2012年第四季度粮食行情回顾及2013年趋势展望

分析了年末小麦价格走势。认为结束小麦规模性收购后，国内小麦市场行情因供需偏紧而稳步走高，政策性小麦竞价交易成为加工企业采购粮源的主要渠道；认为市场有效供给趋紧是导致小麦行情稳步走高的主要原因，多项措施使得临储小麦受青睐，多重利空打压强麦期货走势。从支撑及推动因素、抑制及阻碍因素等方面，分析了2013年初我国小麦市场变化趋势。     

推进社会主义新农村建设的着力点

推进社会主义新农村建设是一个适应经济发展阶段性变化的制度安排。建设社会主义新农村,核心是把努力为农民增收减负的各项政策措施,转化为具有长期效果并且与经济规律作用相一致的农民增收机制,把城市中享受的公共服务、社会保障和基本生活质量逐步延伸到农村。     

A Note on Trend Decomposition: The 'Classical' Approach Revisited with an Application to Surface Temperature Trends

This note reconsiders the 'classical' approach to trend estimation and presents a modern treatment of this technique that enables trend filters which incorporate end-effects to be constructed easily and efficiently. The approach is illustrated by estimating recent Northern Hemispheric temperature trends. In so doing, it shows how classical trend models may be selected in empirical applications and indicates how this choice determines the properties of the latest trend estimates.     

大学生消费新趋势的社会学分析

在校大学生是一个特殊的社会群体,他们在成长过程中形成了自己独特的消费观。当前其消费行为出现了一些新的变化,如快餐消费、超前消费、网络消费以及视觉消费等等。本文从社会学角度分析了这些消费新趋势的成因以及对社会发展和教育的影响,指出消费新趋势促进了新的消费文化和观念的发展,带动了社会多个领域的革新和进步;同时也对社会和高等教育产生一些不良影响,文中指出了消除这些不良影响的建议。     

Public relations in the new millennium: Towards a synoptic view of fifteen years of research in Public Relations Review in the 21st century (2000–2014)

This text is part of a broader project that seeks to examine the field of Public Relations from the systematic study of scientific production published in the main academic journal of the specialty: Public Relations Review (ISSN 0363–8111). From an analysis of the content of all the papers (n = 1037) published in this journal during 15 years, between 2000 and 2014, the authors, topics, universities, professional networks, countries, objectives, questions, hypotheses, methodologies, techniques, theories and type of applied research have been examined. The main authors, universities and countries with the highest productivity are identified, as well as the dominant topics in the field and their evolution over time, among others important issues, in order to contribute to an overview of the past, present and future of public relations research from what was addressed in the journal during the first fifteen years of the XXI century. It concludes with suggestions for future research.     

The increasing importance of friends: Changes in core discussion network composition in post-communist Hungary between 1997 – 2015

In order to detect changes in social connectivity, we examined evolutions in the personal network structure by analyzing over-time trends in the composition of the population’s core discussion networks on four cross-sectional, nationally representative surveys between 1997 and 2015, in the era of post-communism, in Hungary. There has been a very significant change; in fact, a reversal of trends regarding the composition of the core discussion networks (CDNs) concerning kin and non-kin ties over the past decades. Our data suggest that friendship ties gained more importance. There seems to be a generation-specific aspect of the change: young people include family ties less often than older people and this effect strengthens over time. Women still have a higher ratio of kin ties compared to men and this effect does not change significantly during the analyzed period.     

浅析中国数字音乐产业的现状及发展

随着信息时代的到来,人们对互联网越来越依赖,互联网和移动通信成为音乐最大的传输渠道,传统唱片的地位急剧下降,数字音乐迅速推广和蔓延,彩铃、在线试听、手机音乐等成为人们新的获取音乐的方式。分析了数字音乐如此火爆的原因,探讨了数字音乐在发展中存在的问题以及应该怎样解决这些问题的对策,并对数字音乐的发展趋势作了展望。     

Are Geographical Indications a Valid Property Right? Global Trends and Challenges

This article explores what is at stake in the international conflict on geographical indications (GIs), particularly for developing countries. It first examines how the WTO panel has obliged the European Union to open its registration system to third countries and how the ongoing negotiations on GIs seem to be reaching stalemate. Initiatives showing how GIs are a key political and trade issue are identified in Turkey, India, China, Colombia and Ethiopia. Trade negotiation agendas have to handle this new balance of power, in which the reputation accompanying a good may become common.     

国际经济史学研究的新趋向——从第十五届世界经济史大会谈起

世界经济史大会是由国际经济史学会主办,每3-4年召开一届的经济史学界盛会.大会的议题往往代表着国际经济史学研究的最新动向和发展趋势.纵观第十五届世界经济史大会的讨论内容,学者们围绕着"贫穷和不平等"两个主要议题,从不同的视角、运用多元化的研究手段探索了全球化、东西方的发展路径问题.关于全球经济史的研究大致可以分为四个层次:第一,从长时段看全球化中的贫穷和不平等;第二,全球化视野中的市场和地区;第三,战争、政治经济、制度与经济增长差异;第四,围绕造成经济增长差异的可能要素展开的研究.其中,关于中国经济发展水平的描述是一个重要却又薄弱的部分,特别是从经济发展的量和结构两个面刻画中国经济水平还有很大进步空间.     

对王实味问题的再认识

本文以大量史实为研究对象 ,从文学、社会思潮、历史、文化的深层面重新审视 ,论述王实味冤案产生的内在原因及其可资借鉴的历史经验