粘土矿物产状和微结构对地层损害的影响

对120块岩样XRD、SEM分析结果表明,下二门油田纵向粘土矿物演化规律明显,浅、上层系以蒙皂石—高岭石组合为主,中、下层系为绿泥石—高岭石—伊/蒙间层组合,深层系为绿泥石—伊利石组合。发育七种粘土微结构类型,地层微粒的稳定性由占主导地位的微结构类型决定。微结构稳定性序列为层流状>绒球状>畴状>叠片支架状>絮团状>蜂窝状>支架状。预测碱敏、水敏、盐敏和出砂是最严重的地层损害方式。     

Wavelet density estimation for negatively associated stratified size-biased sample

This paper provides upper bounds of wavelet estimations on L^p (1≤p<∞) risk for a density function in Besov spaces based on negatively associated stratified size-biased random samples. It turns out that the classical theorem of Donoho, Johnstone, Kerkyacharian and Picard is completely extended to more general cases. More precisely, we consider the model with multiplication noise and allow the sample negatively associated. Our theory is illustrated with a simulation study.     

Complete moment convergence and Lr convergence for asymptotically almost negatively associated random variables

In this paper, we investigate the complete moment convergence and L_r convergence for maximal partial sums of asymptotically almost negatively associated random variables under some general conditions. The results obtained in the paper generalize some corresponding ones for negatively associated random variables.     

Sensitivity,uncertainty, and decision analyses in the prioritization of research

The evaluation of hazards from complex, large scale, technologically advanced systems often requires the construction of computer implemented mathematical models. These models are used to evaluate the safety of the systems and to evaluate the consequences of modifications to the systems. These evaluations, however, are normally surrounded by significant uncertainties related to the uncertainty inherent in natural phenomena such as the weather and those related to uncertainties in the parameters and models used in the evaluation.

Another use of these models is to evaluate strategies for improving information used in the modeling process itself. While sensitivity analysis is useful in defining variables in the model that are important, uncertainty analysis provides a tool for assessing the importance of uncertainty about these variables. A third complementary technique, is decision analysis. It provides a methodology for explicitly evaluating and ranking potential improvements to the model. Its use in the development of information gathering strategies for a nuclear waste repository are discussed in this paper.     

Quantitative Risk Assessment of the New York State Operated West Valley Radioactive Waste Disposal Area

This article is based on a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) that was performed on a radioactive waste disposal area within the Western New York Nuclear Service Center in western New York State. The QRA results were instrumental in the decision by the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority to support a strategy of in‐place management of the disposal area for another decade. The QRA methodology adopted for this first of a kind application was a scenario‐based approach in the framework of the triplet definition of risk (scenarios, likelihoods, consequences). The measure of risk is the frequency of occurrence of different levels of radiation dose to humans at prescribed locations. The risk from each scenario is determined by (1) the frequency of disruptive events or natural processes that cause a release of radioactive materials from the disposal area; (2) the physical form, quantity, and radionuclide content of the material that is released during each scenario; (3) distribution, dilution, and deposition of the released materials throughout the environment surrounding the disposal area; and (4) public exposure to the distributed material and the accumulated radiation dose from that exposure. The risks of the individual scenarios are assembled into a representation of the risk from the disposal area. In addition to quantifying the total risk to the public, the analysis ranks the importance of each contributing scenario, which facilitates taking corrective actions and implementing effective risk management. Perhaps most importantly, quantification of the uncertainties is an intrinsic part of the risk results. This approach to safety analysis has demonstrated many advantages of applying QRA principles to assessing the risk of facilities involving hazardous materials.     

Empirical Likelihood for Single-Index Regression Models under Negatively Associated Errors

In this article, we use bockwise empirical likelihood technique to construct confidence regions for the parameter of the single-index models under negatively associated errors. It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood ratio statistic for the parameter of interest is asymptotically χ²-type distributed. The result can be used to obtain confidence regions for the parameter of interest.     

基于行为生态学的产业集群拥挤效应克服

产业集群除了具有众多经济优势外也具有潜在的风险,拥挤效应就是其中之一.从行为生态学的视角看,以生物社群关联度指数模型为基础,分别引入集群内部关系及集群间际关系,从静态和动态两个方面探讨集群最优规模,并以此来克服集群的拥挤效应.这对资源禀赋不同的地区区域经济发展具有一定的借鉴意义.     

福龙丸事件始末

1954年3月1日，日本渔船福龙丸在太平洋捕鱼时，遭到了美国在比基尼环礁试爆的氢弹的放射性污染，这一事件对美日关系产生了重大影响，美国国家安全委员会为此调整了对日政策，于1955年4月9日制订了NSC5516/1号文件，改变了要求日本短期内重整军备的方针，而代之以渐整军备。     

WEIGHTED SUMS OF NEGATIVELY ASSOCIATED RANDOM VARIABLES

In this paper, we establish strong laws for weighted sums of negatively associated (NA) random variables which have a higher‐order moment condition. Some results of Bai Z.D. & Cheng P.E. (2000) [Marcinkiewicz strong laws for linear statistics. Statist. and Probab. Lett. 43, 105–112,] and Sung S.K. (2001) [Strong laws for weighted sums of i.i.d. random variables, Statist. and Probab. Lett. 52, 413–419] are sharpened and extended from the independent identically distributed case to the NA setting. Also, one of the results of Li D.L. et al. (1995) [Complete convergence and almost sure convergence of weighted sums of random variables. J. Theoret. Probab. 8, 49–76,] is complemented and extended.     

对我国上市公司关联交易问题的探析

近年来我国上市公司的关联交易呈发展趋势,且存在着利用关联交易恶意操纵利润的情况,对公司和中小股东的利益带来了损害.本文对我国上市公司不当关联交易的现状、特点、造成的损害和形成的原因进行了分析,并提出了规范我国上市公司关联交易应采取的措施.