基于关键词分析我国图书馆焦虑研究态势

国内关于图书馆焦虑的研究已经开展多年，并取得一定的研究成果。以我国图书馆焦虑的研究文献的关键词为统计对象，基于共词分析，利用聚类方法和战略坐标图分析我国在该领域的研究现状。结果表明，目前该领域的研究集中于读者自身、图书馆环境和图书馆员三大因素的研究，从理论上研究图书馆焦虑起因的关注度在降低，图书馆焦虑缓解措施的可行性和有效性研究比较缺乏。最后给出了该领域在下一步研究中的可能方向，供研究人员参考。     

Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non‐stationary Volatility

In this paper, we consider the deterministic trend model where the error process is allowed to be weakly or strongly correlated and subject to non‐stationary volatility. Extant estimators of the trend coefficient are analysed. We find that under heteroskedasticity, the Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator (with some initial condition) could be less efficient than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) when the process is highly persistent, whereas it is asymptotically equivalent to OLS when the process is less persistent. An efficient non‐parametrically weighted Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator is then proposed. The efficiency is uniform over weak or strong serial correlation and non‐stationary volatility of unknown form. The feasible estimator relies on non‐parametric estimation of the volatility function, and the asymptotic theory is provided. We use the data‐dependent smoothing bandwidth that can automatically adjust for the strength of non‐stationarity in volatilities. The implementation does not require pretesting persistence of the process or specification of non‐stationary volatility. Finite‐sample evaluation via simulations and an empirical application demonstrates the good performance of proposed estimators.     

‘My profession is gone’: how social workers experience de-professionalization in the Netherlands

Recently social work in the Netherlands underwent two major changes. Specialized agencies were replaced by one-stop shops (district teams) and the welfare state was replaced by a ‘participation society’, in which vulnerable groups have to rely on their social network rather than resort to professional care. The first change is termed ‘de-specialization’; the second ‘basic de-professionalization’. The research question in this article is: how do Dutch social workers experience and evaluate these two developments? Qualitative interviews with 29 experienced social workers show that most of them endorse de-specialization, as this type of aid is deemed better for clients with complex problems. Moreover, many social workers like to take on new tasks. Basic de-professionalization is met with more reserve. Social workers observe that many clients do not have a suitable network and need professional help. In addition, they feel that their profession is being degraded as lay people and volunteers take over (part of) their work. However, they feel unable to resist this development, because resistance might get them sacked. Some social workers even enhance basic de-professionalization because of their willingness to continue working as (retired) volunteers. Social workers and theorists need to address and counter the move towards basic de-professionalization.     

基于在线评论数据的产品需求趋势挖掘

随着经济水平的提高和物质生活的丰富，消费者的需求变化也越来越快。能否迎合市场需求的变化是企业产品成功的关键。随着社交媒体的发展，消费者为了分享购物体验发表了许多在线评论信息，其中蕴含着消费者的需求变化。本文在产品特征提取和属性情感分析的基础上，构建了垃圾评论识别模型。然后，利用时间序列分析模型预测下阶段的产品属性关注度和情感计算。最后结合历史数据的变化趋势，分析产品属性的重要性和市场满意情况。利用汽车论坛上的汽车评论数据对本文提出的研究模型进行了验证。研究结果可以为企业制定营销策略以及产品改进与创新提供决策支持。     

网络时代刑法解释论的现实抉择、挑战及其应对

法律的滞后性与社会的多变性决定了刑法客观解释论是我国应对网络犯罪理论与实践做出的双重选择。但不可否认的是,当前网络时代刑法客观解释论存在明显的扩张化趋势,并不断冲击着罪刑法定原则的底线。“主观的客观解释论”名义上是以主观性来纠偏过度的客观性,但实则为主观解释论的翻版,并不可取。从恪守罪刑法定原则、克服刑法滞后性的角度来看,在坚持刑法客观解释论的前提下,为刑法客观解释的扩张化设定刑法用语的可能含义、刑法体系解释规则及罪名规范保护目的三大约束要素,从而将其限定在罪刑法定原则的框架下是更为妥当的选择。     

国际金融法律发展趋势及对我国的启示

在法系国际化的背景下,英美法系和大陆法系两大法系趋于融合,特别是判例与立法互动发展,在金融法领域表现尤为明显。值得注意的是,当代金融法律正处于完善过程当中,国际金融危机成为重要推动因素,相关做法对于我国具有重要启示。主要包括：提高涉案人员的违法成本,发挥法律威慑对于维护金融市场秩序的基础作用;增强市场透明度,打击欺诈行为,完善金融消费者保护机制,改善实际效果;重视监管空白地带的潜在风险,完善中央与地方的监管分工机制,完善工作组层面的监管协同机制;重视完善高风险金融活动的约束规则,并完善风险隔离机制和应急干预机制。     

Small-Sample Improved Seasonal Unit Root Tests for Trending and Breaking Series

In this article three unit root tests that allow for a break in both the seasonal mean and linear trend of the data are proposed. The tests, which can be seen as small-sample corrected versions of already known asymptotic tests, are shown to perform very well in simulations, and much better than their asymptotic counterparts.     

民族地区乡村经济行为模式、动机体系及其变迁研究

民族地区乡村经济中的主导经济行为模式至少存在四种类型。民族地区人们的经济行为大致有三种基本的动机体系。改革开放以来,有五种主要因素在改变着这些经济动机体系和行为模式,一是乡(镇)政府、具有准政府性质的村集体组织以及其他各种组织的推动、示范和劝导作用,二是体制改革的推动或压力,三是文化移入的诱导或冲击,四是内部创新行为的出现,五是特定文化传承的激活。     

把式房的乡村属性与入世态势--以沧州武术为个案

以武术教习场所为其基本内涵的乡村把式房,借助武术这一特有的文化媒质缔结了一种全新的乡村关系.关系的缔结与运作表明了这一民间组织强烈的乡村入世指向,也显示了这一文化试图超越、凌驾乡村社会的发展态势.     

关于黑龙江省天主教、基督教概况及其教徒信仰趋向的调查分析

本文介绍了黑龙江省天主教、基督教概况及其教徒信仰趋向的调查分析结果,提出了加强全省天主教、基督教工作的措施和总体思路。