首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   717篇
  免费   31篇
  国内免费   2篇
管理学   23篇
民族学   13篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   5篇
丛书文集   58篇
理论方法论   21篇
综合类   312篇
社会学   19篇
统计学   298篇
  2024年   1篇
  2023年   7篇
  2022年   9篇
  2021年   16篇
  2020年   21篇
  2019年   23篇
  2018年   14篇
  2017年   36篇
  2016年   16篇
  2015年   14篇
  2014年   25篇
  2013年   133篇
  2012年   36篇
  2011年   30篇
  2010年   45篇
  2009年   42篇
  2008年   24篇
  2007年   33篇
  2006年   28篇
  2005年   32篇
  2004年   32篇
  2003年   23篇
  2002年   21篇
  2001年   12篇
  2000年   11篇
  1999年   4篇
  1998年   6篇
  1997年   4篇
  1996年   6篇
  1995年   5篇
  1994年   6篇
  1993年   5篇
  1992年   5篇
  1991年   5篇
  1990年   2篇
  1989年   3篇
  1988年   3篇
  1987年   1篇
  1986年   1篇
  1985年   1篇
  1984年   2篇
  1983年   1篇
  1981年   1篇
  1979年   1篇
  1978年   4篇
排序方式: 共有750条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Using an ARDL model for a panel of 15 OECD countries, this work analyses the impact that FDI, both jointly and by sector, has on CO2 emissions. The findings reveal that these countries are yielding to the pressure on the trade sector. Unexpectedly, gross fixed capital formation shrink pollution, excluding in the mining sector. With findings supporting the Pollution Haven Hypothesis, policymakers must pay attention to FDI inflows, ensuring that FDI place high importance on the transfer of green technologies to improve the efficiency. These goals could be achieved through an increase in the stringency of environmental laws within the host countries, especially the ones related to FDI.  相似文献   
2.
The authors study the strong convergence for sequences of pairwise negatively quadrant dependent (NQD) random variables under some wide conditions, and present some new theorems on the complete convergence and the strong laws of large numbers. The obtained results extend and improve some theorems in existing literature.  相似文献   
3.
The landscape of political humor and satire is changing rapidly, and it is becoming an increasingly relevant aspect of our culture. Although scholars have been actively trying to capture this change, majority of the existing frameworks for understanding humor and satire in politics still reduce these phenomena to mere genres or rhetoric tools. In addition, they provide insufficient accounts concerning the reception of humor and satire, and neglect to interpret and explain what they communicate. In the article, a general understanding of humor and satire outside of a political context, followed by an overview of studies discussing humor and satire in politics through their applications in social movements, as leadership tools, and through their manifestations in mass media has been presented. Lastly, a cultural sociological perspective to the field has been introduced. It has been argued that approaching humor and satire in politics through a structural hermeneutic method of the Strong Program will enable us to recognize and treat political humor and satire as autonomous and complex cultural systems which carry an internal power to move people.  相似文献   
4.
In this paper, we investigate the k-nearest neighbours (kNN) estimation of nonparametric regression model for strong mixing functional time series data. More precisely, we establish the uniform almost complete convergence rate of the kNN estimator under some mild conditions. Furthermore, a simulation study and an empirical application to the real data analysis of sea surface temperature (SST) are carried out to illustrate the finite sample performances and the usefulness of the kNN approach.  相似文献   
5.
Abstract

We will establish the local asymptotic normality (LAN) for fractional autoregressive long memory model in the case of strong mixing noises. This opens the way in future work to construct an adaptive estimator and construct optimal tests for the parameters. To check the feasibility and validity of our theoretical results a simulations study is considered.  相似文献   
6.
A new model is proposed to test whether an equipment whose life is measured in discrete time units fails due to uncontrollable chance factors alone against the alternatives that it degrades over time in the sense of discrete HNBUE (harmonic new better than used in expectation) aging. The test is shown to be consistent and the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic has been obtained. The critical points and the power of the test against various alternatives from discrete HNBUE class have been studied by means of simulation. Finally, the test is applied to a discrete reliability data to examine the performance.  相似文献   
7.
Hailin Sang 《Statistics》2015,49(1):187-208
We propose a sparse coefficient estimation and automated model selection procedure for autoregressive processes with heavy-tailed innovations based on penalized conditional maximum likelihood. Under mild moment conditions on the innovation processes, the penalized conditional maximum likelihood estimator satisfies a strong consistency, OP(N?1/2) consistency, and the oracle properties, where N is the sample size. We have the freedom in choosing penalty functions based on the weak conditions on them. Two penalty functions, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and smoothly clipped average deviation, are compared. The proposed method provides a distribution-based penalized inference to AR models, which is especially useful when the other estimation methods fail or under perform for AR processes with heavy-tailed innovations [Feigin, Resnick. Pitfalls of fitting autoregressive models for heavy-tailed time series. Extremes. 1999;1:391–422]. A simulation study confirms our theoretical results. At the end, we apply our method to a historical price data of the US Industrial Production Index for consumer goods, and obtain very promising results.  相似文献   
8.
董雪艳  王铁男 《管理科学》2020,23(10):94-115
社会化媒体技术与社会关系网络促进了社会化商务(SC)的价值创造,如何有效利用技术与用户的关系结构是 SC 企业提高其平台购买转化率的关键. 从双重视角探索技术与关系如何影响用户购买决策,基于刺激―机体―反应框架,构建了以技术可供性和强、弱关系为刺激因素,信息诊断性和意外发现性为内在机体状态,社会化购买意向为“反应”的理论模型,探索了用户社会化购买行为的发生机制. 以具有社会化购买体验的微信用户作为研究对象,运用 SmartPLS 3.0 对模型进行了路径检验和假设分析. 研究结果发现: 技术可供性与弱关系对信息诊断性和信息意外发现性具有正向影响; 弱关系对信息意外发现性的影响作用大于强关系; 信息诊断性正向影响信息意外发现性,信息诊断性与意外发现性对社会化购买意向均有显著正向影响; 然而,强关系对信息意外发现性的影响不显著. 信息诊断性与信息意外发现性部分中介了技术可供性对社会化购买意向的影响,完全中介了弱关系对社会化购买意向的影响,信息诊断性部分中介了强关系对社会化购买意向的影响. 为进一步探究社会化购买行为提供 了理论基础和实践指导.  相似文献   
9.
布鲁尔强纲领中所反对的目的论模型来源于巴恩斯提出的目的论模式,他们都拒绝将科学的发展看作真理进化过程,认为作为一种信念的科学知识应当纳入知识社会学的研究领域。布鲁尔进一步提出了与目的论模型相对立的因果性模型,并构建出科学知识社会学应当遵守的四条“强纲领”,力图促使知识社会学成为一门普遍性的学科。布鲁尔声称强纲领的因果性模型与目的论模型是两种相互排斥的形而上学立场,但实际上因果性模型与目的论模型并不完全排斥,甚至还有所交融;同时,他关于因果性模型的论证与辩护也存在诸多问题,是一种不彻底的“强纲领”。  相似文献   
10.
In this paper, we first introduces a tree model without degree boundedness restriction namely generalized controlled tree T, which is an extension of some known tree models, such as homogeneous tree model, uniformly bounded degree tree model, controlled tree model, etc. Then some limit properties including strong law of large numbers for generalized controlled tree-indexed non homogeneous Markov chain are obtained. Finally, we establish some entropy density properties, monotonicity of conditional entropy, and entropy properties for generalized controlled tree-indexed Markov chains.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号