科学与人文整合的一种模式

遵循整体观和相对性理念，在“认知思维模式”基础上，提出了一种无学科界面、自然融合型的科学与人文整合模式，从根本上解决了科学与人文长期以来的分割与对立的局面。并依据该模式提出了“‘组织结构’决定‘性能＇”法则、“更大层次系统对系统制约的第一性”的“伦理”法则、“子系统之间和谐共存”法则等思想将引导人类走上“天人合一”的和谐永续的文明道路。     

On an adaptive version of the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm with independent proposal distribution

In this paper, we present a general formulation of an algorithm, the adaptive independent chain (AIC), that was introduced in a special context in Gåsemyr et al . [ Methodol. Comput. Appl. Probab. 3 (2001)]. The algorithm aims at producing samples from a specific target distribution Π, and is an adaptive, non-Markovian version of the Metropolis–Hastings independent chain. A certain parametric class of possible proposal distributions is fixed, and the parameters of the proposal distribution are updated periodically on the basis of the recent history of the chain, thereby obtaining proposals that get ever closer to Π. We show that under certain conditions, the algorithm produces an exact sample from Π in a finite number of iterations, and hence that it converges to Π. We also present another adaptive algorithm, the componentwise adaptive independent chain (CAIC), which may be an alternative in particular in high dimensions. The CAIC may be regarded as an adaptive approximation to the Gibbs sampler updating parametric approximations to the conditionals of Π.     

典型儿童强迫症个案的整合主义心理治疗分析

分析一例典型儿童强迫官能症的整合主义心理疗法理念和治疗过程，及其治疗的有效性，探讨整合主义心理治疗的发展趋向和综合成因。结论：整合主义心理治疗是一种有效治疗手段，符合一般发展规律，在减轻患者强迫症状，增强社会功能方面均有较好的效果。     

A bayesian estimator for the dependence function of a bivariate extreme‐value distribution

Any continuous bivariate distribution can be expressed in terms of its margins and a unique copula. In the case of extreme‐value distributions, the copula is characterized by a dependence function while each margin depends on three parameters. The authors propose a Bayesian approach for the simultaneous estimation of the dependence function and the parameters defining the margins. They describe a nonparametric model for the dependence function and a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of the Bayesian estimator. They show through simulations that their estimator has a smaller mean integrated squared error than classical nonparametric estimators, especially in small samples. They illustrate their approach on a hydrological data set.     

对营造大西南旅游协作区的构想--兼论协同整合理论在旅游协作区构建中的运用

构建大西南旅游协作区,就是要将大西南相似、相邻、交叉分布的密集旅游资源和业已形成的产业基础按旅游产业规律进行空间布局上的协同整合,形成相对独立和完整的旅游产业地区链,把客观上同质化竞争的态势转化为协同关系,提高西南地区旅游业的组织化程度。     

中国邮政物流业务网络资源亟待整合

本文首先介绍了中国邮政物流业务现有的网络资源 ,并分析了该资源的运营欠佳之处 ,在此基础上 ,提出了整合现有的网络资源 ,构建现代化邮政物流业务网络     

A Non-parametric Frailty Model for Temporally Clustered Multivariate Failure Times

Abstract A model is introduced here for multivariate failure time data arising from heterogenous populations. In particular, we consider a situation in which the failure times of individual subjects are often temporally clustered, so that many failures occur during a relatively short age interval. The clustering is modelled by assuming that the subjects can be divided into ‘internally homogenous’ latent classes, each such class being then described by a time‐dependent frailty profile function. As an example, we reanalysed the dental caries data presented earlier in Härkänen et al. [Scand. J. Statist. 27 (2000) 577], as it turned out that our earlier model could not adequately describe the observed clustering.     

报人的素质

新世纪的报纸编辑应从单纯文字编辑向技术编辑和思想编辑方向上努力,做一名业务、思想都过硬的编辑。编辑的综合素质决定了他报道的思想深度,职业修养将决定他的版面意识。     

论网络资源“电子期刊化”的可持续发展——河北省网络新闻媒介融合发展策略之一

根据对中国电子期刊发展的现状以及河北网络新闻媒体进行电子期刊化发展中的内外部环境、存在的壁垒及对策的分析，并结合电子期刊网上随机抽样调查，探讨网络资源电子期刊化的可持续发展。认为电子期刊已经成为网络新的生力军和新的经济增长点，河北省网络新闻媒体“电子期刊化”发展具有丰富的新闻资源、人力资源和品牌资源，努力突破自身的行业壁垒和技术壁垒，以开放的思想，整合各种资源发行具有河北地方特色的电子期刊，将成为河北网络新闻媒介新的起跑点和新的经济增长点优势。     

行刑一体化与刑罚执行权的新配置

尽管行刑是刑罚运用过程的最后环节,但是,行刑效果如何则直接关系到刑罚目的能否最终实现。科学合理地配置刑罚执行权将有助于行刑效率的提高与刑罚运行机制的完备。通过对当代中国刑罚执行权的现实考察,不难发现,中国现行刑罚执行权配置并不科学合理,存在着行刑权过于分散、相互之间彼此抵牾之处,这严重地影响了刑罚功能的发挥。因此,树立行刑一体化的理念,科学地配置刑罚执行权,乃是中国刑法理论界与实务界共同努力的方向和目标。