Translating cross-lagged effects into incidence rates and risk ratios: The case of psychosocial safety climate and depression

Longitudinal studies are the gold standard of empirical work and stress research whenever experiments are not plausible. Frequently, scales are used to assess risk factors and their consequences, and cross-lagged effects are estimated to determine possible risks. Methods to translate cross-lagged effects into risk ratios to facilitate risk assessment do not yet exist, which creates a divide between psychological and epidemiological work stress research. The aim of the present paper is to demonstrate how cross-lagged effects can be used to assess the risk ratio of different levels of psychosocial safety climate (PSC) in organisations, an important psychosocial risk for the development of depression. We used available longitudinal evidence from the Australian Workplace Barometer (N?=?1905) to estimate cross-lagged effects of PSC on depression. We applied continuous time modelling to obtain time-scalable cross effects. These were further investigated in a 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, which translated them into 4-year incident rates. Incident rates were determined by relying on clinically relevant 2-year periods of depression. We suggest a critical value of PSC?=?26 (corresponding to ?1.4 SD), which is indicative of more than 100% increased incidents of persistent depressive disorder in 4-year periods compared to average levels of PSC across 4 years.     

Inference and optimal design of multiple constant-stress testing for generalized half-normal distribution under type-II progressive censoring

The generalized half-normal (GHN) distribution and progressive type-II censoring are considered in this article for studying some statistical inferences of constant-stress accelerated life testing. The EM algorithm is considered to calculate the maximum likelihood estimates. Fisher information matrix is formed depending on the missing information law and it is utilized for structuring the asymptomatic confidence intervals. Further, interval estimation is discussed through bootstrap intervals. The Tierney and Kadane method, importance sampling procedure and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm are utilized to compute Bayesian estimates. Furthermore, predictive estimates for censored data and the related prediction intervals are obtained. We consider three optimality criteria to find out the optimal stress level. A real data set is used to illustrate the importance of GHN distribution as an alternative lifetime model for well-known distributions. Finally, a simulation study is provided with discussion.     

关于有限群的可解性

利用极大子群的几乎正规的概念得到了有限群为可解群的若干充要条件．     

用联想神经网络设计的信道均衡器

研究了联想神经网络在数字通信信道均衡器实现中的应用,讨论了其设计方法和设计步骤,给出了计算机模拟结果,并进行了性能比较。研究结果表明:Hopfield联想神经网络实现的信道均衡器具有比传统线性横向均衡器更优越的性能。     

载体催化元件恒温检测甲烷浓度的研究

基于载体催化元件检测甲烷浓度的基本原理,提出了采用载体催化元件和参比元件组成惠斯登测量电桥,运用温度自动控制系统达到恒定甲烷无焰燃烧温度,实现甲烷浓度的测量。扩展了采用载体催化元件测量甲烷浓度时的测量范围,减轻了催化剂的高温烧结和挥发现象,延长了载体催化元件的使用寿命。并建立了相应的温度自动控制和甲烷浓度测量的数学模型。     

受内压圆柱筒体开孔-接管区应力集中的有限元分析

利用 ANSYS有限元分析软件通过三个算例对圆柱形筒体小开孔直接管区、大开孔直接管区、大开孔斜接管区的应力分布状况进行了研究 .从中了解到了最大第一主应力的变化规律 ,得出在弹性范围内的应力集中系数 ,并且得到ASME规范中的算式较好的验证     

GMM tests for the Katz family of distributions

Generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to develop tests for discriminating discrete distributions among the two-parameter family of Katz distributions. Relationships involving moments are exploited to obtain identifying and over-identifying restrictions. The asymptotic relative efficiencies of tests based on GMM are analyzed using the local power approach and the approximate Bahadur efficiency. The paper also gives results of Monte Carlo experiments designed to check the validity of the theoretical findings and to shed light on the small sample properties of the proposed tests. Extensions of the results to compound Poisson alternative hypotheses are discussed.     

奇正相生 意趣盎然——当代西方建筑赏析

当代西方一些著名的建筑大师时常在自己的作品中运用斜向构图要素插入到方正的网络之中,并借正和斜的强烈对比而取得意想不到的效果。这种手法不仅有悖于我国传统的审美观念,而且就是在西方传统的建筑构图法则中也不多见。本文就具有代表性的作品作深入细致的分析,以期阐明这种方法的运用是如何赋予作品以生机和活力的。应放手吸取西方当代建筑师行之有效的观念与方法,以使建筑创作更富有时代性。     

数值解法中的单元形状函数技巧

本文介绍从一组互不相关的函数中推导数值法中单元形状函数的简便而有效的算法,以特定的一维内插方法导出各种二维、三维的内插方法,它们对奇异性的模拟是有益的;为了适用于延伸到无限远的单元,假设形状函数类似于Lagrange多项式,但包含了一个按指数衰减的项。     

椭圆轮廓的评定方法及其计算机模拟

给出了一个正确的数据处理方法,对已有的机械零件的椭圆轮廓的几何参数和线轮廓度误差评定理论的不足作了修正,并用计算机模拟方法对其进行了验证。