Partial Identification of Economic Mobility: With an Application to the United States

Abstract

The economic mobility of individuals and households is of fundamental interest. While many measures of economic mobility exist, reliance on transition matrices remains pervasive due to simplicity and ease of interpretation. However, estimation of transition matrices is complicated by the well-acknowledged problem of measurement error in self-reported and even administrative data. Existing methods of addressing measurement error are complex, rely on numerous strong assumptions, and often require data from more than two periods. In this article, we investigate what can be learned about economic mobility as measured via transition matrices while formally accounting for measurement error in a reasonably transparent manner. To do so, we develop a nonparametric partial identification approach to bound transition probabilities under various assumptions on the measurement error and mobility processes. This approach is applied to panel data from the United States to explore short-run mobility before and after the Great Recession.     

一类带有分布参数系统的最佳控制

本文给出一类非均匀弦的横向振动的最佳控制，推广了P C Park的结果。这一结果同样适用于同类型振动问题。     

实用电源变压器检测台

该电路设计简单、构思新颖 ,适合小批量测试小型电源变压器的空载电流、额定电流及次级空载电压、满载电压、负载电流等参数     

Projective Identification as a Contributor to Domestic Violence

Many explanations have been given as to why men batter. Rarely are deep unconscious intrapsychic processes identified as contributing reasons. One way that violent men may use their partner to fill emotional needs is through the primitive defense of projective identification. Projective identification may be invoked by men to induce the other partner to carry split off threatening parts of the self that are too anxiety provoking to retain. The occurrence of projective identification could therefore be an important intrapsychic and interpersonal dynamic that contributes to the escalation of tension prior to the violent episode.     

凯瑟琳爱情悲剧动因解析

凯瑟琳是《呼啸山庄》的女主角,凯瑟琳的爱是灵魂与肉体相脱离的情爱,充满不可调和的矛盾与冲突。她对希克厉的爱是精神之爱、灵魂之爱、自恋之爱,而对林敦的爱是肉体之爱、物化之爱、补偿之爱。凯瑟琳接受并爱着两个性格迥异的痴心汉,其对情爱的贪欲超过其心理承受的载荷,令其心理冲突绵延不辍。在两极爱欲的矛盾悖谬中,她忍受着精神的自我摧残,不只酿就了爱情悲剧,而且最终招致肉体的过早销亡。     

基于时变参数的中国总量生产函数估计

总量生产函数是宏观经济增长分析和技术进步定量化测算的基础,传统方法估算总量生产函数具有很多不足之处。利用1952—2005年中国宏观经济数据,建立时变参数模型,应用卡尔曼滤波算法,对我国1952—2005年间历年的总量生产函数进行了估算。研究结果表明:利用时变参数估算生产函数较好地捕捉到了经济政策的重大事件对于总量生产函数的影响,可能是理论与实际情况更加接近的一种拟合。我国技术进步和资本、劳动的产出弹性三者相互影响,呈同方向变化,并且技术进步对资本的产出弹性影响较大,对劳动的产出弹性影响较小,1978—2005年间我国属于节约资本型技术进步。     

Estimation of noncentrality parameters

We propose some estimators of noncentrality parameters which improve upon usual unbiased estimators under quadratic loss. The distributions we consider are the noncentral chi-square and the noncentral F. However, we give more general results for the family of elliptically contoured distributions and propose a robust dominating estimator.     

Estimation of Metabolic Rate Constants in PBPK‐Models from Liver Slice Experiments: What Are the Experimental Needs?

A mechanistic model is presented describing the clearance of a compound in a precision-cut liver slice that is incubated in a culture medium. The problem of estimating metabolic rate constants in PBPK models from liver slice experiments is discussed using identifiability analysis. From the identifiability problem analysis, it appears that in addition to the clearance, the compound's free fraction in the slice and the diffusion rate of the exchange of the compound between culture medium and liver slice should be identified. In addition, knowledge of the culture medium volume, the slice volume, the compound's free fraction, and octanol-water-based partition between medium and slice is presupposed. The formal solution for identification is discussed from the perspective of experimental practice. A formally necessary condition for identification is the sampling of parent compound in liver slice or culture medium. However, due to experimental limitations and errors, sampling the parent compound in the slice together with additional sampling of metabolite pooled from the medium and the slice is required for identification in practice. Moreover, it appears that identification results are unreliable when the value of the intrinsic clearance exceeds the value of the diffusion coefficient, a condition to be verified a posteriori.     

湖南省省属高校经常性财政拨款新模式构建研究

经过近几年来高校管理体制的大幅度调整变化,目前湖南省省属高校所采用的经常性财政拨款方案已不能适应新形式的需要。成为适时之需,构建一种公平合理、简单有效的新模式,既发挥财政拨款在高教事业中的基础作用,又引导高校不断提高办学效益。     

定期租船合同下承运人识别问题研究

在海上货物运输中，以定期租船运输货物时，无论是船东，还是承租人都可能成为承运人。如何确定海上货物运输合同责任主体是海事审判实践中亟待解决的一个理论和实际问题。该文系统分析了定期租船合同下承运人识别问题产生的渊源、承运人识别的依据及其方法，在此基础上作者提出了解决定期租船合同下承运人识别问题的初步建议。