Shannon Information In k-records

In this article, we present results on the Shannon information (SI) contained in upper(lower) k-record values and associated k-record times. We then establish an interesting relationship between the SI content of a random sample of fixed size, and the SI in the data consisting of sequential maxima. We also consider the information contained in the k-record data from an inverse sampling plan (ISP).     

试论近代宁夏的羊皮毛贸易

近代宁夏羊皮毛贸易兴旺,且独具特色。其发展大致历经民间生活所需的物物交换,洋行垄断贸易,到地方商栈掌控,最后发展到官商联盟的购销与加工、地方政府倡办的购产销一体化等几个发展阶段。外商洋行在宁夏,恣意掠夺当地羊皮毛工业原料,在一定程度上促发了宁夏近代工商业的萌芽,有利于汉、回、蒙古等族的相互交往和了解。     

Dependence Estimation Over a Finite Bivariate Failure Time Region

This articleconcerns nonparametric estimation of association between bivariatefailure times. In the presence of independent right censoring,the support for failure time variates may be restricted and measuresof dependence over a finite failure time region may be of particularinterest. To this end, the reciprocal cross ratio function, weightedby the bivariate failure time density, is proposed as a summarymeasure of dependence over a failure time region. This `relativerisk' estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptoticallynormally distributed, with consistent bootstrap variance estimator.A finite-region version of Kendall's tau, which is suitable forcensored failure time data, is also proposed, and correspondingasymptotic distribution theory is noted. The accuracy of theseasymptotic approximations is studied in simulations and an illustrationis provided.     

Hypothesis Testing of Hazard Ratio Parameters in Marginal Models for Multivariate Failure Time Data

Marginal hazard models for multivariate failure time data have been studied extensively in recent literature. However, standard hypothesis test statistics based on the likelihood method are not exactly appropriate for this kind of model. In this paper, extensions of the three commonly used likelihood hypothesis test statistics are discussed. Generalized Wald, generalized score and generalized likelihood ratio tests for hazard ratio parameters in a marginal hazard model for multivariate failure time data are proposed and their asymptotic distributions examined. The finite sample properties of these statistics are studied through simulations. The proposed method is applied to data from Busselton Population Health Surveys.     

模式解构的极致与限度--论新历史小说对民国时代的叙述

西方当代史学观念的介绍与引进、历史行程的延展性与几度的迂回性、作家自身的独特经历促使新一代作家抛弃既有历史观、文学观,完全颠覆民国叙事的经典模式打破阶级界线、释放个人欲望、强调偶然不测,并用种种形式探索来显示历史叙述的主观性,创作了一批被称为"新历史小说"的作品.但解构的偏执,使他们的历史言说局限于"前文本"的固有层次,最终未能表达出对民国时代的个性化理解.     

"巴楚文化"的称谓不宜再使用

指出了在古代巴、楚两个民族交错杂居的长江三峡地区 ,不宜用“巴楚文化”来作为这一地区的地域文化名称。因巴文化和楚文化各有特点 ,虽有一些相互影响或部分融合现象 ,但尚不构成一种新的文化 ,故仍不宜随意命名。同时 ,对“三峡地区是楚文化的摇篮”的提法 ,也认为不妥。对有的学者还用“巴楚文化”这一词汇来涵盖从古到今的地域文化 ,更觉不宜     

浅论先秦时代"士"阶层与道德教育传播

从历史的观点看,“士”不是一个独立的社会阶级,也不是一个稳定的社会阶层,但在先秦时代的道德教育传播活动中,传播者的角色主要由“士”阶层担当。他们积极投入社会变革的洪流中,成为先秦时代道德教育信息的积极传播者,极大地促进了道德教育传播活动的发展。而在先秦时代“士”阶层则主要通过游说、设私学、身教、文字媒介等四种方式来传播道德教育。     

三而一成"与鲁迅小说的叙事艺术——兼及中国现代文学的数理批评

作者曾撰文提倡中国古代文学的数理批评,特别关注"三而一成"为中国人文重要度数,在古代文学叙事中表现为"三事话语"、"三复情节"、"三变节律"、"三极建构"等。文章应用这一理论揭示鲁迅小说承古代数理传统,既"三而一成",又"错综其数",变化创新的突出特点。这一特点的形成与鲁迅早年经历特别是整理研究古典小说有关,而现代文学家受古代数理传统影响者应该不止鲁迅一人;换言之,现代文学的数理批评是能够成立和深入开展的一项工作。     

正确对待古代爱国主义思想三论

作者从古代中国是统一多民族国家的新视角出发,就正确对待古代爱国主义思想问题,做出了新的理论探索。本文认为孔子提出的"天下"观,解决了古代爱国主义思想的外在形式;孟子创立的"民本"观,回答了古代爱国主义思想的核心内容;董仲舒概括的"《春秋》大一统"的统一观,成为维护国家统一和民族团结的巨大精神力量。     

"三个代表":必须长期坚持的指导思想

中共十六大把"三个代表"重要思想作为党必须长期坚持的指导思想写入党章,是党的理论创新和实践发展的必然要求,完全符合马克思主义思想路线的根本要求,体现了党的指导思想的与时俱进,为在新世纪全面建设小康社会,加快推进社会主义现代化,提供了强大的理论武器.贯彻中共十六大精神,必须坚定不移地坚持和贯彻"三个代表"重要思想.