走出离合词现象的迷局——从准定语与准名词现象入手

词的离合现象是语法研究中的老大难问题。文章独辟蹊径,从与词的离析使用密切相关的准定语和准名词入手,根据句子的信息结构原则,解释了词的离合现象的成因。文章指出,话语的信息结构安排是促成句法结构重组的语用推力:话题语的指称化处置诱发了准定语结构的操作,基本不涉及词的离析;评述语受单一新信息原则制约而出现的事件化处置,迫使及物性低的双音词强行拆分以容纳事件化所需要素,是诱发词的离析并催生准定语和准名词的直接动因。文章的观点是,用朴素的眼光看汉语,汉语中并无什么离合词,词的离合只是非形态语中双音词的用法变异,是语用型语言句子信息结构进行整编与重组的副产品。     

社会保险制度中社会风险的产生、内涵及应对*

社会风险是社会保险制度存在的前提，没有社会风险，就不会有社会保险。从风险、风险社会及社会风险这些相关概念出发，全面阐述社会保险制度中社会风险的产生及其发展路径，发现社会保险制度上所应对的社会风险是一种中度危险的风险事故，有着自身特定的制度内涵。在此基础上，从作为技术途径的保险原则与社会保险权之权利规则的两个视角分析了社会保险制度对社会风险的应对原理、机制与优势。     

试述马克思主义大众化传播应坚持的四个基本原则

马克思主义大众化传播是一个极其复杂、艰巨的社会系统工程。学术界对于马克思主义大众化传播应该坚持什么样的原则和方法也是众说纷纭。从当代世界和中国现实情况、信息传播技术飞速发展的时代背景,以及马克思主义理论创新发展的内在规律出发,马克思主义大众化传播应坚持指导思想一元和文化价值多元的统一、理论逻辑和生活逻辑的统一、科学性与通俗性的统一、传承性和开放性的统一等四个基本原则。     

Statistical Inference Enables Bad Science; Statistical Thinking Enables Good Science

ABSTRACT

Scientific research of all kinds should be guided by statistical thinking: in the design and conduct of the study, in the disciplined exploration and enlightened display of the data, and to avoid statistical pitfalls in the interpretation of the results. However, formal, probability-based statistical inference should play no role in most scientific research, which is inherently exploratory, requiring flexible methods of analysis that inherently risk overfitting. The nature of exploratory work is that data are used to help guide model choice, and under these circumstances, uncertainty cannot be precisely quantified, because of the inevitable model selection bias that results. To be valid, statistical inference should be restricted to situations where the study design and analysis plan are specified prior to data collection. Exploratory data analysis provides the flexibility needed for most other situations, including statistical methods that are regularized, robust, or nonparametric. Of course, no individual statistical analysis should be considered sufficient to establish scientific validity: research requires many sets of data along many lines of evidence, with a watchfulness for systematic error. Replicating and predicting findings in new data and new settings is a stronger way of validating claims than blessing results from an isolated study with statistical inferences.     

The arithmetic of outcome editing in financial and social domains

Outcome editing refers to a set of mental rules that people apply when deciding whether to evaluate multiple outcomes jointly or separately, which subsequently affects choice. In a large-scale online survey (n = 2062) we investigate whether individuals use the same outcome editing rules for financial outcomes (e.g., a lottery win) and social outcomes (e.g., a party with friends). We also test the role of numeric ability in explaining outcome editing. Our results show that people’s preferences for combining or separating events depend on whether those events are in the financial or the social domain. Specifically, individuals were more likely to segregate social outcomes than monetary outcomes, except for when all outcomes were negative. Moreover, numeric ability was associated with preferences for outcome editing in the financial domain but not in the social domain. Our findings extend the understanding of the arithmetic operations underlying outcome editing and suggest that people rely more on calculations when making choices involving multiple financial outcomes and more on feelings when making choices involving social outcomes.     

行政裁量的界限与公共利益

公共利益是贯穿于整个公法领域的重要法律概念,为所有国家行为提供合法性理由。但由于公共利益概念的不确定性,在解释其内容时往往要诉诸于行政裁量。当今宪政国家要求行政裁量行为遵守内外界限,而此种界限映射到公共利益上即表现为法定性以及合理性和程序性。     

公平合理利用原则在国际水法中的适用局限及其反思

作为国际水法的基本原则,公平合理利用原则具有条约法及习惯法的规范基础,并且可指导跨界水道的利用及水资源分配,但是其抽象性及模糊性降低了适用的确定性。公平合理利用原则适用的局限性主要表现为理论基础不成熟,概念难以统一明确,非排他性考虑因素多元但无优先次序等方面。对公平合理利用原则的反思要求充分尊重跨界水道的自然特性,遵从不造成重大损害原则及国际合作原则,厘清相关考虑因素的优先次序,推动建立水道国家的利益共识,从而实现流域国家对跨界水道的公平合理利用。      

论量刑事实的证明责任

刑事证明责任内涵应当包含“评价要素”,对于特定事实,证明责任承担者所举证据仅需要达到说服法官相信事实可能成立之程度。分配证明责任应当遵循证据所持、证据距离与诉讼效率等原则。我国刑事诉讼法未将量刑事实的证明责任进行区别对待,对公诉机关和法院的证明责任规定也不尽合理,更未规定证明责任转移规则。为最大程度实现量刑公正,应尝试对我国量刑事实的证明责任进行体系性完善,合理规定控方、被告人与被害人的证明责任,对立功、认罪认罚等量刑事实创设证明责任转移规则。     

“冶金原理”课程改革

根据当前冶金工程行业的形式,阐明了冶金原理课程改革的必要性。从教材建设、教学方法和手段、加强精品课建设三个方面探讨了冶金原理课程改革的方向和方法。在冶金原理课程改革中,要进一步完善教学内容,课堂教学做到精讲多练,加强实践教学,加强教师队伍建设,充分活跃课堂教学,充分产学研在精品课建设中的作用,在此基础上提高教学效果,为学生可持续性学习奠定基础。     

论庭审“合作”——基于语用学视角

庭审是一种高度程序化、机构化的活动,庭审的各个参与主体都有明确的角色定位与权力认知,其间又存在复杂的目的关系。尽管庭审中充斥着各种各样的不遵守合作原则的情况,表现出明显的不合作现象,但是,掌控话语权的法官、公诉人和律师等会利用自己的权力,使用各种策略和手段来迫使当事人合作,使庭审重新回到正常轨道,从而在宏观层面实现庭审的合作。