.     

Relationships among moments of order statistics in samples from two related outlier models and some applications

Balakrishnan (1987a) has recently shown that the moments of order statistics in samples drawn from a continuous population with pdf f(x) symmetric about zero comprising a single outlier with pdf g(x) also symmetric about zero can be expressed in terms of the moments of order statistics in samples drawn from the population obtained by folding the pdf f(x) at zero and the moments of order statistics in samples drawn from the population obtained by folding the pdf f(x) at zero comprising a single outlier with pdf obtained by folding g(x) at zero. The cumulative round off error involved in the numerical evaluation of the moments of order statistics from the symmetric outlier model, using a table of the moments of order statistics from the folded population and the moments of order statistics from the folded outlier model, has also been studied by Balakrishnan (1987a) and shown to be not serious. Making use of these results we study here the robustness of some estimators of th location and scale parameters of a double exponential distribution.     

Posterior ranges of functions of parameters under priors with specified quantiles

Suppose some quantiles of the prior distribution of a nonnegative parameter θ are specified. Instead of eliciting just one prior density function, consider the class Γ of all the density functions compatible with the quantile specification. Given a likelihood function, find the posterior upper and lower bounds for the expected value of any real-valued function h(θ), as the density varies in Γ. Such a scheme agrees with a robust Bayesian viewpoint. Under mild regularity conditions about h(θ) and the likelihood, a procedure for finding bounds is derived and applied to an example, after transforming the given functional optimisation problems into finite-dimensional ones.     

Structural inference of the parameters of the heteroscedastic simultaneous equation model

The structural approach of inference for the parameters of a simultaneous equation model with heteroscedastic error variance is investigated in this paper. The joint and the marginal structural distributions for the coefficients of the exogenous variables and the scale parameters of the error variables, and the marginal likelihood function of the coefficients of the endogenous variables have been derived. The estimates are directly obtainable from the structural distribution and the marginal likelihood function of the parameters. The marginal distribution of a subset of coefficients of exogenous variables provides the basis for making inference for a particular subset of parameter of interest.     

Instrumental variable estimation in nonlinear measurement error models

This paper presents an extension of instrumental variable estimation to nonlinear regression models. For the linear model, the extended estimator is equivalent to the two-stage least squares estimator. The extended estimator is consistent for an important class of nonlinear models, including the logistic model, under relatively weak assumptions on the distribution of the measurement error. An example and simulation study are presented for the logistic regression model. The simulations suggest the estimator is reasonably efficient.     

Bayesian Inference in Multivariate Regression With Missing Observations on the Response Variables

We discuss the case of the multivariate linear model Y = XB + E with Y an (n × p) matrix, and so on, when there are missing observations in the Y matrix in a so-called nested pattern. We propose an analysis that arises by incorporating the predictive density of the missing observations in determining the posterior distribution of B, and its mean and variance matrix. This involves us with matric-T variables. The resulting analysis is illustrated with some Canadian economic data.     

进城农民工：社会支持与城市融合

采用社会支持的视角,分析农民工城市融合与社会支持间的关系,提出了社会支持影响城市融合的四因素因果结构模型:配偶支持、家人支持、朋辈支持和邻里支持。基于河北省272名城市农民工的调查,使用结构方程模型对样本数据进行拟合,结果发现,除了配偶支持的作用未得到证实外,家人支持、朋辈支持和邻里支持的影响均具有显著性。