人才振兴背景下大学生志愿服务乡村缘由和影响因素分析

志愿服务乡村是社会参与人才振兴战略的重要方式,大学生在其中承担着重要角色。“乡愁文化”和“社会理性”是大学生志愿服务乡村缘由所在;性别、年级、学校类型、了解程度和志愿组织对大学生志愿服务乡村有显著影响。大学生志愿服务的着力点在于智力支持且具有文教活动倾向性,但也存在意愿与行动脱节、认知流于表面、能动性不强、缺乏思想引领以及对小微志愿组织的支持缺位等问题。乡愁文化嵌入大学文化、引入激励机制、打造志愿组织“大家庭”、牢守宣传育人“主阵地”、强化智力支持优势、补齐理论技能短板、关爱“小微组织”成长、构建“三位一体”支撑体系等可有效优化大学生志愿服务乡村。     

Bayesian inference for stable Lévy–driven stochastic differential equations with high‐frequency data

In this paper, we consider parametric Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations driven by a pure‐jump stable Lévy process, which is observed at high frequency. In most cases of practical interest, the likelihood function is not available; hence, we use a quasi‐likelihood and place an associated prior on the unknown parameters. It is shown under regularity conditions that there is a Bernstein–von Mises theorem associated to the posterior. We then develop a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for Bayesian inference, and assisted with theoretical results, we show how to scale Metropolis–Hastings proposals when the frequency of the data grows, in order to prevent the acceptance ratio from going to zero in the large data limit. Our algorithm is presented on numerical examples that help verify our theoretical findings.     

生产性服务业:发展态势、存在的问题及高质量发展政策思路

生产性服务业的改造提升和优化升级,是中国经济高质量发展的内在要求。当前,研发设计服务业“量质齐增”,已成为中国经济高质量发展的重要引擎；物流服务业发展迅猛,在企业生产和居民生活中的重要性日益凸显；金融服务业通过提供融资支持,有力促进了经济社会的良性发展；信息技术服务和电子商务飞速发展,“数字+”成为产业升级的重要实现渠道；租赁和商务服务业业态更加丰富,是促进产业转型升级的重要力量；服务外包规模持续攀升,业务覆盖范围不断扩展；职业教育方兴未艾,提升了中国人力资源的整体水平。但是,中国生产性服务业依然存在着国际竞争力羸弱、对外开放水平较低、与其他产业的融合力度不强、在全球价值链中的地位不高等问题。对此,提出了应进一步夯实生产性服务业发展的基础,对标国际标准推进服务业供给侧结构性改革,把生产性服务与制造业融合发展作为主攻方向,把提升服务贸易国际竞争力作为关键抓手,抓住机会提升生产性服务业全方位对外开放水平等政策建议。     

A Leadership Training Group for at Risk Fifth & Seventh Graders: Results from A Brief Strength-Based Group Program

ABSTRACT

An increasing number of youth are exhibiting social, emotional, and behavioral problems that hinder their ability to function at grade level. Subsequently, school mental health services have not been able to address the need for services particularly among students who are minority and poor. A mixed methodology study was conducted to determine the treatment outcomes from a brief strength-based leadership training group for primarily students who are African American and poor. Pre–post scores on three scales and focus group data revealed significant positive changes in regard to internal areas of functioning and social skills, anger management skills, and school attitude. Gender and age significantly impacted outcomes.     

新时期大学生思想政治教育的现状与对策

大学生的思想政治教育在时代背景、社会环境和大学生自身素质等方面都呈现出了与以往不同的特点。大学生思想政治教育亟需深刻的改革和创新。通过分析当前大学生思想政治教育的现状以及存在的问题，提出相应的对策进行研究。     

高校辅导员调解能力提升路径研究

在高校学生管理中，辅导员是预防学生矛盾激化的“第一道防线”，这要求辅导员需要具备较强的调解能力。将从高校学生矛盾冲突的现状出发，挖掘辅导员在调节能力上的不足，剖析人民调解与高校学生管理的内在联系，提出高校辅导员调解能力提升的路径。     

基于Hawkes因子模型的股价共同跳跃研究

本文首先比较了三种目前主流的共跳检验方法：基于LM检验的共跳检验、BLT共跳检验和FHLL共跳检验，结果表明，三种方法在识别共跳数量上差距明显，但三者结果的重合部分基本属于市场暴涨暴跌行情，说明共跳识别对市场剧烈波动的聚集性较为敏感。基于跳跃、共跳存在的聚集性问题，本文将Hawkes过程引入跳跃和共跳的研究，构建了基于Hawkes过程的因子模型，结果显示，基于Hawkes因子模型的MJ统计量、CJ统计量和实证数据的拟合程度较好，表明因子模型能够更好地描述跳跃和共跳的聚集性。     

Educational inequality across three generations in Australia

The transfer of advantage and disadvantage across multiple generations is receiving increasing attention in the international literature; however, transfers of resources across multiple generations in Australian families are less well understood. Using a longitudinal dataset of Australian children, we have the opportunity to not only investigate the transfer of educational resources across three generations in Australia, but also investigate the gendered nature of these transfers, which has been a limitation of other studies. We find no evidence of individual grandparent education effects on numeracy and reading scores for grandchildren in Year 3, independent of parent educational attainment and other covariates. However, significant effects on numeracy and reading scores were observed for children in families where both the grandmother and grandfather in maternal and paternal grandparent sets had high educational attainment (a diploma or university qualification), and where either or both the mother and father had a university qualification. These results suggest that the contribution of grandparents to the academic achievement of grandchildren cannot be fully explained by the parent generation and that the concentration of human capital in families contributes to educational inequalities across multiple generations that can be observed by eight years of age.     

Social centrality and aggressive behavior in the elementary school: Gender segregation,social structure,and psychological factors

In this paper, we build on key findings in the sociological literature regarding different patterns of association between social centrality and overt aggressive behavior in the context of same‐and‐cross gender social interactions. We explore these associations in a population of urban elementary school students ( = 8.62, SD = 0.69, N = 848), while addressing claims that the role of psychological factors is overstated in this literature. Our results indicate that, on average, social centrality is positively associated with aggressive behavior for boys, but negatively for girls. We also find a moderating effect indicating that the proportion of male peers with whom participants are reported to hang around, as well as their own gender play a role in the association between social centrality and aggression. These findings are discussed in the context of an ecological perspective on human development in which interactions among individuals, their social groups, and key environments are viewed as central to shaping developmental pathways.     

大学生利益诉求与表达机制构建研究

新时期高校学生的利益诉求与表达机制逐步呈现多元化趋势，这就要求高校学生思想工作走向更进一步的精细化管理，将高校学生利益诉求与表达机制列入精细化管理内容。但是，近年来高校学生的利益诉求与表达机制构建缺失，导致校园群体纠纷事件屡见不鲜，严重影响和谐校园环境的构建。通过调查高校学生常见的利益诉求方式及其存在障碍，分析学校学生利益诉求类型及其现状，建立学生利益诉求机制的对策，做到以生为本、服务学生。