The Eurasian Economic Union: Development Prospects and Possible Obstacles

This article analyzes the development prospects and problems for the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). It examines issues of integration within the EAEU, as well as interactions with other countries, both CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States) and non-CIS. The main problem of integration within the EAEU is the dominance of redistributive motives over productive ones. This article assesses the extent of Russian oil and gas transfers to EAEU partners and the impact of tax maneuvers on their size. It shows that the creation of mechanisms for redistributing profits within the EAEU will allow a positive economic effect to materialize from free trade agreements with non-CIS countries. The article assesses the risks for the EAEU related to Russia’s introduction of a unilateral ban on food imports from countries on the sanctions list and to the possible establishment of tariffs on trade with Ukraine.     

师范院校通识教育的实施策略

基于通识教育的内涵和师范教育的特性,师范院校通识教育的使命体现在两个层面:终极层面,即"完整的人"的培养;专业层面,即教育信念的培养。师范院校通识教育在理念、课程、教师、教学方式、教学管理等方面还存在问题。改进和完善师范院校通识教育,必须首先确立科学的通识教育理念,明确通识教育的使命,加强对通识教育理念的宣传;从通识教育的理念和使命出发,顶层设计通识教育课程体系;强化通识教育师资建设,建设一支专、兼结合的优质通识教育课程师资队伍;创新通识教育教学方式,积极推进小班讨论教学、研究型教学,强化经典导课程教学,在专业方向课程教学中融渗通识教育,将专业教育和通识教育有机结合;加强通识教育管理工作,探索建立全校层面的通识教育机构,建立通识教育质量评估反馈机制,建立通识教育课程教学助教制,实施双导师制,推进优质通识教学资源共享。     

An algorithmic approach to construct D-optimal saturated designs for logistic model

In this paper, locally D-optimal saturated designs for a logistic model with one and two continuous input variables have been constructed by modifying the famous Fedorov exchange algorithm. A saturated design not only ensures the minimum number of runs in the design but also simplifies the row exchange computation. The basic idea is to exchange a design point with a point from the design space. The algorithm performs the best row exchange between design points and points form a candidate set representing the design space. Naturally, the resultant designs depend on the candidate set. For gain in precision, intuitively a candidate set with a larger number of points and the low discrepancy is desirable, but it increases the computational cost. Apart from the modification in row exchange computation, we propose implementing the algorithm in two stages. Initially, construct a design with a candidate set of affordable size and then later generate a new candidate set around the points of design searched in the former stage. In order to validate the optimality of constructed designs, we have used the general equivalence theorem. Algorithms for the construction of optimal designs have been implemented by developing suitable codes in R.     

Alarmed: sensory approaches to improving medical alarm systems

Medical alarms sound incessantly, loudly, and dissonantly, contributing to an already noisy ICU and OR soundscape, and ultimately harming both patients and staff. Sometimes triggered in error, the sheer number of alarms distracts health care professionals and results in sensory overload that contributes to hospital staff’s alarm fatigue. In turn, staff become increasingly likely to ignore alarms instead of acting on them. Furthermore, the patients’ sensitivity to alarms disturbs their hospital stay, raises their stress levels, and impedes their recovery process, with sometimes lasting effects. This article considers the sensory effects of hospital alarms and possibilities for redesigning future alarm systems, with the goal of eventually creating a more calming, less stressful, and safer hospital soundscape environment for all.     

应用性高等教育课程模式研究

在研究借鉴德国、澳大利亚等发达国家以及我国台湾地区发展本科以上层次应用性高等教育和高等技职教育的经验,以及北京联合大学专业教学改革试点实践的基础上,提出了我国本科应用性高等教育的一个新的课程模式(NCM),涉及应用性高等教育的培养对象、培养目标、课程体系,在已经试点的专业基础上,按照NCM的理念,经过改进给出了两个NCM专业课程方案案例。     

论我国社会主义时期党和国家的民族纲领

我国社会主义时期党和国家的民族政策的总原则是民族平等、民族团结、民族共同繁荣;民族政策的根本立场、根本宗旨是民族平等、团结、自治、发展。新世纪新阶段党和国家民族工作的主题是各民族共同团结奋斗、共同繁荣发展。     

试论民族地区普通中学多媒体课件制作及管理

运用现代教育技术提高教学效率是民族地区普通中学发展的必由之路。只有正确认识民族地区普通中学教育技术应用的背景,加强对此类教学资源的管理,才能使之更好服务于教学,提高民族地区教学实践活动的效率。     

强化通识教育是提高西部民族高等教育质量的必由之路

文章就通识教育的提出、通识教育与西部民族高等教育质量提高的关系,以及如何实施通识教育提出了自己的看法。     

秩估计及向量广义线性模型在风险投资中应用

从风险投资案例中整理发现内在变化规律,有助于把握投资方向和路径。以2001—2011年全球投资公司每轮平均投资数据为例,由于数据不具备正态性和方差齐次性,基于秩估计方差分析,结果表明,各年之间均值存在显著差异。假设平均投资服从伽玛分布,其形状参数和尺度参数是年份的二次函数,基于向量广义线性模型估计各参数。最后预测2015年伽玛分布形状参数为1．1959,尺度参数为5816．186。风险投资位于任何区间的概率都可以通过分布函数计算。